Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises PDF Author: Jerome Leon Stein
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 0199280576
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 305

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Book Description
This book focuses on the interaction between equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt, endogenous optimal growth and current account balances, in a world of uncertainty. The theoretical parts result from interdisciplinary research between economics and applied mathematics. From the economic theory and the mathematics of stochastic optimal control the author derives benchmarks for the optimal debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in an environment where both thereturn on capital and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. The theoretically derived equilibrium real exchange rate - the "natural real exchange rate" NATREX - is where the real exchange rate is heading. These benchmarks are applied to answer the following questions.* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of a "misaligned" exchange rate that increases the probability of a significant depreciation or a currency crisis?* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of an "excess" debt that increases the probability of or a debt crisis?* What is the interaction between an excess debt and a misaligned exchange rate?The theory is applied to evaluate the Euro exchange rate, the exchange rates of the transition economies, the sustainability of U.S. current account deficits, and derives warning signals of the Asian crises and debt crises in emerging markets.

Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises

Stochastic Optimal Control, International Finance, and Debt Crises PDF Author: Jerome Leon Stein
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN: 0199280576
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 305

Get Book

Book Description
This book focuses on the interaction between equilibrium real exchange rates, optimal external debt, endogenous optimal growth and current account balances, in a world of uncertainty. The theoretical parts result from interdisciplinary research between economics and applied mathematics. From the economic theory and the mathematics of stochastic optimal control the author derives benchmarks for the optimal debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in an environment where both thereturn on capital and the real rate of interest are stochastic variables. The theoretically derived equilibrium real exchange rate - the "natural real exchange rate" NATREX - is where the real exchange rate is heading. These benchmarks are applied to answer the following questions.* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of a "misaligned" exchange rate that increases the probability of a significant depreciation or a currency crisis?* What is a theoretically based empirical measure of an "excess" debt that increases the probability of or a debt crisis?* What is the interaction between an excess debt and a misaligned exchange rate?The theory is applied to evaluate the Euro exchange rate, the exchange rates of the transition economies, the sustainability of U.S. current account deficits, and derives warning signals of the Asian crises and debt crises in emerging markets.

Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis

Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis PDF Author: Jerome L. Stein
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 146143078X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 167

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Book Description
Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC)—a mathematical theory concerned with minimizing a cost (or maximizing a payout) pertaining to a controlled dynamic process under uncertainty—has proven incredibly helpful to understanding and predicting debt crises and evaluating proposed financial regulation and risk management. Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis analyzes SOC in relation to the 2008 U.S. financial crisis, and offers a detailed framework depicting why such a methodology is best suited for reducing financial risk and addressing key regulatory issues. Topics discussed include the inadequacies of the current approaches underlying financial regulations, the use of SOC to explain debt crises and superiority over existing approaches to regulation, and the domestic and international applications of SOC to financial crises. Principles in this book will appeal to economists, mathematicians, and researchers interested in the U.S. financial debt crisis and optimal risk management.

Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis

Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis PDF Author: Jerome L. Stein
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461430798
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 167

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Book Description
Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC)—a mathematical theory concerned with minimizing a cost (or maximizing a payout) pertaining to a controlled dynamic process under uncertainty—has proven incredibly helpful to understanding and predicting debt crises and evaluating proposed financial regulation and risk management. Stochastic Optimal Control and the U.S. Financial Debt Crisis analyzes SOC in relation to the 2008 U.S. financial crisis, and offers a detailed framework depicting why such a methodology is best suited for reducing financial risk and addressing key regulatory issues. Topics discussed include the inadequacies of the current approaches underlying financial regulations, the use of SOC to explain debt crises and superiority over existing approaches to regulation, and the domestic and international applications of SOC to financial crises. Principles in this book will appeal to economists, mathematicians, and researchers interested in the U.S. financial debt crisis and optimal risk management.

Debt, Risk and Liquidity in Futures Markets

Debt, Risk and Liquidity in Futures Markets PDF Author: Barry Goss
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134147325
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 231

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Book Description
Including contributions from Jerome Stein and Guay Lim, this book explores debt and liquidity in finance. In three parts it covers developing country debt and currency crises, risk, and risk management in futures markets and liquidity.

Stochastic Control

Stochastic Control PDF Author: Chris Myers
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN: 9533071214
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 663

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Book Description
Uncertainty presents significant challenges in the reasoning about and controlling of complex dynamical systems. To address this challenge, numerous researchers are developing improved methods for stochastic analysis. This book presents a diverse collection of some of the latest research in this important area. In particular, this book gives an overview of some of the theoretical methods and tools for stochastic analysis, and it presents the applications of these methods to problems in systems theory, science, and economics.

Mathematics of Finance

Mathematics of Finance PDF Author: AMS-IMS-SIAM JOINT SUMMER RESEARCH CONFE
Publisher: American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN: 0821834126
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 398

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Book Description
The mathematics of finance involves a wide spectrum of techniques that go beyond traditional applied mathematics. The field has witnessed a tremendous amount of progress in recent years, which has inspired communication and networking among researchers in finance, economics, engineering, and industry. This volume contains papers based on the talks given at the first AMS-IMS-SIAM joint research conference on financial mathematics. Topics covered include modeling, estimation, optimization, control, risk assessment and management, contingent claim pricing, dynamic hedging, and financial derivative design.

International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics

International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics PDF Author: Giancarlo Gandolfo
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3662498626
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 681

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Book Description
This rigorous textbook tames technicalities and makes even the most complex models accessible to students. Its unique two-tier structure makes the book attractive for undergraduates, graduates and researchers alike. In fact, the coverage is primarily directed to undergraduate students and is mainly confined to graphic analysis and to some elementary algebra. Further, each chapter has its own mathematical appendix, in which (i) the topics treated in the text are examined at a level suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates and researchers, and (ii) generalizations and/or topics not treated in the text (including some at the cutting edge of research) are formally examined. The new edition has been thoroughly revised and updated to reflect the latest research on international finance. This book deals with the financial side of international economics and covers all aspects of international finance. There are many books and articles by exponents of alternative points of view. I know of no other book that provides the scope, balance, objectivity and rigor of this book. the late Professor Jerome L. Stein, Brown University This book is a second edition of a volume on international finance first published in 2001. Like Giancarlo’s other books in International Economics, this book is organised as a two-books-in-one by distributing the material between text and appendices. The text provides coverage suitable for an undergraduate course while the mathematical appendices provide coverage of the topics at the frontier of the discipline and suitable for advanced undergraduate or graduate students in an international finance and international macroeconomics course. This edition updates the earlier volume and covers all the classic topics as well as the more recent advances in the theory and modelling of international finance. It includes some discussion of the empirical testing of these theories and where appropriate reference to the extensive empirical literature is also provided. This book is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any serious International Finance Scholar and provides a treasure chest of material for any quality international finance course. Professor Pasquale M Sgro, Deakin University Giancarlo Gandolfo is one of the profession's most gifted textbook authors on mathematical modeling and international economics. His revised International Finance and Open-Economy Macroeconomics is remarkable for its scope and clarity. The book covers the older and intertemporal approaches, and topics that are usually left out of graduate treatments (the chapter on balance-of-payments accounting is a gem). Gandolfo's two-tier approach of first developing topics with graphs and basic algebra and then providing rigorous mathematics for each topic makes the book ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate classes. Professor Michael D. Goldberg, University of New Hampshire

The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe

The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe PDF Author: Rajeesh Kumar
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 1137356758
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 310

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Book Description
The authors uncover the roots of the eurozone crisis, focusing on how this can be solved against the backdrop of a very deep financial and economic crisis and its strong social impact. Looking at the impact of the financial crisis on the eurozone, they explore the European Union's recent and future developments.

Global Waves of Debt

Global Waves of Debt PDF Author: M. Ayhan Kose
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464815453
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 403

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Book Description
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies

Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies PDF Author: Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1800880502
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 279

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Book Description
Foreign Exchange Constraint and Developing Economies addresses the complex nature of foreign exchange constraint for macroeconomic and social development. The book collects expertise and perspectives from a diverse set of contributions. Using a combination of innovative theoretical and empirical approaches, the book suggests several analytical frameworks to help advance academic research and policy work on foreign exchange and sustainable development.