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Author: Rachel Cho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 46
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Book Description
We revisit the causal implications of financial deepening for economic development and banking crises adopting a heterogeneous difference-in-difference framework. Using a large panel dataset over the past six decades we demonstrate that very high levels of financial development, proxied by credit/GDP, are neither associated with lower economic growth in the long-run nor with a higher short-run propensity of triggering financial crises due to 'credit booms gone bust' cycles or unfettered capital inflows. We then investigate the 'too much finance' narrative at intermediate levels of financial development and, again, fail to detect any evidence for detrimental long-run growth effects. We further demonstrate that for this group of (emerging) economies elevated levels of financial development do not hamper a shift from capital accumulation to an innovation-based ('modern') growth paradigm, or their structural transformation away from the primary sector. There are however indications that 'too much finance' for this group can increase the propensity for banking crises through capital inflows and commodity price movements. Hence, our analysis can confirm elements of a 'too much finance' effect albeit (i) not for advanced economies at the top of the credit/GDP distribution but those at more intermediate levels, and (ii) even for these countries seemingly without any negative implications for their long-term growth trajectories.
Author: Rachel Cho
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 46
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Book Description
We revisit the causal implications of financial deepening for economic development and banking crises adopting a heterogeneous difference-in-difference framework. Using a large panel dataset over the past six decades we demonstrate that very high levels of financial development, proxied by credit/GDP, are neither associated with lower economic growth in the long-run nor with a higher short-run propensity of triggering financial crises due to 'credit booms gone bust' cycles or unfettered capital inflows. We then investigate the 'too much finance' narrative at intermediate levels of financial development and, again, fail to detect any evidence for detrimental long-run growth effects. We further demonstrate that for this group of (emerging) economies elevated levels of financial development do not hamper a shift from capital accumulation to an innovation-based ('modern') growth paradigm, or their structural transformation away from the primary sector. There are however indications that 'too much finance' for this group can increase the propensity for banking crises through capital inflows and commodity price movements. Hence, our analysis can confirm elements of a 'too much finance' effect albeit (i) not for advanced economies at the top of the credit/GDP distribution but those at more intermediate levels, and (ii) even for these countries seemingly without any negative implications for their long-term growth trajectories.
Author: Mr.Jean-Louis Arcand
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475526105
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
This paper examines whether there is a threshold above which financial development no longer has a positive effect on economic growth. We use different empirical approaches to show that there can indeed be "too much" finance. In particular, our results suggest that finance starts having a negative effect on output growth when credit to the private sector reaches 100% of GDP. We show that our results are consistent with the "vanishing effect" of financial development and that they are not driven by output volatility, banking crises, low institutional quality, or by differences in bank regulation and supervision.
Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475561008
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66
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Book Description
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Author: Timothy F. Geithner
Publisher: Crown
ISBN: 0804138605
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 610
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Book Description
New York Times Bestseller Washington Post Bestseller Los Angeles Times Bestseller Stress Test is the story of Tim Geithner’s education in financial crises. As president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and then as President Barack Obama’s secretary of the Treasury, Timothy F. Geithner helped the United States navigate the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, from boom to bust to rescue to recovery. In a candid, riveting, and historically illuminating memoir, he takes readers behind the scenes of the crisis, explaining the hard choices and politically unpalatable decisions he made to repair a broken financial system and prevent the collapse of the Main Street economy. This is the inside story of how a small group of policy makers—in a thick fog of uncertainty, with unimaginably high stakes—helped avoid a second depression but lost the American people doing it. Stress Test is also a valuable guide to how governments can better manage financial crises, because this one won’t be the last. Stress Test reveals a side of Secretary Geithner the public has never seen, starting with his childhood as an American abroad. He recounts his early days as a young Treasury official helping to fight the international financial crises of the 1990s, then describes what he saw, what he did, and what he missed at the New York Fed before the Wall Street boom went bust. He takes readers inside the room as the crisis began, intensified, and burned out of control, discussing the most controversial episodes of his tenures at the New York Fed and the Treasury, including the rescue of Bear Stearns; the harrowing weekend when Lehman Brothers failed; the searing crucible of the AIG rescue as well as the furor over the firm’s lavish bonuses; the battles inside the Obama administration over his widely criticized but ultimately successful plan to end the crisis; and the bracing fight for the most sweeping financial reforms in more than seventy years. Secretary Geithner also describes the aftershocks of the crisis, including the administration’s efforts to address high unemployment, a series of brutal political battles over deficits and debt, and the drama over Europe’s repeated flirtations with the economic abyss. Secretary Geithner is not a politician, but he has things to say about politics—the silliness, the nastiness, the toll it took on his family. But in the end, Stress Test is a hopeful story about public service. In this revealing memoir, Tim Geithner explains how America withstood the ultimate stress test of its political and financial systems.
Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400831725
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512
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Book Description
The acclaimed New York Times bestselling history of financial crises Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing, and recovering their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, “this time is different”—claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents and eight centuries, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises—including government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes—from medieval currency debasements to the subprime mortgage catastrophe. Reinhart and Rogoff provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. A remarkable history of financial folly, This Time Is Different will influence financial and economic thinking and policy for decades to come.
Author: Martin Wolf
Publisher: JHU Press
ISBN: 0801898439
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 270
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Book Description
Since 2008, when Fixing Global Finance was first published, the collapse of the housing and credit bubbles of the 2000s has crippled the world’s economy. In this updated edition, Financial Times columnist Martin Wolf explains how global imbalances helped cause the financial crises now ravaging the U.S. economy and outlines steps for ending this destructive cycle—of which this is the latest and biggest. An expanded conclusion recommends near- and long-term measures to stabilize and protect financial markets in the future. Reviewing global financial crises since 1980, Wolf lays bare the links between the microeconomics of finance and the macroeconomics of the balance of payments, demonstrating how the subprime lending crisis in the United States fits into a pattern that includes the economic shocks of 1997, 1998, and early 1999 in Latin America, Russia, and Asia. He explains why the United States became the “borrower and spender of last resort,” makes the case that this was an untenable arrangement, and argues that global economic security depends on radical reforms in the international monetary system and the ability of emerging economies to borrow sustainably in domestic currencies. Sharply and clearly argued, Wolf’s prescription for fixing global finance illustrates why he has been described as "the world's preeminent financial journalist."
Author: Sam Polk
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
ISBN: 1476785996
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 288
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Book Description
"A former hedge-fund trader presents a memoir about coming of age on Wall Street, his obsessive pursuit of money, his disillusionment and the radical new way he has come to define success, "--NoveList
Author: Liaquat Ahamed
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 9781594201820
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 584
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Book Description
Argues that the stock market crash of 1929 and subsequent Depression occurred as a result of poor decisions on the part of four central bankers who jointly attempted to reconstruct international finance by reinstating the gold standard.
Author: Daniel Alpert
Publisher: Penguin
ISBN: 159184701X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
Governments and central banks across the developed world have tried every policy tool imaginable, yet our economies remain sluggish or worse. How did we get here, and how can we compete and prosper once more? Daniel Alpert argues that a global labor glut, excess productive capacity, and a rising ocean of cheap capital have kept the Western economies mired in underemployment and anemic growth. We failed to anticipate the impact of the torrent of labor and capital unleashed by formerly socialist economies. Many policymakers miss the connection between global oversupply and the lack of domestic investment and growth. But Alpert shows how they are intertwined and offers a bold, fresh approach to fixing our economic woes. Twitter: @DanielAlpert
Author: Roland Benedikter
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441977740
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 143
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Book Description
For over 2,000 years, banks have served to facilitate the exchange of money and to provide a variety of economic and financial services. During the most recent financial collapse and subsequent recession, beginning in 2008, banks have been vilified as perpetrators of the crisis, the public distrust compounded by massive public bailouts. Nevertheless, another form of banking has also emerged, with a focus on promoting economic sustainability, investing in community, providing opportunity for the disadvantaged, and supporting social, environmental, and ethical agendas. Social Banking and Social Finance traces the emergence of the “bank with a conscience” and proposes a new approach to banking in the wake of the economic crisis. Featuring innovations and initiatives in banking from Europe, Canada, and the United States, Roland Benedikter presents an alternative to traditional banking practices that are focused exclusively on profit maximization. He argues that social banking is not about changing the system, but about improving some of its core features by putting into use the "triple bottom line" principle of profit-people-planet. Important lessons can be learned by the success of social banks that may be useful for the greater task of improving the global financial system and avoiding economic crises in the future.
