Understanding and Managing Model Risk

Understanding and Managing Model Risk PDF Author: Massimo Morini
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470977744
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452

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Book Description
A guide to the validation and risk management of quantitative models used for pricing and hedging Whereas the majority of quantitative finance books focus on mathematics and risk management books focus on regulatory aspects, this book addresses the elements missed by this literature--the risks of the models themselves. This book starts from regulatory issues, but translates them into practical suggestions to reduce the likelihood of model losses, basing model risk and validation on market experience and on a wide range of real-world examples, with a high level of detail and precise operative indications.

Understanding and Managing Model Risk

Understanding and Managing Model Risk PDF Author: Massimo Morini
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470977744
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452

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Book Description
A guide to the validation and risk management of quantitative models used for pricing and hedging Whereas the majority of quantitative finance books focus on mathematics and risk management books focus on regulatory aspects, this book addresses the elements missed by this literature--the risks of the models themselves. This book starts from regulatory issues, but translates them into practical suggestions to reduce the likelihood of model losses, basing model risk and validation on market experience and on a wide range of real-world examples, with a high level of detail and precise operative indications.

Managing Model Risk

Managing Model Risk PDF Author: Bart Baesens
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 283

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Book Description
Get up to speed on identifying and tackling model risk! Managing Model Risk provides data science practitioners, business professionals and analytics managers with a comprehensive guide to understand and tackle the fundamental concept of analytical model risk in terms of data, model specification, model development, model validation, model operationalization, model security and model management. Providing state of the art industry and research insights based on the author''s extensive experience, this illustrated textbook has a well-balanced theory-practice focus and covers all essential topics. Key Features: Extensive coverage of important trending topics and their risk impact on analytical models, starting from the raw data up until the operationalization, security and management. Various examples and case studies to highlight the topics discussed. Key references to background literature for further clarification. An online website with various add-ons and recent developments: www.managingmodelriskbook.com. What Makes this Book Different? This book is based on both authors having worked in analytics for more than 30 years combined, both in industry and academia. Both authors have co-authored more than 300 scientific publications on analytics and machine learning and have worked with firms in different industries, including (online) retailers, financial institutions, manufacturing firms, insurance providers, governments, etc. all over the globe estimating, deploying and validating analytical models. Throughout this time, we have read many books about analytical modeling and data science, which are typically written from the perspective of a theorist, providing lots of details with regards to different model algorithms and related mathematics, but with limited attention being given to how such models are used in practice. If such concerns are tackled, it is mainly from an implementation, use case or data engineering perspective. From our own experience, however, we have encountered many cases where analytics, AI, machine learning etc. fail in organizations, even with skilled people working on them, due to a myriad of reasons: bad data quality, difficulties in terms of model deployment, lack of model buy-in, incorrect definitions of underlying goals, wrong evaluation metrics, unrealistic expectations and many other issues can arise which cause models to fail in practice. Most of these issues have nothing to do with the actual algorithm being used to construct the model, but rather with everything else surrounding it: data, governance, maintenance, business, management, the economy, budgeting, culture etc. As such, we wanted to offer a new perspective with this book: it aims to provide a unique mix of both practical and research-based insights and report on do''s and don''ts for model risk management. Model risk issues are not only highlighted but also recommendations are given on how to deal with them, where possible. Target Audience This book is targeted towards everyone who has previously been exposed to both predictive and descriptive analytics. The reader should hence have some basic understanding of the analytics process model, the key activities of data preprocessing, the steps involved in developing a predictive analytics model (using e.g. linear or logistic regression, decision trees, etc.) and a descriptive analytics model (using e.g. association or sequence rules or clustering techniques). It is also important to be aware of how an analytical model can be properly evaluated, both in terms of accuracy and interpretation. This book aims to offer a comprehensive guide for both data scientists as well as (C-level) executives and data science or engineering leads, decision-makers and managers who want to know the key underlying concepts of analytical model risk.

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude PDF Author: Dr David Hillson
Publisher: Gower Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN: 1409450503
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 207

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Book Description
Despite many years of development, risk management remains problematic for the majority of organizations. One common challenge is the human dimension, in other words, the way people perceive risk and risk management. Risk management processes and techniques are operated by people, each of whom is a complex individual, influenced by many different factors. And the problem is compounded by the fact that most risk management involves people working in groups. This introduces further layers of complexity through relationships and group dynamics. David Hillson's and Ruth Murray-Webster's Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude will help you understand the human aspects of risk management and to manage proactively the influence of human behaviour on the risk process. The authors introduce a range of models, perspectives and examples to define and detail the range of possible risk attitudes; looking both at individuals and groups. Using leading-edge thinking on self-awareness and emotional literacy, they develop a powerful approach to address the most common shortfall in current risk management: the failure to manage the human aspects of the process. All this is presented in a practical and applied framework, rather than as a theoretical or academic treatise, based on the authors' shared experiences and expertise, rather than empirical research. Anyone involved in implementing risk management will benefit from this book, including risk practitioners, senior managers and directors responsible for corporate governance, project managers and their teams. It is also essential reading for HR professionals and others interested in organizational or behavioural psychology. This second edition is updated to strengthen the understanding of individual risk attitudes and reinforce what individuals can do to manage those risk attitudes that are leading them away from their objectives. For people who want to embrace this subject, the book highlights ways forward that are proven and practical.

Measuring and Managing Information Risk

Measuring and Managing Information Risk PDF Author: Jack Freund
Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN: 0127999329
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 411

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Book Description
Using the factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) methodology developed over ten years and adopted by corporations worldwide, Measuring and Managing Information Risk provides a proven and credible framework for understanding, measuring, and analyzing information risk of any size or complexity. Intended for organizations that need to either build a risk management program from the ground up or strengthen an existing one, this book provides a unique and fresh perspective on how to do a basic quantitative risk analysis. Covering such key areas as risk theory, risk calculation, scenario modeling, and communicating risk within the organization, Measuring and Managing Information Risk helps managers make better business decisions by understanding their organizational risk. - Uses factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) as a methodology for measuring and managing risk in any organization. - Carefully balances theory with practical applicability and relevant stories of successful implementation. - Includes examples from a wide variety of businesses and situations presented in an accessible writing style.

Understanding Risk

Understanding Risk PDF Author: David Murphy
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1584888946
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 472

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Book Description
Sound risk management often involves a combination of both mathematical and practical aspects. Taking this into account, Understanding Risk: The Theory and Practice of Financial Risk Management explains how to understand financial risk and how the severity and frequency of losses can be controlled. It combines a quantitative approach with a

Financial Risk Management

Financial Risk Management PDF Author: Allan M. Malz
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118022912
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 752

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Book Description
Financial risk has become a focus of financial and nonfinancial firms, individuals, and policy makers. But the study of risk remains a relatively new discipline in finance and continues to be refined. The financial market crisis that began in 2007 has highlighted the challenges of managing financial risk. Now, in Financial Risk Management, author Allan Malz addresses the essential issues surrounding this discipline, sharing his extensive career experiences as a risk researcher, risk manager, and central banker. The book includes standard risk measurement models as well as alternative models that address options, structured credit risks, and the real-world complexities or risk modeling, and provides the institutional and historical background on financial innovation, liquidity, leverage, and financial crises that is crucial to practitioners and students of finance for understanding the world today. Financial Risk Management is equally suitable for firm risk managers, economists, and policy makers seeking grounding in the subject. This timely guide skillfully surveys the landscape of financial risk and the financial developments of recent decades that culminated in the crisis. The book provides a comprehensive overview of the different types of financial risk we face, as well as the techniques used to measure and manage them. Topics covered include: Market risk, from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to risk models for options Credit risk, from portfolio credit risk to structured credit products Model risk and validation Risk capital and stress testing Liquidity risk, leverage, systemic risk, and the forms they take Financial crises, historical and current, their causes and characteristics Financial regulation and its evolution in the wake of the global crisis And much more Combining the more model-oriented approach of risk management-as it has evolved over the past two decades-with an economist's approach to the same issues, Financial Risk Management is the essential guide to the subject for today's complex world.

Fundamentals of Risk Management

Fundamentals of Risk Management PDF Author: Paul Hopkin
Publisher: Kogan Page Publishers
ISBN: 0749479620
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 488

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Book Description
Fundamentals of Risk Management, now in its fourth edition, is a comprehensive introduction to commercial and business risk for students and a broad range of risk professionals. Providing extensive coverage of the core frameworks of business continuity planning, enterprise risk management and project risk management, this is the definitive guide to dealing with the different types of risk an organization faces. With relevant international case examples from both the private and public sectors, this revised edition of Fundamentals of Risk Management is completely aligned to ISO 31000 and provides a full analysis of changes in contemporary risk areas including supply chain, cyber risk, risk culture and improvements in risk management documentation and statutory risk reporting. This new edition of Fundamentals of Risk Management has been fully updated to reflect the development of risk management standards and practice, in particular business continuity standards, regulatory developments, risks to reputation and the business model, changes in enterprise risk management (ERM), loss control and the value of insurance as a risk management method. Also including a thorough overview of the international risk management standards and frameworks, strategy and policy, this book is the definitive professional text for risk managers.

Understanding Financial Risk Management

Understanding Financial Risk Management PDF Author: Angelo Corelli
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1789737931
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 580

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Book Description
Understanding Financial Risk Management provides an innovative approach to financial risk management. With a broad view of theory and the industry, it aims at being a friendly, but serious, starting point for those who encounter risk management for the first time, as well as for more advanced users.

Risk Management and Financial Institutions

Risk Management and Financial Institutions PDF Author: John C. Hull
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119448115
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 832

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Book Description
The most complete, up-to-date guide to risk management in finance Risk Management and Financial Institutions, Fifth Edition explains all aspects of financial risk and financial institution regulation, helping you better understand the financial markets—and their potential dangers. Inside, you’ll learn the different types of risk, how and where they appear in different types of institutions, and how the regulatory structure of each institution affects risk management practices. Comprehensive ancillary materials include software, practice questions, and all necessary teaching supplements, facilitating more complete understanding and providing an ultimate learning resource. All financial professionals need to understand and quantify the risks associated with their decisions. This book provides a complete guide to risk management with the most up to date information. • Understand how risk affects different types of financial institutions • Learn the different types of risk and how they are managed • Study the most current regulatory issues that deal with risk • Get the help you need, whether you’re a student or a professional Risk management has become increasingly important in recent years and a deep understanding is essential for anyone working in the finance industry; today, risk management is part of everyone's job. For complete information and comprehensive coverage of the latest industry issues and practices, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, Fifth Edition is an informative, authoritative guide.

Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management

Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management PDF Author: Christian B. Smart
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 1260473848
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 321

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Book Description
Risk is real—but you can manage it with this hard-hitting guide to reducing risk on any project, in any industry All projects, large and small, are subject to various risks. But the failure to manage inherent risk with diligence and know-how can lead to devastating consequences for an organization. In this comprehensive hands-on guide, a renowned expert in the field provides everything organizations need to conduct project risk management the right way. Why do so many projects come in over schedule and over budget? How do projected expenditures and schedules line up with reality? How can you accurately assess risk to mitigate financial disaster? Through a methodical, statistics-based approach, Christian B. Smart reveals: The enduring problem of cost and schedule growth How rigorous project risk management can reduce the impact of uncertainty The systematic tendency to underestimate risk—and how to avoid it Ways to accurately assess confidence levels in project risk management The need for proper risk management at the portfolio level The author lays out common problems and explains how to effectively solve them. And while he employs a wealth of illustrative charts, graphs, and statistics, he presents the material in an accessible style, and peppers the text with powerful personal anecdotes. Ideal for project managers, business analysts, and senior decision makers in both the public and private sectors, Solving for Project Risk Management offers everything you need to ensure your projects run smoothly, on budget, and deliver the expected outcomes.