A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Random Coefficient Logit Model Using Aggregate Data PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Random Coefficient Logit Model Using Aggregate Data PDF full book. Access full book title A Simulated Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Random Coefficient Logit Model Using Aggregate Data by Sungho Park. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Sungho Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38
Get Book Here
Book Description
We propose a Simulated Maximum Likelihood estimation method for the random coefficient logit model using aggregate data, accounting for heterogeneity and endogeneity. Our method allows for two sources of randomness in observed market shares - unobserved product characteristics and sampling error. Because of the latter, our method is suitable when sample sizes underlying the shares are finite. By contrast, the commonly used approach of Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes (1995) assumes that observed shares have no sampling error. Our method can be viewed as a generalization of Villas-Boas and Winer (1999) and is closely related to the quot;control functionquot; approach of Petrin and Train (2004). We show that the proposed method provides unbiased and efficient estimates of demand parameters. We also obtain endogeneity test statistics as a by-product, including the direction of endogeneity bias. The model can be extended to incorporate Markov regime-switching dynamics in parameters and is open to other extensions based on Maximum Likelihood. The benefits of the proposed approach are achieved by assuming normality of the unobserved demand attributes, an assumption that imposes constraints on the types of pricing behaviors that are accommodated. However, we find in simulations that demand estimates are fairly robust to violations of these assumptions.
Author: Sungho Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38
Get Book Here
Book Description
We propose a Simulated Maximum Likelihood estimation method for the random coefficient logit model using aggregate data, accounting for heterogeneity and endogeneity. Our method allows for two sources of randomness in observed market shares - unobserved product characteristics and sampling error. Because of the latter, our method is suitable when sample sizes underlying the shares are finite. By contrast, the commonly used approach of Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes (1995) assumes that observed shares have no sampling error. Our method can be viewed as a generalization of Villas-Boas and Winer (1999) and is closely related to the quot;control functionquot; approach of Petrin and Train (2004). We show that the proposed method provides unbiased and efficient estimates of demand parameters. We also obtain endogeneity test statistics as a by-product, including the direction of endogeneity bias. The model can be extended to incorporate Markov regime-switching dynamics in parameters and is open to other extensions based on Maximum Likelihood. The benefits of the proposed approach are achieved by assuming normality of the unobserved demand attributes, an assumption that imposes constraints on the types of pricing behaviors that are accommodated. However, we find in simulations that demand estimates are fairly robust to violations of these assumptions.
Author: Sungho Park
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 36
Get Book Here
Book Description
A Simulated Maximum Likelihood (SML) estimator for the random coefficient logit model using aggregate data is found to be more efficient than the widely used Generalized Method of Moments estimator (GMM) of Berry-Levinsohn-Pakes (1995). In particular, the SML estimator is better than the GMM estimator in recovery of heterogeneity parameters, which are often of central interest in marketing research. With the GMM estimator, the analyst must determine what moment conditions to use for parameter identification, especially the heterogeneity parameters. With the SML estimator, the moment conditions are automatically determined as the gradients of the log-likelihood function, and these are the most efficient ones if the model is correctly specified. Another limitation of the GMM estimator is that the product market shares must be strictly positive while the SML estimator can handle zero market share observations. Properties of the SML and GMM estimators are demonstrated in simulated data and in data from the US photographic film market.
Author: Zhentong Lu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 71
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this paper, we propose a two-step semi-nonparametric estimator for the widely used random coefficient logit demand model. In the first step, exploiting the structure of logit choice probabilities, we transform the full demand system into a partial linear model and estimate the fixed (non-random) coefficients using standard linear sieve generalized method of moment (GMM). In the second step, we construct a sieve minimum distance (MD) estimator to uncover the distribution of random coefficients nonparametrically. We establish the asymptotic properties of the estimator and show the semi-nonparametric identification of the model in a large market environment. Monte Carlo simulations and empirical illustrations support the theoretical results and demonstrate the usefulness of our estimator in practice.
Author: Scott R. Eliason
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780803941076
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 100
Get Book Here
Book Description
This is a short introduction to Maximum Likelihood (ML) Estimation. It provides a general modeling framework that utilizes the tools of ML methods to outline a flexible modeling strategy that accommodates cases from the simplest linear models (such as the normal error regression model) to the most complex nonlinear models linking endogenous and exogenous variables with non-normal distributions. Using examples to illustrate the techniques of finding ML estimators and estimates, the author discusses what properties are desirable in an estimator, basic techniques for finding maximum likelihood solutions, the general form of the covariance matrix for ML estimates, the sampling distribution of ML estimators; the use of ML in the normal as well as other distributions, and some useful illustrations of likelihoods.
Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.
Author: Jiang-Ming Wu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Charitable giving
Languages : en
Pages : 292
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Deniz Akinc
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34
Get Book Here
Book Description
In this study, we compare the parameter estimates of the mixed logit model obtained with maximum likelihood and with hierarchical Bayesian estimation. The choice of the priors in Bayesian estimation and of the type and the number of quasi-random draws for maximum likelihood estimation have a big impact on the estimates. Our main focus is on the effect of the prior for the covariance matrix in hierarchical Bayes estimation. We investigate several priors such as Inverse Wisharts, the Separation Strategy, Scaled Inverse Wisharts and the Huang Half-t priors and we compute the root mean square errors of the resulting estimates for the mean, covariance matrix and individual parameters in a large simulation study. We show that the default settings in many software packages can lead to very unreliable results and that it is important to check the robustness of the results.
Author: Raymond L. Chambers
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1420011359
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 374
Get Book Here
Book Description
Sample surveys provide data used by researchers in a large range of disciplines to analyze important relationships using well-established and widely used likelihood methods. The methods used to select samples often result in the sample differing in important ways from the target population and standard application of likelihood methods can lead to
Author: Tong Zeng
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
Get Book Here
Book Description
Quasi-random numbers that are evenly spread over the integration domain have become used as alternatives to pseudo-random numbers in maximum simulated likelihood problems to reduce computational time. In this paper, we carry out Monte Carlo experiments to explore the properties of quasi-random numbers, which are generated by the Halton sequence, in estimating the random parameters logit model. We vary the number of Halton draws, the sample size and the number of random coefficients. We show that increases in the number of Halton draws influence the efficiency of the random parameters logit model estimators only slightly. The maximum simulated likelihood estimator is consistent. We find that it is not necessary to increase the number of Halton draws when the sample size increases for this result to be evident.
Author: Russell B. Millar
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119977711
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 286
Get Book Here
Book Description
This book takes a fresh look at the popular and well-established method of maximum likelihood for statistical estimation and inference. It begins with an intuitive introduction to the concepts and background of likelihood, and moves through to the latest developments in maximum likelihood methodology, including general latent variable models and new material for the practical implementation of integrated likelihood using the free ADMB software. Fundamental issues of statistical inference are also examined, with a presentation of some of the philosophical debates underlying the choice of statistical paradigm. Key features: Provides an accessible introduction to pragmatic maximum likelihood modelling. Covers more advanced topics, including general forms of latent variable models (including non-linear and non-normal mixed-effects and state-space models) and the use of maximum likelihood variants, such as estimating equations, conditional likelihood, restricted likelihood and integrated likelihood. Adopts a practical approach, with a focus on providing the relevant tools required by researchers and practitioners who collect and analyze real data. Presents numerous examples and case studies across a wide range of applications including medicine, biology and ecology. Features applications from a range of disciplines, with implementation in R, SAS and/or ADMB. Provides all program code and software extensions on a supporting website. Confines supporting theory to the final chapters to maintain a readable and pragmatic focus of the preceding chapters. This book is not just an accessible and practical text about maximum likelihood, it is a comprehensive guide to modern maximum likelihood estimation and inference. It will be of interest to readers of all levels, from novice to expert. It will be of great benefit to researchers, and to students of statistics from senior undergraduate to graduate level. For use as a course text, exercises are provided at the end of each chapter.
