The 90% Public Debt Threshold

The 90% Public Debt Threshold PDF Author: Balász Égert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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The 90% Public Debt Threshold

The 90% Public Debt Threshold PDF Author: Balász Égert
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 31

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Book Description


Debt and Growth

Debt and Growth PDF Author: Mr.Andrea Pescatori
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475532350
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 19

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Book Description
Using a novel empirical approach and an extensive dataset developed by the Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF, we find no evidence of any particular debt threshold above which medium-term growth prospects are dramatically compromised. Furthermore, we find the debt trajectory can be as important as the debt level in understanding future growth prospects, since countries with high but declining debt appear to grow equally as fast as countries with lower debt. Notwithstanding this, we find some evidence that higher debt is associated with a higher degree of output volatility.

Public Debt and Growth

Public Debt and Growth PDF Author: Jaejoon Woo
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 145520157X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49

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Book Description
This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.

Government Debt and Economic Growth

Government Debt and Economic Growth PDF Author: Vighneswara Swamy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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This Time Is Different

This Time Is Different PDF Author: Carmen M. Reinhart
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691152640
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 513

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Book Description
An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? PDF Author: Mr.Alexander Chudik
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513555901
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

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Book Description
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the context of dynamic heterogeneous panel data models with cross-sectionally dependent errors and illustrate, by means of Monte Carlo experiments, that they perform well in small samples. On the empirical side, using data on a sample of 40 countries (grouped into advanced and developing) over the 1965- 2010 period, we find no evidence for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account for the impact of global factors and their spillover effects. Regardless of the threshold, however, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a country with a high level of debt can grow just as fast as its peers in the long run.

Nonparametric Econometric Methods and Application

Nonparametric Econometric Methods and Application PDF Author: Thanasis Stengos
Publisher: MDPI
ISBN: 3038979643
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description
The present Special Issue collects a number of new contributions both at the theoretical level and in terms of applications in the areas of nonparametric and semiparametric econometric methods. In particular, this collection of papers that cover areas such as developments in local smoothing techniques, splines, series estimators, and wavelets will add to the existing rich literature on these subjects and enhance our ability to use data to test economic hypotheses in a variety of fields, such as financial economics, microeconomics, macroeconomics, labor economics, and economic growth, to name a few.

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? PDF Author: Mr.Alexander Chudik
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513513354
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

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Book Description
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the context of dynamic heterogeneous panel data models with cross-sectionally dependent errors and illustrate, by means of Monte Carlo experiments, that they perform well in small samples. On the empirical side, using data on a sample of 40 countries (grouped into advanced and developing) over the 1965- 2010 period, we find no evidence for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account for the impact of global factors and their spillover effects. Regardless of the threshold, however, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a country with a high level of debt can grow just as fast as its peers in the long run.

Public Debt Ceiling

Public Debt Ceiling PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Ways and Means
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 300

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Public Debt Limit

Public Debt Limit PDF Author: United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Finance
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Debts, Public
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description