Robustness and Information Processing Constraints in Economic Models PDF Download
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Author: Kurt F. Lewis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Author: Kurt F. Lewis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Author: Kurt Frederick Lewis
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 137
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Author: Yulei Luo
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Jun Nie
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We examine the effects of two types of informational frictions, robustness (RB) and finite information-processing capacity (called rational inattention or RI) on the current account, in an otherwise standard intertemporal current account (ICA) model. We show that the interaction of RB and RI has the potential to improve the model's predictions on the joint dynamics of the current account and income: (i) the contemporaneous correlation between the current account and income, (ii) the volatility and persistence of the current account in small open emerging and developed economies. In addition, we show that the two informational frictions could also better explain consumption dynamics in small open economies: the impulse responses of consumption to income shocks and the relative volatility of consumption growth to income growth. Calibrated versions using detection probabilities fit the data better along these dimensions than the standard model does.
Author: Florian A. Bayer
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN: 3832545735
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 166
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In this thesis, we develop a novel framework for model predictive control (MPC) which combines the concepts of robust MPC and economic MPC. The goal of this thesis is to develop and analyze MPC schemes for nonlinear discrete-time systems which explicitly consider the influence of disturbances on arbitrary performance criteria. Instead of regarding the two aspects separately, we propose robust economic MPC approaches that integrate information which is available about the disturbance directly into the economic framework. In more detail, we develop three concepts which differ in which information about the disturbance is used and how this information is taken into account. Furthermore, we provide a thorough theoretical analysis for each of the three approaches. To this end, we present results on the asymptotic average performance as well as on optimal operating regimes. Optimal operating regimes are closely related to the notion of dissipativity, which is therefore analyzed for the presented concepts. Under suitable assumptions, results on necessity and sufficiency of dissipativity for optimal steady-state operation are established for all three robust economic MPC concepts. A detailed discussion is provided which compares the different performance statements derived for the approaches as well as the respective notions of dissipativity.
Author: Yong Zeng
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461477891
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 358
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Book Description
State-space models as an important mathematical tool has been widely used in many different fields. This edited collection explores recent theoretical developments of the models and their applications in economics and finance. The book includes nonlinear and non-Gaussian time series models, regime-switching and hidden Markov models, continuous- or discrete-time state processes, and models of equally-spaced or irregularly-spaced (discrete or continuous) observations. The contributed chapters are divided into four parts. The first part is on Particle Filtering and Parameter Learning in Nonlinear State-Space Models. The second part focuses on the application of Linear State-Space Models in Macroeconomics and Finance. The third part deals with Hidden Markov Models, Regime Switching and Mathematical Finance and the fourth part is on Nonlinear State-Space Models for High Frequency Financial Data. The book will appeal to graduate students and researchers studying state-space modeling in economics, statistics, and mathematics, as well as to finance professionals.
Author: Benjamin M. Friedman
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444532382
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 755
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Book Description
How have monetary policies matured during the last decade? The recent downturn in economies worldwide have put monetary policies in a new spotlight. In addition to their investigations of new tools, models, and assumptions, they look carefully atrecent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. They also reexamine standard presumptions about the rationality of asset markets and other fundamentals. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. Presents extensive coverage of monetary policy theories with an eye toward questions raised by the recent financial crisis Explores the policies and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policiesQuestions fiscal-monetary connections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years.
Author: Benjamin M. Friedman
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444534717
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1729
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Book Description
How have monetary policies matured during the last decade? The recent downturn in economies worldwide have put monetary policies in a new spotlight. In addition to their investigations of new tools, models, and assumptions, they look carefully at recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. They also reexamine standard presumptions about the rationality of asset markets and other fundamentals. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. - Presents extensive coverage of monetary policy theories with an eye toward questions raised by the recent financial crisis - Explores the policies and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policies - Questions fiscal-monetary connnections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself - Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Macroeconomics
Languages : en
Pages : 1202
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Book Description
Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691170975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 453
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Book Description
The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.
