An Ontology Framework for Addressing Cost Overrun Through Risk Modeling

An Ontology Framework for Addressing Cost Overrun Through Risk Modeling PDF Author: Tamima Sherif Elbashbishy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Construction industry
Languages : en
Pages : 220

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Book Description
Abstract: Whether forced by economic conditions or internal motivations, contractors may choose to minimize their mark-up margins in order to maximize their chances of winning a bid. Such bidding conditions render contractors sensitive towards all types of risks associated with executing a project. This research aims at providing contractors with a framework through which they can reduce their bid prices to be able to compete in low biding conditions. This aim is realized through identifying risk elements that have the greatest impact on projects’ costs in the Egyptian construction industry. Work on this research follows a risk path approach consisting of risk sources, risk events, and risk consequences, and vulnerability factors consisting of robustness factors, resistance factors and sensitivity factors, whose relationships and risk paths are mapped through an ontology model. The weights characterizing that relationship between each of these elements is estimated through a three-phase model that utilizes both optimization and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), through 52 risks cenarios collected from 35 experts in the Egyptian Construction industry. Outputs generated by the model comprise of five sets of weights. Each set represents the effect of one risk path element on a subsequent element, collectively demonstrating the relations connecting the risk path elements to cost overruns. The model’s outputs showed that that 35 percent of the top 20 Robustness factors are related to project design. Lack of contractor’s technical resources rank higher than that of contractor’s financial resources in terms of their effect on Risk events. Project type has the most impact on project cost overrun, followed by Project delivery method. Further, delays due to bureaucracy whether from the owner or the government’s side rank at the bottom of the list.

An Ontology Framework for Addressing Cost Overrun Through Risk Modeling

An Ontology Framework for Addressing Cost Overrun Through Risk Modeling PDF Author: Tamima Sherif Elbashbishy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Construction industry
Languages : en
Pages : 220

Get Book Here

Book Description
Abstract: Whether forced by economic conditions or internal motivations, contractors may choose to minimize their mark-up margins in order to maximize their chances of winning a bid. Such bidding conditions render contractors sensitive towards all types of risks associated with executing a project. This research aims at providing contractors with a framework through which they can reduce their bid prices to be able to compete in low biding conditions. This aim is realized through identifying risk elements that have the greatest impact on projects’ costs in the Egyptian construction industry. Work on this research follows a risk path approach consisting of risk sources, risk events, and risk consequences, and vulnerability factors consisting of robustness factors, resistance factors and sensitivity factors, whose relationships and risk paths are mapped through an ontology model. The weights characterizing that relationship between each of these elements is estimated through a three-phase model that utilizes both optimization and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), through 52 risks cenarios collected from 35 experts in the Egyptian Construction industry. Outputs generated by the model comprise of five sets of weights. Each set represents the effect of one risk path element on a subsequent element, collectively demonstrating the relations connecting the risk path elements to cost overruns. The model’s outputs showed that that 35 percent of the top 20 Robustness factors are related to project design. Lack of contractor’s technical resources rank higher than that of contractor’s financial resources in terms of their effect on Risk events. Project type has the most impact on project cost overrun, followed by Project delivery method. Further, delays due to bureaucracy whether from the owner or the government’s side rank at the bottom of the list.

Smart and Resilient Infrastructure For Emerging Economies: Perspectives on Building Better

Smart and Resilient Infrastructure For Emerging Economies: Perspectives on Building Better PDF Author: Innocent Musonda
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1003848583
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
Smart and Resilient Infrastructure For Emerging Economies: Perspectives on Building Better is about pressing and multidimensional challenges faced in constructing resilient, sustainable, and smart infrastructure in developing countries. The 32 case studies, literature reviews, comparative analyses and systematic reviews, cover a wide range of topics, including: - sustainable and resilient infrastructure development - smart cities - digital innovation in construction - infrastructure investment - construction ergonomics - socio-environmental sustainability - gender equity, and - climate change responses The contributions present innovative solutions, impactful insights, and substantive contributions to the discourse on sustainable infrastructure development, and illuminate the interplay between infrastructure development, social justice, environmental sustainability, and technological advancement. Smart and Resilient Infrastructure For Emerging Economies: Perspectives on Building Better is essential reading for academics, researchers, practitioners, policymakers, and students involved in the built environment, infrastructure delivery, investment in infrastructure, civil engineering, architecture, urban planning, environmental science, and other related disciplines.

Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation

Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation PDF Author: Prince Boateng
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1787143015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 371

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Book Description
Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation.

Index to Theses with Abstracts Accepted for Higher Degrees by the Universities of Great Britain and Ireland and the Council for National Academic Awards

Index to Theses with Abstracts Accepted for Higher Degrees by the Universities of Great Britain and Ireland and the Council for National Academic Awards PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dissertations, Academic
Languages : en
Pages : 338

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Book Description


Sustainability in Project Management

Sustainability in Project Management PDF Author: Mr Adri Köhler
Publisher: Gower Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN: 1409459411
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 185

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Book Description
The concept of sustainability has grown in recognition and importance. The pressure on companies to broaden their reporting and accountability from economic performance for shareholders, to sustainability performance for all stakeholders is leading to a change of mindset in consumer behaviour and corporate policies. How can we develop prosperity without compromising the life and needs of future generations? Sustainability in Project Management explores and identifies the questions surrounding the integration of the concepts of sustainability in projects and project management and provides valuable guidance and insights. Sustainability relates to multiple perspectives, economical, environmental and social, but also to responsibility and accountability and values in terms of ethics, fairness and equality. The authors will inspire project managers to be aware of these considerations, and to apply them to the role they play in projects, not just 'doing things right' but 'doing the right things right'.

Companion Modelling

Companion Modelling PDF Author: Michel Étienne
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9401785570
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 403

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Book Description
This book introduces the companion modelling approach by presenting the stance that underpins it, the methods and tools used with stakeholders and the specific role of models during the process. It addresses the means to deal with the different levels of decision-making and to take into account the various power relationships. It proposes a methodology to assess the impact of the approach on the stakeholders involved in the process. The book includes 27 case studies and 7 teaching tools that describe the successful use of the approach in a variety of settings or teaching contexts. It is intended for researchers working on rural development or renewable resources management, as well as students and teachers.

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude PDF Author: Dr David Hillson
Publisher: Gower Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN: 1409450503
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 207

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Book Description
Despite many years of development, risk management remains problematic for the majority of organizations. One common challenge is the human dimension, in other words, the way people perceive risk and risk management. Risk management processes and techniques are operated by people, each of whom is a complex individual, influenced by many different factors. And the problem is compounded by the fact that most risk management involves people working in groups. This introduces further layers of complexity through relationships and group dynamics. David Hillson's and Ruth Murray-Webster's Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude will help you understand the human aspects of risk management and to manage proactively the influence of human behaviour on the risk process. The authors introduce a range of models, perspectives and examples to define and detail the range of possible risk attitudes; looking both at individuals and groups. Using leading-edge thinking on self-awareness and emotional literacy, they develop a powerful approach to address the most common shortfall in current risk management: the failure to manage the human aspects of the process. All this is presented in a practical and applied framework, rather than as a theoretical or academic treatise, based on the authors' shared experiences and expertise, rather than empirical research. Anyone involved in implementing risk management will benefit from this book, including risk practitioners, senior managers and directors responsible for corporate governance, project managers and their teams. It is also essential reading for HR professionals and others interested in organizational or behavioural psychology. This second edition is updated to strengthen the understanding of individual risk attitudes and reinforce what individuals can do to manage those risk attitudes that are leading them away from their objectives. For people who want to embrace this subject, the book highlights ways forward that are proven and practical.

The Art of Systems Architecting

The Art of Systems Architecting PDF Author: Mark W. Maier
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 104007930X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 319

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Book Description
If engineering is the art and science of technical problem solving, systems architecting happens when you don't yet know what the problem is. The third edition of a highly respected bestseller, The Art of Systems Architecting provides in-depth coverage of the least understood part of systems design: moving from a vague concept and limited resources

Security

Security PDF Author: Barry Buzan
Publisher: Lynne Rienner Publishers
ISBN: 9781555877842
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 252

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Book Description
Sets out a comprehensive framework of analysis for security studies, examining the distinctive character and dynamics of security in five sectors: military, political, economic, environmental, and societal. It rejects traditionalists' case for restricting security in one sector, arguing that security is a particular type of politics applicable to a wide range of issues, and offers a constructivist operational method for distinguishing the process of securitization from that of politicization. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Regions and Powers

Regions and Powers PDF Author: Barry Buzan
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521891110
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 598

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Book Description
This book develops the idea that since decolonisation, regional patterns of security have become more prominent in international politics. The authors combine an operational theory of regional security with an empirical application across the whole of the international system. Individual chapters cover Africa, the Balkans, CIS Europe, East Asia, EU Europe, the Middle East, North America, South America, and South Asia. The main focus is on the post-Cold War period, but the history of each regional security complex is traced back to its beginnings. By relating the regional dynamics of security to current debates about the global power structure, the authors unfold a distinctive interpretation of post-Cold War international security, avoiding both the extreme oversimplifications of the unipolar view, and the extreme deterritorialisations of many globalist visions of a new world disorder. Their framework brings out the radical diversity of security dynamics in different parts of the world.