Precipitation Probabilities in Weather Forecasts PDF Download
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Author: Escal S. Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Author: Escal S. Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Author: William H. Klein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Author: Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 96
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Author: Canada. Atmospheric Environment Service
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780662121312
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 4
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Author: Joseph Bocchieri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309180538
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 124
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Book Description
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Author: Augustine Yi Ming Yao
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Author: Robert H. Shaw
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 76
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Author: Daniel L. Smith
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
