An Application of Arbitrage Pricing Theory to Futures Markets PDF Download
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Author: Michael Ehrhardt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Book Description
Keynes (1923) and Hicks (1939), hypothesized that futures prices are downward biased estimates of expected spot prices. Any empirical study that employs returns on futures contracts is actually a joint test of both the Keynes-Hicks hypothesis and of the assumed model of returns. Models based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model have been used to test the hypothesis, with different models implying different conclusions. As shown in this article, these models are all special cases of a general linear model. Arbitrage Pricing Theory provides the most powerful test for this class of linear models. No other linear model will provide greater explanatory power or account for more systematic risk. An Arbitrage Pricing Theory model is estimated in this article and the results appear inconsistent with the Keynes-Hicks hypothesis.
Author: Michael Ehrhardt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Book Description
Keynes (1923) and Hicks (1939), hypothesized that futures prices are downward biased estimates of expected spot prices. Any empirical study that employs returns on futures contracts is actually a joint test of both the Keynes-Hicks hypothesis and of the assumed model of returns. Models based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model have been used to test the hypothesis, with different models implying different conclusions. As shown in this article, these models are all special cases of a general linear model. Arbitrage Pricing Theory provides the most powerful test for this class of linear models. No other linear model will provide greater explanatory power or account for more systematic risk. An Arbitrage Pricing Theory model is estimated in this article and the results appear inconsistent with the Keynes-Hicks hypothesis.
Author: Michael C. Ehrhardt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arbitrage
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
Author: Bharat K. Kaku
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arbitrage
Languages : en
Pages : 600
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Book Description
Author: Abraham Lioui
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 038724106X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 268
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Book Description
This book is an advanced text on the theory of forward and futures markets which aims at providing readers with a comprehensive knowledge of how prices are established and evolve in time, what optimal strategies one can expect the participants to follow, whether they pertain to arbitrage, speculation or hedging, what characterizes such markets and what major theoretical and practical differences distinguish futures from forward contracts. It should be of interest to students (MBAs majoring in finance with quantitative skills and PhDs in finance and financial economics), academics (both theoreticians and empiricists), practitioners, and regulators. Standard textbooks dealing with forward and futures markets generally focus on the description of the contracts, institutional details, and the effective (as opposed to theoretically optimal) use of these instruments by practitioners. The theoretical analysis is often reduced to the (undoubtedly important) cash-and-carry relationship and the computation of the simple, static, minimum variance hedge ratio. This book proposes an alternative approach of these markets from the perspective of dynamic asset allocation and asset pricing theory within an inter-temporal framework that is in line with what has been done many years ago for options markets.
Author: Michael Clyde Ehrhardt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Arbitrage
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
Author: Jianping Mei
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810218393
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 132
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Book Description
This book consists of two essays on new approaches for the Arbitrage Pricing Theory and the Present Value Model, and one essay on cross-sectional correlations in panel data. The new approaches are designed to study a large number of securities over time. They can be employed by security analysts to discover market anomalies without assuming observable factors or constant risk premium. The book shows how these two approaches can be used to determine how many systematic factors affect the U.S. stock market.
Author: Christian Koch
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3640277856
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 81
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Book Description
Diploma Thesis from the year 1996 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, 160 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: A "few surprises" could be the trivial answer of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory if asked for the major determinants of stock returns. The APT was developed as a traceable framework of the main principles of capital asset pricing in financial markets. It investigates the causes underlying one of the most important fields in financial economics, namely the relationship between risk and return. The APT provides a thorough understanding of the nature and origins of risk inherent in financial assets and how capital markets reward an investor for bearing risk. Its fundamental intuition is the absence of arbitrage which is, indeed, central to finance and which has been used in virtually all areas of financial study. Since its introduction two decades ago, the APT has been subject to extensive theoretical as well as empirical research. By now, the arbitrage theory is well established in both respects and has enlightened our perception of capital markets. This paper aims to present the APT as an appropriate instrument of capital asset pricing and to link its principles to the valuation of risky income streams. The objective is also to provide an overview of the state of art of APT in the context of alternative capital market theories. For this purpose, Section 2 describes the basic concepts of the traditional asset pricing model, the CAPM, and indicates differences to arbitrage theory. Section 3 constitutes the main part of this paper introducing a derivation of the APT. Emphasis is laid on principles rather than on rigorous proof. The intuition of the pricing formula and its consistency with the state space preference theory are discussed. Important contributions to the APT are classified and br
Author: Jochen E.M. Wilhelm
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642500943
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 124
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Book Description
The present 'Introductory Lectures on Arbitrage-based Financial Asset Pricing' are a first attempt to give a comprehensive presentation of Arbitrage Theory in a discrete time framework (by the way: all the re sults given in these lectures apply to a continuous time framework but, probably, in continuous time we could achieve stronger results - of course at the price of stronger assumptions). It has been turned out in the last few years that capital market theory as derived and evolved from the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the middle sixties, can, to an astonishing extent, be based on arbitrage arguments only, rather than on mean-variance preferences of investors. On the other hand, ar bitrage arguments provided access to a wider range of results which could not be obtained by standard CAPM-methods, e. g. the valuation of contingent claims (derivative assets) Dr the_ investigation of futures prices. To some extent the presentation will loosely follow historical lines. A selected set of capital asset pricing models will be derived according to their historical progress and their increasing complexity as well. It will be seen that they all share common structural properties. After having made this observation the presentation will become an axiomatical one: it will be stated in precise terms what arbitrage is about and what the consequences are if markets do not allow for risk-free arbitrage opportunities. The presentation will partly be accompanied by an illus trating example: two-state option pricing.
Author: Robert A. Jarrow
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319778218
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 457
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Book Description
Yielding new insights into important market phenomena like asset price bubbles and trading constraints, this is the first textbook to present asset pricing theory using the martingale approach (and all of its extensions). Since the 1970s asset pricing theory has been studied, refined, and extended, and many different approaches can be used to present this material. Existing PhD–level books on this topic are aimed at either economics and business school students or mathematics students. While the first mostly ignore much of the research done in mathematical finance, the second emphasizes mathematical finance but does not focus on the topics of most relevance to economics and business school students. These topics are derivatives pricing and hedging (the Black–Scholes–Merton, the Heath–Jarrow–Morton, and the reduced-form credit risk models), multiple-factor models, characterizing systematic risk, portfolio optimization, market efficiency, and equilibrium (capital asset and consumption) pricing models. This book fills this gap, presenting the relevant topics from mathematical finance, but aimed at Economics and Business School students with strong mathematical backgrounds.
Author: Greg Anderson
Publisher: Morgan & Claypool Publishers
ISBN: 1608454959
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 51
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Book Description
This is a short book on the fundamental concepts of the no-arbitrage theory of pricing financial derivatives. Its scope is limited to the general discrete setting of models for which the set of possible states is finite and so is the set of possible trading times--this includes the popular binomial tree model. This setting has the advantage of being fairly general while not requiring a sophisticated understanding of analysis at the graduate level. Topics include understanding the several variants of "arbitrage," the fundamental theorems of asset pricing in terms of martingale measures, and applications to forwards and futures. The authors' motivation is to present the material in a way that clarifies as much as possible why the often confusing basic facts are true. Therefore the ideas are organized from a mathematical point of view with the emphasis on understanding exactly what is under the hood and how it works. Every effort is made to include complete explanations and proofs, and the reader is encouraged to work through the exercises throughout the book. The intended audience is students and other readers who have an undergraduate background in mathematics, including exposure to linear algebra, some advanced calculus, and basic probability. The book has been used in earlier forms with students in the MS program in Financial Mathematics at Florida State University, and is a suitable text for students at that level. Students who seek a second look at these topics may also find this book useful. Table of Contents: Overture: Single-Period Models / The General Discrete Model / The Fundamental Theorems of Asset Pricing / Forwards and Futures / Incomplete Markets
