Analysing Modern Business Cycles

Analysing Modern Business Cycles PDF Author: Philip A. Klein
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1315492288
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 353

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Book Description
This "Festschrift" honours Geoffrey H. Moore's life-long contribution to the study of business cycles. After some analysts had concluded that business cycles were dead, renewed economic turbulence in the 1970s and 1980s brought new life to the subject. The study of business cycles now encompasses the global economic system, and this work aims to push back the frontiers of knowledge.

Analysing Modern Business Cycles

Analysing Modern Business Cycles PDF Author: Philip A. Klein
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1315492288
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 353

Get Book Here

Book Description
This "Festschrift" honours Geoffrey H. Moore's life-long contribution to the study of business cycles. After some analysts had concluded that business cycles were dead, renewed economic turbulence in the 1970s and 1980s brought new life to the subject. The study of business cycles now encompasses the global economic system, and this work aims to push back the frontiers of knowledge.

Analyzing Modern Business Cycles

Analyzing Modern Business Cycles PDF Author: Philip Klein
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1351695576
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 353

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Book Description
This title was first published in 1990. A collection of essays on Business Cycles, celebrating Geoffrey H. Moore on his 75th birthday, who joined the National Bureau of Economic Research in 1939 and was also Professor Emeriutus at New York University. He progressed through many levels research assistant, staff member, associate director of research, director of research, vice president of research, director of business cycle research, and most recently membership on the Bureau’s Board of Directors and its Executive and other Committees. Moore ws prominenty involved in the creation, development, and continuing improvement of a system of leading, lagging, and coincident indicators was an achievement of greatest importance.

Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis

Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis PDF Author: Jan-Egbert Sturm
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3790816051
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
A pilot ?ying to a distant city needs to check his position, ?ight path and weather conditions, and must constantly keep his plane under control to land safely.TheIfosurveydataprovideadvanceinformationonchangingeconomic weather conditions and help keep the economy under control. To be sure, by their very nature they only provide short-term information. But like a plane, the economy will not be able to reach its long-term goals if it strays o? course in the short term. The Ifo survey data provide the most comprehensive and accurate, - to-date database in Europe on the state of the business cycle, and the Ifo climate indicator, sometimes simply called “The Ifo”, is the most frequently cited indicator of its kind in Europe. Both the European stock market and theeuroreacttoourindicator.Ifo’smethodologyfordeterminingthebusiness climateindicatorhasbeenexportedtomorethan?ftycountries,mostrecently toTurkeyandChina.TheIfopeoplewereproudtohavebeenaskedtohelpset up polling systems in these countries. It is said that the Chinese government relies more on their “Ifo indicator” than on their o?cial accounting statistics.

EBOOK: Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles

EBOOK: Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles PDF Author: Peter Sørensen
Publisher: McGraw Hill
ISBN: 0077140508
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 850

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Book Description
Introducing Advanced Macroeconomics: Growth and Business Cycles, 2nd edition provides students with a thorough understanding of fundamental models in macroeconomics and introduces them to methods of formal macroeconomic analysis. Split into two sections, the first half of the book focuses on macroeconomics for the long run, introducing and developing basic models of growth and structural unemployment. The second half of the book deals with the economy in the short run, focusing on the explanation of business fluctuations. This new edition retains the popular pitch and level established in the 1st edition and continues to bridge the gap between intermediate macroeconomics texts and more advanced textbooks.

Economic Developments in India : Monthly Update, Volume -67 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents

Economic Developments in India : Monthly Update, Volume -67 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents PDF Author: Editors : Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila
Publisher: Academic Foundation
ISBN: 9788171883400
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 328

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Book Description


Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa

Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa PDF Author: Willem H. Boshoff
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030357546
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 297

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Book Description
This book investigates the South African business cycle and its links to structural change in the economy. Against the backdrop of the democratic transition in 1994 and the global financial crisis, the authors study how business cycles in South Africa have changed and how cycles are related to key developments in the financial markets, international trade and business sentiment in the country. By focusing on peaks and troughs in economic activity – so-called ‘turning-point cycles’ – the book links up with the common approach of international policymakers to studying fluctuations in economic activity. The authors also introduce new approaches to measuring phases of the business cycle (to understand slow recoveries after the global crisis), provide comprehensive descriptions to complement quantitative analyses, and utilize new data sources that allow the measurement of economic activity over longer periods. As such, the book provides the first integrated overview of business cycles in an emerging market, providing academics and policymakers with a better understanding of the measurement challenges and drivers of the cycle.

Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles

Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles PDF Author: Michael P. Niemira
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471845442
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 545

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Book Description
Gain the knowledge and skills that can help you exploit instability. No book can help you construct foolproof forecasting systems that will ensure you'll accurately predict economic turning points every time. But with Niemira and Klein's Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles on hand, you'll be able to significantly strengthen your ability to measure, monitor, and forecast important fluctuations. Part history, it provides you with essential background material on the characteristics and causes of economic volatility. It offers accessible coverage of the classical business cycle, the five basic types of economic cycles as determined by leading economists, and evolving ideas on the forces driving instability—ranging from simple unicausal theories, more complex Keynesian theory, to new classical macroeconomics. In addition, its concise review of America's economic past highlights the lessons that can be learned from the various cycles experienced since shortly before World War II. Part handbook, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles presents the full spectrum of statistical techniques used to measure cycles, trends, seasonal patterns, and other vital changes, offering you step-by-step guidance on applying a specific method and detailing its uses and limitations. It goes on to show how youcan adapt particular techniques to assess, track, and predict: Industry cycles—including an objective, tailor-made forecasting tool Regional business cycles—including a survey of regional indicators International business cycles—with an international business cycle chronology Inflation cycles—plus "12 little-known facts" about this complex cycle Financial cycles—covering credit, monetary, and interest rate cycles Stock market cycles—with advice on achieving more disciplined trading Based on outstanding scholarship and years of practical experience, Forecasting Financial and Economic Cycles will serve as an invaluable tool for practitioners like you whose decision-making—and profit margin—depend on accurately assessing today's often uncertain economic climate. "Forecasting Financialand Economic Cycles provides a lively survey of the many ways that cyclical economic activity has been dissected and analyzed. With this book, an astute reader may even be able to anticipate the next cyclical turn." —Samuel D. Kahan, Chief Economist Fuji Securities, Inc. "The definitive book on the most important and enduringfeature of an often mist-bound economic landscape: the business cycle." —Alfred L. Malabre, Jr., Economics Editor, The Wall Street,Journal "Niemira and Klein cover both the theory of economic cyclesand methods for forecasting them. They provide one of the most comprehensive and current reviews of academic studies of economic cycles to be found anywhere." —Anthony F. Herbst, Professor of Finance, The University of Texas at El Paso "This book succeeds as a comprehensive, balanced, and accessible treatment of fluctuations in economic and financial activity. It should prove useful to all those in industry and finance who wish to understand and analyze the trends and changes in the modern dynamic economy." —Victor Zarnowitz, Professor Emeritus of Economics and Finance, University of Chicago

Business Cycles

Business Cycles PDF Author: Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226978923
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 613

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Book Description
This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Economic Developments in India : Monthly Update, Volume -40 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents

Economic Developments in India : Monthly Update, Volume -40 Analysis, Reports, Policy Documents PDF Author: Editors : Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila
Publisher: Academic Foundation
ISBN: 9788171882205
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 328

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Book Description


Business Cycles in BRICS

Business Cycles in BRICS PDF Author: Sergey Smirnov
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 331990017X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 505

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Book Description
This volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecasting business cycles. Then it highlights the role of BRICS in the global economy and explores the interrelatedness of business cycles within BRICS. In turn, part two provides studies on the historical development of business cycles in the individual BRICS countries and describes the driving forces behind those cycles. Parts three and four present national business tendency surveys and composite cyclical indices for real-time monitoring and forecasting of various BRICS economies, while the final part discusses how the lessons learned in the BRICS countries can be used for the analysis of business cycles and their socio-political consequences in other emerging countries.