The negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility. The German stock market 1990-2016

The negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility. The German stock market 1990-2016 PDF Author: Lasse Homann
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346153215
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 38

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Book Description
Master's Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - Review of Business Studies, grade: 1.0, University of Hannover (Institute of Financial Markets), language: English, abstract: The main goal of this thesis is to examine whether the negative relationship between the cross-section of expected returns and lagged idiosyncratic volatility also can be found for the German stock market for the period of January 1990 through June 2016, by sorting stocks into portfolios on the basis of their idiosyncratic volatility estimates. This procedure follows Ang et al. (2006). Similar to the findings of Ang et al. (2006) for the US stock market this paper shows that there is a significant difference in returns relative to the Fama-French three-factor model, between portfolios of stocks with high and portfolios of stocks with low past idiosyncratic volatility. Although for the period 1990 - 2016 no relationship between lagged idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of stock returns has been found, the Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle reveals itself for the sub-period 2003 - 2016, when the respective portfolios of stocks with different levels of idiosyncratic volatility are controlled for size.

Common Risk Factors in the German Stock Market

Common Risk Factors in the German Stock Market PDF Author: Daniel Bathe
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3638940195
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 81

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Book Description
Diploma Thesis from the year 2007 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, University of Tubingen, language: English, abstract: This paper develops a multifactor model for explaining the difference in average returns for the German stock market in the period between July 1990 and June 2007. The methodology of Fama and French (1993) is adopted to determine possible common risk factors in that market. Despite the enormous and strong stock markets movements and the high volatility during that period, the three factors RM-RF, SMB and HML seem to be able to capture cross-sectional variation in average returns for portfolios formed on various sorting criteria based on publicly available financial data. In addition, the analysis shows a negative (risk?) premium for small size stocks, which is a surprising result since it contradicts previous studies for the German, but also international markets. For stocks with a high book-to-market value, a strong positive premium is found. This value effect is consistent over time and statistically significant. Positive premiums seem to exist for high E/P and C/P stocks as well. These market anomalies show that returns are indeed predictable in the German market over long time horizons. High BM, E/P and C/P stocks do outperform stocks with low ratios in these categories significantly and consistent over time. However, the evidence in this analysis highlights that the common explanation in rational asset-pricing models of an outperformance due to some economic risk factors that are proxied by HML and SMB must be strongly questioned. Portfolios consisting of value stocks outperform growth portfolios in all possible states of the stock market. This evidence is contradictory to the 'marginal value of wealth' assumption in the rational asset pricing models presented. Additionally, there is a January effect in stock returns which cannot be captured by a risk-based, rational asset

On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns

On the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital assets pricing model
Languages : en
Pages :

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Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior

Retail Investor Sentiment and Behavior PDF Author: Matthias Burghardt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3834961701
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 170

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Book Description
Using a unique data set consisting of more than 36.5 million submitted retail investor orders over the course of five years, Matthias Burghardt constructs an innovative retail investor sentiment index. He shows that retail investors’ trading decisions are correlated, that retail investors are contrarians, and that a profitable trading strategy can be based on these aggregated sentiment measures.

Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118589475
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
“Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

The Integration of World Capital Markets

The Integration of World Capital Markets PDF Author: Mr.Michael Mussa
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145195039X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 66

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Book Description
This paper discusses the extent to which national capital markets have become linked, and identifies several of the more important consequences of that increased degree of integration. Alternative approaches to the measurement of capital market integration are reviewed, including deviations from the law of one price, differences between actual and optimally diversified portfolios, correlations between domestic investment and domestic saving, and cross-country links in consumption behavior. Two recent episodes of large-scale international capital flows—namely, the turmoil in the European Monetary System in the fall of 1992, and the surge of capital inflows into Latin America during the last three years—are examined for insights into the workings of today’s global capital market. Finally, the paper offers some concluding remarks on the future development of international capital markets, on exchange rate management, on alternative approaches to living with larger and more influential financial markets, and on the financing of investment in the formerly centrally planned economies.

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective PDF Author: Vasant Naik
Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN: 1944960155
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 192

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Book Description


Asset Pricing

Asset Pricing PDF Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400829135
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 560

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Book Description
Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets PDF Author: Wing-Keung Wong
Publisher: Mdpi AG
ISBN: 9783036530802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232

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Book Description
The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis PDF Author: Laurent Ferrara
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319790757
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 300

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Book Description
This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.