When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth

When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455210781
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Get Book Here

Book Description
We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.

When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth

When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455210781
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

Get Book Here

Book Description
We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.

Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries

Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries PDF Author: Sebastian Edwards
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 110

Get Book Here

Book Description
This article analyzes the theory of equilibrium real exchange rates and defines misalignment as a deviation of the real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The role of macroeconomic policies is then analyzed under three alternative nominal exchange rate regimes: predetermined nominal exchange rates; floating nominal rates; and dual or black market nominal exchange rates. This discussion points out how inconsistent macroeconomic policies often lead to real exchange rate misalignment. Corrective measures, including nominal devaluation and several alternative approaches, are then evaluated.

Dollars, Debt, and Deficits

Dollars, Debt, and Deficits PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589064539
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 410

Get Book Here

Book Description
This book examines the challenges facing the international monetary and financial system, as well as the future role of the Bretton Woods institutions in addressing those challenges. The volume is based on the proceedings of a 2004 conference cosponsored by the Banco de Espana and the International Monetary Fund to commemorate the 60th anniversary of the Bretton Woods meetings in July 1944. The chapters look at global imbalances, exchange rate issues, debt in emerging economies, and innovations in private and multilateral lending.

Haiti

Haiti PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513527908
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66

Get Book Here

Book Description
This Selected Issues paper examines opportunities and challenges for growth in Haiti. Achieving a sustained increase in living standards in Haiti will require deep-seated reforms across a range of areas. Diversifying the export base is needed to cushion the impact of severe shocks that have reduced per capita income and prevented a sustained increase in the capital stock. Integration into global-value chains would also allow Haiti to take advantage of its proximity to the U.S. market and favorable trade preferences to generate employment, spur the creation of human capital, and allow Haiti to begin climbing the value added chain.

Fear of Appreciation

Fear of Appreciation PDF Author: Eduardo Levy-Yeyati
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Central Bank
Languages : en
Pages : 39

Get Book Here

Book Description
Abstract: In recent years the term "fear of floating" has been used to describe exchange rate regimes that, while officially flexible, in practice intervene heavily to avoid sudden or large depreciations. However, the data reveals that in most cases (and increasingly so in the 2000s) intervention has been aimed at limiting appreciations rather than depreciations, often motivated by the neo-mercantilist view of a depreciated real exchange rate as protection for domestic industries. As a first step to address the broader question of whether this view delivers on its promise, the authors examine whether this "fear of appreciation" has a positive impact on growth performance in developing economies. The authors show that depreciated exchange rates appear to induce higher growth, but that the effect, rather than through import substitution or export booms as argued by the mercantilist view, works largely through the deepening of domestic savings and capital accumulation.

Conquering the Fear of Freedom

Conquering the Fear of Freedom PDF Author: Shinji Takagi
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191024066
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 333

Get Book Here

Book Description
Conquering the Fear of Freedom presents an analytical review of Japanese exchange rate policy from the end of World War II to the present. It examines how authorities, starting with the imposition of draconian controls over all international financial flows, moved toward eliminating virtually all state interference regulating foreign exchange transactions, including official intervention in the foreign exchange market. It describes how policy and institutional frameworks evolved, explains their domestic and international contexts, and assesses the impacts and consequences of policy actions. Following successful exchange rate-based stabilization in the early 1950s, Japan entered the world trading system with an overvalued currency, which helped perpetuate exchange and capital controls. As the culture of administrative control became ingrained, Japan took a decidedly gradualist approach to establishing current and capital account convertibility. The protracted capital account liberalization, coupled with slow domestic financial liberalization, created large swings in the yen's exchange rate when it was floated in the 1970s. Politicization by major trading partners of Japan's large bilateral trade surplus pressured authorities to subordinate domestic stability to external objectives. The ultimate outcome was costly: from the late 1980s, Japan successively experienced asset price inflation, a banking crisis, and economic stagnation. The book concludes by arguing that the shrinking trade surplus against the background of profound structural changes, the rise of China that has diminished the political intensity of any remaining bilateral economic issues, and the world's sympathy over two decades of deflation have given Japan, at least for now, the freedom to use macroeconomic policies for domestic purposes.

The Money Illusion

The Money Illusion PDF Author: Scott Sumner
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226826562
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 415

Get Book Here

Book Description
The first book-length work on market monetarism, written by its leading scholar. Is it possible that the consensus around what caused the 2008 Great Recession is almost entirely wrong? It’s happened before. Just as Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz led the economics community in the 1960s to reevaluate its view of what caused the Great Depression, the same may be happening now to our understanding of the first economic crisis of the 21st century. Foregoing the usual relitigating of problems such as housing markets and banking crises, renowned monetary economist Scott Sumner argues that the Great Recession came down to one thing: nominal GDP, the sum of all nominal spending in the economy, which the Federal Reserve erred in allowing to plummet. The Money Illusion is an end-to-end case for this school of thought, known as market monetarism, written by its leading voice in economics. Based almost entirely on standard macroeconomic concepts, this highly accessible text lays the groundwork for a simple yet fundamentally radical understanding of how monetary policy can work best: providing a stable environment for a market economy to flourish.

Capital Mobility in Asia

Capital Mobility in Asia PDF Author: Juthathip Jongwanich
Publisher: Flipside Digital Content Company Inc.
ISBN: 981478608X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 168

Get Book Here

Book Description
Ever since the East Asian financial crisis it has been recognized that emerging market economies are vulnerable to both excessive inflows of capital and sudden outflows. This book presents new research on the determinants and effects of capital flows as well as the effectiveness of capital control policies in dealing with volatile capital flows in emerging Asian countries. It examine three issues related to capital movements in Asia: (1) the key factors determining such mobility; (2) the impact of capital movements in a home country, especially on real exchange rates; and (3) the effectiveness of capital account policies.

Congressional Record

Congressional Record PDF Author: United States. Congress
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 1542

Get Book Here

Book Description


Information, Strategy, and Public Policy

Information, Strategy, and Public Policy PDF Author: Vines
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0631176934
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 185

Get Book Here

Book Description
In this volume, some of the world′s finest economists address a theme which is once again at the economic policy, namely the appropriate role for policy in a market economy. Can Adam Smith′s ′invisible hand′ mechanism be expected to allocate resources efficiently to meet the needs of society and is the role of government therefore limited at best? The authors draw on recent theoretical advances in the study of imperfect information and stratgic behavior to argue that the models of classical welfare economics are insufficient as a framework for understaning modern market economies The first two chapters by joseph Stiglitz and Frank Hahn represent assaults on the fundamental theorems of welfare economics: the notion of pareto-efficiency and the ability of the price mechanism to achieve it. Taking this as their lead, subsequent chapters focus on specific examples of market failure - the environment, the persistence of high levels of unemployment and the strategic behavior of governments in the making of international economic policy. The book represents a remarkable and accessible insight into the dilemmas of modern economics. It also demonstrates the fundamental role economic analysis has to play in the understanding of real problems and the formulation of appropriate policy.