Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions and Application to Sensitivity Analysis

Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions and Application to Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Bruno Sudret
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Languages : en
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Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions and Application to Sensitivity Analysis

Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions and Application to Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Bruno Sudret
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions for Uncertainty Propagation and Sensitivity Analysis

Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions for Uncertainty Propagation and Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Bruno Sudret
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Languages : en
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Adaptive Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions for Uncertainty Propagation and Sensitivity Analysis

Adaptive Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions for Uncertainty Propagation and Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Géraud Blatman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
Cette thèse s'insère dans le contexte générale de la propagation d'incertitudes et de l'analyse de sensibilité de modèles de simulation numérique, en vue d'applications industrielles. Son objectif est d'effectuer de telles études en minimisant le nombre d'évaluations du modèle, potentiellement coûteuses. Le présent travail repose sur une approximation de la réponse du modèle sur la base du chaos polynomial (CP), qui permet de réaliser des post-traitements à un coût de calcul négligeable. Toutefois, l'ajustement du CP peut nécessiter un nombre conséquent d'appels au modèle si ce dernier dépend d'un nombre élevé de paramètres (e.g. supérieur à 10). Pour contourner ce problème, on propose deux algorithmes pour ne sélectionner qu'un faible nombre de termes importants dans la représentation par CP, à savoir une procédure de régression pas-à-pas et une procédure basée sur la méthode de Least Angle Regression (LAR). Le faible nombre de coefficients associés aux CP creux obtenus peuvent ainsi être déterminés à partir d'un nombre réduit d'évaluations du modèle. Les méthodes sont validées sur des cas-tests académiques de mécanique, puis appliquées sur le cas industriel de l'analyse d'intégrité d'une cuve de réacteur à eau pressurisée. Les résultats obtenus confirment l'efficacité des méthodes proposées pour traiter les problèmes de propagation d'incertitudes et d'analyse de sensibilité en grande dimension.

Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification

Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification PDF Author: Roger Ghanem
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9783319123844
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
The topic of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has witnessed massive developments in response to the promise of achieving risk mitigation through scientific prediction. It has led to the integration of ideas from mathematics, statistics and engineering being used to lend credence to predictive assessments of risk but also to design actions (by engineers, scientists and investors) that are consistent with risk aversion. The objective of this Handbook is to facilitate the dissemination of the forefront of UQ ideas to their audiences. We recognize that these audiences are varied, with interests ranging from theory to application, and from research to development and even execution.

Global Sensitivity Analysis

Global Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Andrea Saltelli
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470725177
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 304

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Book Description
Complex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.

Spectral Methods for Uncertainty Quantification

Spectral Methods for Uncertainty Quantification PDF Author: Olivier Le Maitre
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9048135206
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 542

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Book Description
This book deals with the application of spectral methods to problems of uncertainty propagation and quanti?cation in model-based computations. It speci?cally focuses on computational and algorithmic features of these methods which are most useful in dealing with models based on partial differential equations, with special att- tion to models arising in simulations of ?uid ?ows. Implementations are illustrated through applications to elementary problems, as well as more elaborate examples selected from the authors’ interests in incompressible vortex-dominated ?ows and compressible ?ows at low Mach numbers. Spectral stochastic methods are probabilistic in nature, and are consequently rooted in the rich mathematical foundation associated with probability and measure spaces. Despite the authors’ fascination with this foundation, the discussion only - ludes to those theoretical aspects needed to set the stage for subsequent applications. The book is authored by practitioners, and is primarily intended for researchers or graduate students in computational mathematics, physics, or ?uid dynamics. The book assumes familiarity with elementary methods for the numerical solution of time-dependent, partial differential equations; prior experience with spectral me- ods is naturally helpful though not essential. Full appreciation of elaborate examples in computational ?uid dynamics (CFD) would require familiarity with key, and in some cases delicate, features of the associated numerical methods. Besides these shortcomings, our aim is to treat algorithmic and computational aspects of spectral stochastic methods with details suf?cient to address and reconstruct all but those highly elaborate examples.

Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention − MICCAI 2017

Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention − MICCAI 2017 PDF Author: Maxime Descoteaux
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319661795
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 739

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Book Description
The three-volume set LNCS 10433, 10434, and 10435 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Medical Image Computing and Computer-Assisted Intervention, MICCAI 2017, held inQuebec City, Canada, in September 2017. The 255 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 800 submissions in a two-phase review process. The papers have been organized in the following topical sections: Part I: atlas and surface-based techniques; shape and patch-based techniques; registration techniques, functional imaging, connectivity, and brain parcellation; diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (dMRI) and tensor/fiber processing; and image segmentation and modelling. Part II: optical imaging; airway and vessel analysis; motion and cardiac analysis; tumor processing; planning and simulation for medical interventions; interventional imaging and navigation; and medical image computing. Part III: feature extraction and classification techniques; and machine learning in medical image computing.

Framework for Analysis and Identification of Nonlinear Distributed Parameter Systems using Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification based on Generalized Polynomial Chaos

Framework for Analysis and Identification of Nonlinear Distributed Parameter Systems using Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification based on Generalized Polynomial Chaos PDF Author: Janya-anurak, Chettapong
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
ISBN: 3731506424
Category : Electronic computers. Computer science
Languages : en
Pages : 248

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Book Description
In this work, the Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) approaches combined systematically to analyze and identify systems. The generalized Polynomial Chaos (gPC) expansion is applied to reduce the computational effort. The framework using gPC based on Bayesian UQ proposed in this work is capable of analyzing the system systematically and reducing the disagreement between the model predictions and the measurements of the real processes to fulfill user defined performance criteria.

Mixtures

Mixtures PDF Author: Kerrie L. Mengersen
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119998441
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
This book uses the EM (expectation maximization) algorithm to simultaneously estimate the missing data and unknown parameter(s) associated with a data set. The parameters describe the component distributions of the mixture; the distributions may be continuous or discrete. The editors provide a complete account of the applications, mathematical structure and statistical analysis of finite mixture distributions along with MCMC computational methods, together with a range of detailed discussions covering the applications of the methods and features chapters from the leading experts on the subject. The applications are drawn from scientific discipline, including biostatistics, computer science, ecology and finance. This area of statistics is important to a range of disciplines, and its methodology attracts interest from researchers in the fields in which it can be applied.

Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis PDF Author: Emanuele Borgonovo
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319522590
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 291

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Book Description
This book is an expository introduction to the methodology of sensitivity analysis of model output. It is primarily intended for investigators, students and researchers that are familiar with mathematical models but are less familiar with the techniques for performing their sensitivity analysis. A variety of sensitivity methods have been developed over the years. This monograph helps the analyst in her/his first exploration of this world. The main goal is to foster the recognition of the crucial role of sensitivity analysis methods as the techniques that allow us to gain insights from quantitative models. Also, exercising rigor in performing sensitivity analysis becomes increasingly relevant both to decision makers and modelers. The book helps the analyst in structuring her/his sensitivity analysis quest properly, so as to obtain the correct answer to the corresponding managerial question. The first part of the book covers Deterministic Methods, including Tornado Diagrams; One-Way Sensitivity Analysis; Differentiation-Based Methods and Local Sensitivity Analysis with Constraints. The second part looks at Probabilistic Methods, including Regression-Based methods, Variance-Based Methods, and Distribution-Based methods. The final section looks at Applications, including capital budgeting, sensitivity analysis in climate change modelling and in the risk assessment of a lunar space mission.