Vector Error Correction Models with Stationary and Nonstationary Variables

Vector Error Correction Models with Stationary and Nonstationary Variables PDF Author: Pu Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Vector error correction models (VECM) have become a standard tool in empirical economics for analysing nonstationary time series data because they combine two key concepts in economics: equilibrium and dynamic adjustment in one single model. The current standard VECM procedure is restricted to time series data with the same degree of integration, i.e. all I(1) variables. Time series data with different degrees of integration, on the other hand, are frequently encountered in empirical studies, necessitating the simultaneous handling of I(1) and I(0) time series. In this paper, the standard VECM is extended to accommodate mixed I(1) and I(0) variables. The mixed VECM conditions are derived, and a test and estimation of the mixed VECM are presented as a result.

Vector Error Correction Models with Stationary and Nonstationary Variables

Vector Error Correction Models with Stationary and Nonstationary Variables PDF Author: Pu Chen
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Vector error correction models (VECM) have become a standard tool in empirical economics for analysing nonstationary time series data because they combine two key concepts in economics: equilibrium and dynamic adjustment in one single model. The current standard VECM procedure is restricted to time series data with the same degree of integration, i.e. all I(1) variables. Time series data with different degrees of integration, on the other hand, are frequently encountered in empirical studies, necessitating the simultaneous handling of I(1) and I(0) time series. In this paper, the standard VECM is extended to accommodate mixed I(1) and I(0) variables. The mixed VECM conditions are derived, and a test and estimation of the mixed VECM are presented as a result.

The Power of Cointegration Tests

The Power of Cointegration Tests PDF Author: Jeroen J. M. Kremers
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Book Description


Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models

Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models PDF Author: Søren Johansen
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0198774508
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
This monograph is concerned with the statistical analysis of multivariate systems of non-stationary time series of type I. It applies the concepts of cointegration and common trends in the framework of the Gaussian vector autoregressive model.

The Effects of Monetary Policy in the US. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) compared to the Structural Autoregressive Model (SVAR)

The Effects of Monetary Policy in the US. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) compared to the Structural Autoregressive Model (SVAR) PDF Author: Colin Tissen
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3668548625
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 24

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Book Description
Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2017 in the subject Mathematics - Applied Mathematics, grade: 8.5, , course: Empirical Econometrics II, language: English, abstract: This paper investigates the effects of monetary policy in the US by comparing a system of equations – estimated from a VECM (vector error correction model) – to a SVAR (structural autoregressive) model. Vector error-correction models are used when there exists long-run equilibrium relation-ships between non-stationary data integrated of the same order. Those models imply that the stationary transformations of the variables adapt to disequilibria between the non-stationary variables in the model. In contrast, SVAR models focus on the contemporaneous interdependence between the variables. The authors apply these two methods on a model with a contractionary monetary policy which affects the short-term interest rate. Following Sims and Zha the authors use a shock to the Treasury Bill rate instead of a shock to the Federal Funds rate. The paper continues as follows. First, a description of the data is given. Secondly, it presents a system of equations built from the LSE approach, aiming at macroeconomic simulations. Thirdly, it compares results obtained from the previous part to those obtained using SVAR impulse response functions (IRFs) identified with sign restrictions. The paper focuses on the impact of the simulated policies or monetary shocks on GDP and its growth rate.

Using R for Principles of Econometrics

Using R for Principles of Econometrics PDF Author: Constantin Colonescu
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 1387473611
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 278

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Book Description
This is a beginner's guide to applied econometrics using the free statistics software R. It provides and explains R solutions to most of the examples in 'Principles of Econometrics' by Hill, Griffiths, and Lim, fourth edition. 'Using R for Principles of Econometrics' requires no previous knowledge in econometrics or R programming, but elementary notions of statistics are helpful.

Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting

Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting PDF Author: Mr.Peter F. Christoffersen
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451848137
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description
Imposing cointegration on a forecasting system, if cointegration is present, is believed to improve long-horizon forecasts. Contrary to this belief, at long horizons nothing is lost by ignoring cointegration when the forecasts are evaluated using standard multivariate forecast accuracy measures. In fact, simple univariate Box-Jenkins forecasts are just as accurate. Our results highlight a potentially important deficiency of standard forecast accuracy measures—they fail to value the maintenance of cointegrating relationships among variables—and we suggest alternatives that explicitly do so.

Introductory Econometrics for Finance

Introductory Econometrics for Finance PDF Author: Chris Brooks
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139472305
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 752

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Book Description
This best-selling textbook addresses the need for an introduction to econometrics specifically written for finance students. Key features: • Thoroughly revised and updated, including two new chapters on panel data and limited dependent variable models • Problem-solving approach assumes no prior knowledge of econometrics emphasising intuition rather than formulae, giving students the skills and confidence to estimate and interpret models • Detailed examples and case studies from finance show students how techniques are applied in real research • Sample instructions and output from the popular computer package EViews enable students to implement models themselves and understand how to interpret results • Gives advice on planning and executing a project in empirical finance, preparing students for using econometrics in practice • Covers important modern topics such as time-series forecasting, volatility modelling, switching models and simulation methods • Thoroughly class-tested in leading finance schools. Bundle with EViews student version 6 available. Please contact us for more details.

Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data

Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data PDF Author: Anindya Banerjee
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Econometric models
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


The Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Spatial Panel Data

The Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Spatial Panel Data PDF Author: Michael Beenstock
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3030036146
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
This monograph deals with spatially dependent nonstationary time series in a way accessible to both time series econometricians wanting to understand spatial econometics, and spatial econometricians lacking a grounding in time series analysis. After charting key concepts in both time series and spatial econometrics, the book discusses how the spatial connectivity matrix can be estimated using spatial panel data instead of assuming it to be exogenously fixed. This is followed by a discussion of spatial nonstationarity in spatial cross-section data, and a full exposition of non-stationarity in both single and multi-equation contexts, including the estimation and simulation of spatial vector autoregression (VAR) models and spatial error correction (ECM) models. The book reviews the literature on panel unit root tests and panel cointegration tests for spatially independent data, and for data that are strongly spatially dependent. It provides for the first time critical values for panel unit root tests and panel cointegration tests when the spatial panel data are weakly or spatially dependent. The volume concludes with a discussion of incorporating strong and weak spatial dependence in non-stationary panel data models. All discussions are accompanied by empirical testing based on a spatial panel data of house prices in Israel.

Introduction to Econometrics

Introduction to Econometrics PDF Author: James H. Stock
Publisher: Prentice Hall
ISBN: 9780133486872
Category : Econometrics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
For courses in Introductory Econometrics Engaging applications bring the theory and practice of modern econometrics to life. Ensure students grasp the relevance of econometrics with Introduction to Econometrics-the text that connects modern theory and practice with motivating, engaging applications. The Third Edition Update maintains a focus on currency, while building on the philosophy that applications should drive the theory, not the other way around. This program provides a better teaching and learning experience-for you and your students. Here's how: Personalized learning with MyEconLab-recommendations to help students better prepare for class, quizzes, and exams-and ultimately achieve improved comprehension in the course. Keeping it current with new and updated discussions on topics of particular interest to today's students. Presenting consistency through theory that matches application. Offering a full array of pedagogical features. Note: You are purchasing a standalone product; MyEconLab does not come packaged with this content. If you would like to purchase both the physical text and MyEconLab search for ISBN-10: 0133595420 ISBN-13: 9780133595420. That package includes ISBN-10: 0133486877 /ISBN-13: 9780133486872 and ISBN-10: 0133487679/ ISBN-13: 9780133487671. MyEconLab is not a self-paced technology and should only be purchased when required by an instructor.