The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy

The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy PDF Author: Michael Sampson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy

The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stabilization Policy PDF Author: Michael Sampson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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Book Description


The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stablilization Policies

The Welfare Implications of Uncertain Growth Rates for Stablilization Policies PDF Author: Michael Sampson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 29

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The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Stabilization Policy

The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainty for Stabilization Policy PDF Author: Michael Sampson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainity for Stabilization Policy

The Welfare Implications of Parameter Uncertainity for Stabilization Policy PDF Author: Concordia University (Montréal, Québec). Department of Economics
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 44

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Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth

Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth PDF Author: Guillermo E. Perry
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821370855
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 354

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Book Description
Fiscal policy in Latin America has been guided primarily by short-term liquidity targets whose observance was taken as the main exponent of fiscal prudence, with attention focused almost exclusively on the levels of public debt and the cash deficit. Very little attention was paid to the effects of fiscal policy on growth and on macroeconomic volatility over the cycle. Important issues such as the composition of public expenditures (and its effects on growth), the ability of fiscal policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations, and the currency composition of public debt were largely neglected. As a result, fiscal policy has often amplified cyclical volatility and dampened growth. 'Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth' explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book highlights the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the region's fiscal policies, explores their causes and macroeconomic consequences, and asesses their possible solutions.

Volatility, Growth, and Large Welfare Gains from Stabilization Policies

Volatility, Growth, and Large Welfare Gains from Stabilization Policies PDF Author: Pengfei Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
"This paper proposes a simple endogenous-fluctuations growth model to show: (1) long-run growth and short-run fluctuations can be intimately linked; in particular, the rate of long run growth can be negatively affected by volatilities; (2) imperfect competition can cause endogenous fluctuations, and it reduces not only the level of output but also its mean growth rate by amplifying the volatility of the economy; and (3) the welfare gain of stabilization policy can be enormous (e.g., as high as 25% of annual consumption when calibrated to the U.S. data) because policies designed to reduce sunspots-driven fluctuations can generate permanently higher rates of growth"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth PDF Author: Steven P. Cassou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
This paper investigates a variety of objectives that are commonly used to motivate government fiscal action. These include welfare maximization, stabilization and growth maximization. The policies are compared on the basis of their implications for welfare, volatility and growth. We show that stabilization policies can produce welfare levels that are nearly identical to those of welfare maximization policies and that both welfare maximization and stabilization policies yield large welfare gains and modest growth losses relative to growth maximization policies. We also show that there are side issues to stabilization polices. In particular: 1) It is not possible to stabilize all macroeconomic variables simultaneously, even when the number of policy instruments is equal to the number of shocks; 2) stabilizing a particular variable requires increased volatility of some other variable; 3) stabilization requires some flexibility regarding the government's budget constraint; and 4) stabilization requires the government to respond in a precise and immediate way to exogenous shocks which hit the economy.

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth

Welfare, Stabilization, Or Growth PDF Author: Steven P. Cassou
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 26

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Book Description
This paper investigates a variety of objectives that are commonly used to motivate government fiscal action. These include, welfare maximization, stabilization and growth maximization. The policies are compared on the basis of their implications for welfare, volatility and growth. We show that stabilization policies can produce welfare levels that are nearly identical to those of welfare maximization policies and that both welfare maximization and stabilization policies yield large welfare gains and modest growth losses relative to growth maximization policies. We also show that there are side issues to stabilization polices. In particular: (1) It is not possible to stabilize all macroeconomic variables simultaneously, even when the number of policy instruments is equal to the number of shocks; (2) stabilizing a particular variable requires increased volatility of some other variable; (3) stabilization requires some flexibility regarding the government's budget constraint; and, (4) stabilization requires the government to respond in a precise and immediate way to exogenous shocks which hit the economy.

Robustness

Robustness PDF Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691170975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 453

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Book Description
The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth

Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth PDF Author: Mr.James Daniel
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 9781589065130
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 80

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Book Description
The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.