An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System

An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System PDF Author: Edward B. Geisler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Automatic meteorological stations
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description
At the Air Force Geophysics Laboratory (AFGL) Weather Test Facility (WTF) at Otis AFB, MA, a network of cloud base height, visibility, and wind measuring instruments were used to explore techniques for the short range prediction of low cloud ceiling. AFGL developed this system in response to the USAF Air Weather Service's requirements to modernize its basic weather support capabilities. This system allowed AFGL to evaluate the ability of statistical forecasting techniques to provide decision assistance significantly improved over the decision assistance currently provided by climatology and persistence. The approach relies upon the use of a hierarchical clustering algorithm to transform the raw cloud base height data into an automated low cloud observation. Four prediction techniques (Regression Estimation of Event Probabilities, Equivalent Markov, climatology, and persistence) yielding probability estimates of low cloud ceiling were evaluated and comparisons made to determine their respective accuracy and reliability. In addition, thresholding techniques were used to convert probability forecasts (unit bias, maximum probability, iterative, and persistence). Analysis of the data collected at the AFGL WTF demonstrates the accuracy and reliability of the automated low cloud prediction system. Regression estimation of event probabilities provided accurate, reliable, high resolution probability forecasts with results superior to climatology, persistence, and Equivalent Markov.

An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System

An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System PDF Author: Edward B. Geisler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Automatic meteorological stations
Languages : en
Pages : 44

Get Book Here

Book Description
At the Air Force Geophysics Laboratory (AFGL) Weather Test Facility (WTF) at Otis AFB, MA, a network of cloud base height, visibility, and wind measuring instruments were used to explore techniques for the short range prediction of low cloud ceiling. AFGL developed this system in response to the USAF Air Weather Service's requirements to modernize its basic weather support capabilities. This system allowed AFGL to evaluate the ability of statistical forecasting techniques to provide decision assistance significantly improved over the decision assistance currently provided by climatology and persistence. The approach relies upon the use of a hierarchical clustering algorithm to transform the raw cloud base height data into an automated low cloud observation. Four prediction techniques (Regression Estimation of Event Probabilities, Equivalent Markov, climatology, and persistence) yielding probability estimates of low cloud ceiling were evaluated and comparisons made to determine their respective accuracy and reliability. In addition, thresholding techniques were used to convert probability forecasts (unit bias, maximum probability, iterative, and persistence). Analysis of the data collected at the AFGL WTF demonstrates the accuracy and reliability of the automated low cloud prediction system. Regression estimation of event probabilities provided accurate, reliable, high resolution probability forecasts with results superior to climatology, persistence, and Equivalent Markov.

An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System

An Automated Low Cloud Prediction System PDF Author: Edward B. Geisler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Automatic meteorological stations
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description


The Feasibility of an Ensemble Low Cloud Prediction System

The Feasibility of an Ensemble Low Cloud Prediction System PDF Author: C. Bryden
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Boundary layer
Languages : en
Pages : 13

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Book Description


Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 652

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Book Description
Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.

Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences of the American Meteorological Society, November 2-6, 1981, Monterey, California

Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences of the American Meteorological Society, November 2-6, 1981, Monterey, California PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 252

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Book Description


Very Short Range Statistical Forecasting of Automated Weather Observations

Very Short Range Statistical Forecasting of Automated Weather Observations PDF Author: Robert G. Miller
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology in aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Book Description
A procedure is developed for providing weather forecasting guidance over the short period between 1 to 60 minutes. It uses automated surface observation elements as predictors and predictands. The same equations project probabilistic predictions iteratively minute-by-minute. The model is founded on a Markov assumption and utilizes multivariate linear regression as the statistical operator. Details are given on how the model is constructed and how it compares with other objective methods such as climatology and persistence. Tests are performed on a new nonlinear approach.

ICT Infrastructure and Computing

ICT Infrastructure and Computing PDF Author: Milan Tuba
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 9811953317
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 749

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Book Description
This book proposes new technologies and discusses future solutions for ICT design infrastructures, as reflected in high-quality papers presented at the 7th International Conference on ICT for Sustainable Development (ICT4SD 2022), held in Goa, India, on 29–30 July 2022. The book covers the topics such as big data and data mining, data fusion, IoT programming toolkits and frameworks, green communication systems and network, use of ICT in smart cities, sensor networks and embedded system, network and information security, wireless and optical networks, security, trust, and privacy, routing and control protocols, cognitive radio and networks, and natural language processing. Bringing together experts from different countries, the book explores a range of central issues from an international perspective.

The Federal Plan for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research

The Federal Plan for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 566

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Book Description


Third International Conference on the Aviation Weather System

Third International Conference on the Aviation Weather System PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Aids to air navigation
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Book Description


Secure and Smart Cyber-Physical Systems

Secure and Smart Cyber-Physical Systems PDF Author: Uttam Ghosh
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1040012558
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 260

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Book Description
Cybersecurity is a paramount concern in both Internet of Things (IoT) and Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs) due to the interconnected and often critical nature of these systems. The integration of AI/ML into the realm of IoT and CPS security has gained significant attention and momentum in recent years. The success of AI/ML in various domains has sparked interest in leveraging these technologies to enhance the security, resilience, and adaptability of IoT and CPS. Secure and Smart Cyber-Physical Systems provides an extensive exploration of AI/ML-based security applications in the context of IoT and CPS. Features Presents cutting-edge topics and research in IoT and CPS Includes contributions from leading worldwide researchers Focuses on CPS architectures for secure and smart environments Explores AI/ML and blockchain approaches for providing security and privacy to CPS including smart grids, smart cities, and smart healthcare Provides comprehensive guidance into the intricate world of software development for medical devices Covers a blueprint for the emergence of 6G communications technology in Industry 5.0 and federated-learning-based secure financial services This book covers state-of-the-art problems, existing solutions, and potential research directions for CPS researchers, scholars, and professionals in both industry and academia.