Rating Change Probabilities: An Empirical Analysis of Sovereign Ratings PDF Download
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Author: Alex Bergen
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
ISBN: 3954896567
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49
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Book Description
This study analyzes the determinants of rating changes and the variables' marginal effects on rating change probabilities. Based on the results, it presents transition matrices by computing transition probabilities. Furthermore, this study analyzes subsamples of the data set, conditional on the business cycle and the economic strength of a country, by using interaction effects. The Author of this study thereby verifies whether or how the transition matrices change by including interaction effects. He applies a latent variable approach, using an ordered probit model, to calculate the effects of different variables on the probabilities of rating changes.
Author: Alex Bergen
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
ISBN: 3954896567
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 49
Get Book Here
Book Description
This study analyzes the determinants of rating changes and the variables' marginal effects on rating change probabilities. Based on the results, it presents transition matrices by computing transition probabilities. Furthermore, this study analyzes subsamples of the data set, conditional on the business cycle and the economic strength of a country, by using interaction effects. The Author of this study thereby verifies whether or how the transition matrices change by including interaction effects. He applies a latent variable approach, using an ordered probit model, to calculate the effects of different variables on the probabilities of rating changes.
Author: Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 007150205X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 1531
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Book Description
The world’s #1 fixed income book, now with 21 all-new chapters The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities occupies the top spot as the most authoritative, widely read reference in the global fixed income marketplace. First published in 1983, this comprehensive survey of current knowledge features contributions from leading academics and practitioners and has carved out a niche that cannot and will not be equaled by any other single sourcebook. Now, the thoroughly revised and updated seventh edition gives finance professionals the facts and formulas they need to compete in today’s transformed marketplace. It places increased emphasis on applications, electronic trading, and global portfolio management, and features new chapters on topics including: Eurobonds Emerging market debt Credit risk modeling Synthetics CDOs Transition management And many more
Author: Donald Nordberg
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 1446248232
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 289
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Book Description
Offering a fresh look at the commonly accepted view of what constitutes good governance, Donald Nordberg explores the contexts of board decisions and draws upon his academic research and years of business and financial journalism in Europe, North America and Asia to provide a distinctive and pertinent contribution to the literature on corporate governance. The book: - Features 21 detailed case studies, drawn from international examples, to prompt discussion and analysis - Provides topical, up-to-date examples and evidence - Gives attention to the important question "What next for Corporate Governance?" Supporting features include: Case Study questions; "Agenda Point" boxes to provide further analysis and consideration on topical issues; Further readings; Companion Website, featuring online resources.
Author: Barry Eichengreen
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226194574
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 306
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Book Description
Recent crises in emerging markets have been heavily driven by balance-sheet or net-worth effects. Episodes in countries as far-flung as Indonesia and Argentina have shown that exchange rate adjustments that would normally help to restore balance can be destabilizing, even catastrophic, for countries whose debts are denominated in foreign currencies. Many economists instinctually assume that developing countries allow their foreign debts to be denominated in dollars, yen, or euros because they simply don't know better. Presenting evidence that even emerging markets with strong policies and institutions experience this problem, Other People's Money recognizes that the situation must be attributed to more than ignorance. Instead, the contributors suggest that the problem is linked to the operation of international financial markets, which prevent countries from borrowing in their own currencies. A comprehensive analysis of the sources of this problem and its consequences, Other People's Money takes the study one step further, proposing a solution that would involve having the World Bank and regional development banks themselves borrow and lend in emerging market currencies.
Author: Barry R. Weingast
Publisher: Hoover Press
ISBN: 9780817957230
Category : Competition, International
Languages : en
Pages : 60
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Book Description
Author: Graciela Laura Kaminsky
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Contagio financiero
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
Changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. And these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant.
Author: Michael Frenkel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662099500
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 263
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Book Description
Sovereign risk and financial crises play a key role in current international economic developments, particularly in the case of economic downturns. As the Asian economic crisis in the late 1990s revealed once again, financial crises are the rule rather than the exception in capitalist economies. The event also revealed that international public debt agreements are contingent claims. In a world of increasing economic interdependencies, the issues of financial crises and country defaults are of critical importance. This volume goes to the heart of the academic discussion on sovereign risk and financial crises by centering on quantitative-empirical aspects, evaluating prominent approaches, and by proposing new methods. Part I of the volume identifies key factors and processes that are central in analyzing sovereign risk while Part II focuses on the determinants and effects of financial crises.
Author: Antonia Settle
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108851304
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 265
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Book Description
In a world of open markets and global trade, development thinking seeks stability and prosperity for the world's poor by expanding access to financial products. This book challenges the development sector's embrace of 'financial inclusion' by exploring how the new risks and instabilities that accompany the pivot towards the global economy undermining the functioning of money itself. Cast against fundamental change in the monetary environment accompanying the globalisation of markets, the book examines the rapid liberalisation of money and markets in Pakistan. It argues that liberalisation has generated substantive problems not only for the central bank as guardian of national currency, but for ordinary households. By pinpointing how globalisation generates new risks for households in the everyday economy, the book reveals jarring contradictions between free markets and financial inclusion whilst challenging money theory by positing substantive and empirically-grounded monetary contestation that demonstrates a burden of risk imposed on ordinary people, that is only exacerbated by financial inclusion.
Author: Bernd Engelmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642161146
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 432
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Book Description
The estimation and the validation of the Basel II risk parameters PD (default probability), LGD (loss given fault), and EAD (exposure at default) is an important problem in banking practice. These parameters are used on the one hand as inputs to credit portfolio models and in loan pricing frameworks, on the other to compute regulatory capital according to the new Basel rules. This book covers the state-of-the-art in designing and validating rating systems and default probability estimations. Furthermore, it presents techniques to estimate LGD and EAD and includes a chapter on stress testing of the Basel II risk parameters. The second edition is extended by three chapters explaining how the Basel II risk parameters can be used for building a framework for risk-adjusted pricing and risk management of loans.
Author: Fabian Dittrich
Publisher: Lulu.com
ISBN: 9781847999504
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 180
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Book Description
This study provides a comprehensive analysis of credit rating economics and draws conclusions on the nature of regulation. It starts with an overview of the credit rating industry and introduces a framework that structures multiple rating agency functions. At the heart of the credit rating business model lies the reputation mechanism, which is analyzed in detail. After analyzing the reputation mechanism, the study takes a wider look at the industry and identifies the forces behind credit rating supply and demand. From an industrial organization perspective competition in the credit rating industry is limited. A comprehensive review of potential reasons for regulating the credit rating industry, however, reveals that there are only few compelling arguments. The regulatory approaches of the EU under the Capital Requirements Directive of 2005 and the USA under the Credit Rating Agency Reform Act of 2006 are contrasted against an optimal regulatory regime.
