Robustness

Robustness PDF Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691170975
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 453

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Book Description
The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.

International Asset Allocation with Time-varying Correlations

International Asset Allocation with Time-varying Correlations PDF Author: Andrew Ang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Asset allocation
Languages : en
Pages : 78

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Book Description
It is widely believed that correlations between international equity markets tend to increase in highly volatile bear markets. This has led some to doubt the benefits of international diversification. This article solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem of a US investor faced with a time-varying investment opportunity set which may be characterized by correlations and volatilities that increase in bad times. We model the state dependance of US, UK, and German equity returns using a regime-switching model and find evidence for the existence of a high volatility regime, in which returns are more highly correlated and have lower means. Solving the dynamic asset allocation problem for a CCRA investor, we show international diversification is still valuable with regime changes. Currency hedging imparts further benefit. The costs of ignoring the regimes are small for moderate levels of risk aversion, and the intertemporal hedging demands induced by time-varying correlations are negligible.

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation PDF Author: Kenneth Train
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521766559
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 399

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Book Description
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets

Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets PDF Author: Monique Jeanblanc
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1846287375
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 754

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Book Description
Mathematical finance has grown into a huge area of research which requires a large number of sophisticated mathematical tools. This book simultaneously introduces the financial methodology and the relevant mathematical tools in a style that is mathematically rigorous and yet accessible to practitioners and mathematicians alike. It interlaces financial concepts such as arbitrage opportunities, admissible strategies, contingent claims, option pricing and default risk with the mathematical theory of Brownian motion, diffusion processes, and Lévy processes. The first half of the book is devoted to continuous path processes whereas the second half deals with discontinuous processes. The extensive bibliography comprises a wealth of important references and the author index enables readers quickly to locate where the reference is cited within the book, making this volume an invaluable tool both for students and for those at the forefront of research and practice.

Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization

Multi-Period Trading Via Convex Optimization PDF Author: Stephen Boyd
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781680833287
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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Book Description
This monograph collects in one place the basic definitions, a careful description of the model, and discussion of how convex optimization can be used in multi-period trading, all in a common notation and framework.

Dissertation Abstracts International

Dissertation Abstracts International PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Dissertations, Academic
Languages : en
Pages : 784

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Book Description


A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing

A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing PDF Author: Hersh Shefrin
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080476031
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 513

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Book Description
A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing Theory examines the reigning assumptions of asset pricing theory and reconstructs them to incorporate findings from behavioral finance. It constructs a solid, intact structure that challenges classic assumptions and at the same time provides a strong theory and efficient empirical tools. Building on the models developed by both traditional asset pricing theorists and behavioral asset pricing theorists, this book takes the discussion to the next step. The author provides a general behaviorally based intertemporal treatment of asset pricing theory that extends to the discussion of derivatives, fixed income securities, mean-variance efficient portfolios, and the market portfolio. The book develops a series of examples to illustrate the theoretical results. The CD-ROM contains most of the examples, worked out as Excel spreadsheets, so that a diligent reader can follow them through. Instructors might also want to use the examples to assign class exercises, asking students to modify the numbers and see what happens. * The first book to focus completely on how behavioral finance principles affect asset pricing * Hersh Shefrin is a recognized expert in behavioral finance * Behavioral finance is a growth area in finance scholarship and moving more and more into practice

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

Financial Markets and the Real Economy PDF Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117

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Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Regression Discontinuity Designs

Regression Discontinuity Designs PDF Author: Juan Carlos Escanciano
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1787143902
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 539

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Book Description
Volume 38 of Advances in Econometrics collects twelve innovative and thought-provoking contributions to the literature on Regression Discontinuity designs, covering a wide range of methodological and practical topics such as identification, interpretation, implementation, falsification testing, estimation and inference.

Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets

Revisiting Risk-Weighted Assets PDF Author: Vanessa Le Leslé
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475502656
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50

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Book Description
In this paper, we provide an overview of the concerns surrounding the variations in the calculation of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) across banks and jurisdictions and how this might undermine the Basel III capital adequacy framework. We discuss the key drivers behind the differences in these calculations, drawing upon a sample of systemically important banks from Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific. We then discuss a range of policy options that could be explored to fix the actual and perceived problems with RWAs, and improve the use of risk-sensitive capital ratios.