An Examination of the Relationship Between Trading Volume and Price Volatility for Two Foreign Currency Futures Exchanges PDF Download
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Author: Michael James Shelley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange futures
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: Michael James Shelley
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Foreign exchange futures
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Author: Ms.Laura E. Kodres
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145184297X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
Recent interest in futures contracts on emerging market currencies has raised concerns among some central bank authorities about their ability to maintain stable currencies. This paper presents empirical results examining the influence of the Mexican peso, the Brazilian real, and the Hungarian forint futures contracts on the respective spot markets. While measures of linear dependence and feedback indicate strong connections between the respective markets, futures volatility does not significantly explain spot market volatility, nor does it increase after futures introductions. To account for the characteristics of the spot and futures returns a SWARCH model has been employed to estimate volatility.
Author: Gabriele Galati
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Book Description
This paper provides empirical evidence on the relationship between trading volumes, volatility and bid-ask spreads in foreign exchange markets. It uses a new data set that includes daily data on trading volumes for the dollar exchange rates of seven currencies from emerging market countries. The sample period is 1 January 1998 to 30 June 1999. The results are broadly consistent with the findings of the literature that used futures volumes as proxies for total foreign exchange trading. I find that in most cases unexpected trading volumes and volatility are positively correlated, suggesting that both are driven by the arrival of public information, as predicted by the mixture of distributions hypothesis. I also find that the correlation between trading volumes and volatility is positive during "normal" periods but turns negative when volatility increases sharply. Finally, the results suggest that volatility and spreads are positively correlated, as suggested by inventory cost models. However, contrary to the prediction of these models, I do not find evidence of a significant impact of unexpected trading volumes on spreads.
Author: Joseph E. Finnerty
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 17
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Book Description
Author: Philip Gotthelf
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471432393
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 314
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Book Description
How to Access and Trade the World's Biggest Market Philip Gotthelf The first and last word on trading within currency markets Expert trading veteran Philip Gotthelf provides the first comprehensive guide to currency speculation aimed toward the average investor. Combining fundamental and technical analysis, this book teaches traders how to take advantage of fluctuations within the currency markets and capture enormous gains. Currency Trading takes the latest developments in the FOREX market and provides readers with a complete trading plan. Philip Gotthelf (Closter, NJ) publishes the Commodex System, the longest-standing daily futures trading system in the world, and Commodity Futures Forecast Service. He is also President of Equidex Inc., a registered Commodity Trading Advisor. Gotthelf wrote TechnoFundamental Trading and The New Precious Metals Market. New technology and the advent of around the clock trading have opened the floodgates to both foreign and domestic markets. Traders need the wisdom of industry veterans and the vision of innovators in today's volatile financial marketplace. The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market's ever changing temperament and have prospered-some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future.
Author: Wan Mansor Mahmood
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
In this paper, the relationship between returns and trading volume is examined for four futures contracts for the period January 1, 1986 to April 30, 1997. Both linear and nonlinear dependence are examined. The study first employs linear causality tests and find that futures returns and volume have no predictive power for one another. However, since the series show evidence of nonlinear dependence, the GARCH model is then employed. The results show a sifnificant relationship between the returns and volume for only two of the four currencies (i.e Japanese yen and Swiss franc) tested. Moveover, when the series are divided into subsamples, the results of the GARCH tests point to a significant relationship for all currency futures regarding the prediction of returns from volume traded, although mainly in the second period. The results of this study suggest that trading volume can provide importat information in return prediction using a nonlinear model but that the series do not exihibit homogenous behaviour over the entire sample period. Further, the results support the sequential information arrival hypothesis ounly in few cases.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498330282
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 132
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Book Description
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Author: Ying Qian
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Exports
Languages : en
Pages : 47
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Book Description
Inconsistency in the relationship between exchange rate volatility and export growth reflects differences among countries in the currency in which trade is invoiced. Also, exchange rate volatility may affect the allocation of trade more than its level.
Author: Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher:
ISBN: 9789291319626
Category : Banks and banking, Central
Languages : es
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Author: Markos Katsanos
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119995906
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 428
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Book Description
This book shows traders how to use Intermarket Analysis to forecast future equity, index and commodity price movements. It introduces custom indicators and Intermarket based systems using basic mathematical and statistical principles to help traders develop and design Intermarket trading systems appropriate for long term, intermediate, short term and day trading. The metastock code for all systems is included and the testing method is described thoroughly. All systems are back tested using at least 200 bars of historical data and compared using various profitability and drawdown metrics.
