Probabilistic Scenario-based Decision Making for Water Resources Planning and Management

Probabilistic Scenario-based Decision Making for Water Resources Planning and Management PDF Author: Congli Dong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Probabilistic Scenario-based Decision Making for Water Resources Planning and Management

Probabilistic Scenario-based Decision Making for Water Resources Planning and Management PDF Author: Congli Dong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description


Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design

Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design PDF Author: Patrick A. Ray
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464804788
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 149

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Book Description
Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design describes an approach to facing two fundamental and unavoidable issues brought about by climate change uncertainty in water resources planning and project design. The first is a risk assessment problem. The second relates to risk management. This book provides background on the risks relevant in water systems planning, the different approaches to scenario definition in water system planning, and an introduction to the decision-scaling methodology upon which the decision tree is based. The decision tree is described as a scientifically defensible, repeatable, direct and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. While applicable to all water resources projects, it allocates effort to projects in a way that is consistent with their potential sensitivity to climate risk. The process was designed to be hierarchical, with different stages or phases of analysis triggered based on the findings of the previous phase. An application example is provided followed by a descriptions of some of the tools available for decision making under uncertainty and methods available for climate risk management. The tool was designed for the World Bank but can be applicable in other scenarios where similar challenges arise.

Water Resources Systems Planning and Management

Water Resources Systems Planning and Management PDF Author: Sharad K. Jain
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080543693
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 883

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Book Description
This book is divided into four parts. The first part, Preliminaries, begins by introducing the basic theme of the book. It provides an overview of the current status of water resources utilization, the likely scenario of future demands, and advantages and disadvantages of systems techniques. An understanding of how the hydrological data are measured and processed is important before undertaking any analysis. The discussion is extended to emerging techniques, such as Remote Sensing, GIS, Artificial Neural Networks, and Expert Systems. The statistical tools for data analysis including commonly used probability distributions, parameter estimation, regression and correlation, frequency analysis, and time-series analysis are discussed in a separate chapter. Part 2 Decision Making, is a bouquet of techniques organized in 4 chapters. After discussing optimization and simulation, the techniques of economic analysis are covered. Recently, environmental and social aspects, and rehabilitation and resettlement of project-affected people have come to occupy a central stage in water resources management and any good book is incomplete unless these topics are adequately covered. The concept of rational decision making along with risk, reliability, and uncertainty aspects form subject matter of a chapter. With these analytical tools, the practitioner is well equipped to take a rational decision for water resources utilization. Part 3 deals with Water Resources Planning and Development. This part discusses the concepts of planning, the planning process, integrated planning, public involvement, and reservoir sizing. The last part focuses on Systems Operation and Management. After a resource is developed, it is essential to manage it in the best possible way. Many dams around the world are losing some storage capacity every year due to sedimentation and therefore, the assessment and management of reservoir sedimentation is described in details. No analysis of water resources systems is complete without consideration of water quality. A river basin is the natural unit in which water occurs. The final chapter discusses various issues related to holistic management of a river basin.

Collective Decision Making in Water Resource Planning

Collective Decision Making in Water Resource Planning PDF Author: Roy Burke
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 296

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Risk-based Decision Making in Water Resources VII

Risk-based Decision Making in Water Resources VII PDF Author: Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 498

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Book Description
Twenty-nine essays from the conference examine such topics as regulatory reform, environmental world views and water resources, policy and engineering decision making under global change, modeling and solving water resources engineering design problems, reliability of a box culvert structure under a levee during project floods, project planning in developing countries, the influence of trust on risk-based decision making, urban stormwater quality management, risk reduction of lead and mercury, and measures of water distribution system reliability. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Addressing Climate Change in Local Water Agency Plans

Addressing Climate Change in Local Water Agency Plans PDF Author: David G. Groves
Publisher: Rand Corporation
ISBN: 0833082566
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 107

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Book Description
This report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives across more than 50 futures reflecting different assumptions about future climate, urban growth, and the availability of important new supplies.

Risk Analysis and Management of Natural and Man-made Hazards

Risk Analysis and Management of Natural and Man-made Hazards PDF Author: Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780872626881
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 372

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Book Description
Contains the papers presented at the third Engineering Foundation Conference on Risk-Based Decision-making titled Risk Analysis and Management of Natural and Man-Made Hazards, held in California on November 8-13, 1987. The papers focus on the use and application of risk analysis to the management of natural and man-made hazards.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty PDF Author: Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3030052524
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 408

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Book Description
This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

Integrated and Participatory Water Resources Management - Theory

Integrated and Participatory Water Resources Management - Theory PDF Author: Rodolfo Soncini-Sessa
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080551416
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 583

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Book Description
Covering the more recent advances in Modelling, Planning, Management and Negotiations for Integrated Water Resource Management, this text brings together knowledge and concepts from Hydrology, System Analysis, Control Theory, Conflict Resolution, and Decision and Negotiation Theory. Without compromising on mathematical rigour, the book maintains a fine line between theory and application, methodology and tools, avoiding getting locked into excessively theoretical and formal development of the issues discussed. The non-technical aspects of water resource systems (such as societal, political and legal concerns) are recognized throughout the book as having a great, if not fundamental, importance to reaching an agreed-upon decision; they are therefore integrated into the more technical and mathematical issues. The book provides a unified, coordinated and comprehensive framework that will facilitate the increasingly appropriate application of the Integrated Water Resource Management paradigm by current and future practising professionals, decision-makers and scientists. · Integration of technical modelling and control aspects with participatory and decision-making issues· Insightful and comprehensive treatment of theoretical contents, supported by practical examples· A wide collection of exercises and project examples based on real-world case studies (with complete solutions)

Water Resource Systems Planning and Management

Water Resource Systems Planning and Management PDF Author: Daniel P. Loucks
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319442341
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 635

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Book Description
This book is open access under a CC BY-NC 4.0 license. This revised, updated textbook presents a systems approach to the planning, management, and operation of water resources infrastructure in the environment. Previously published in 2005 by UNESCO and Deltares (Delft Hydraulics at the time), this new edition, written again with contributions from Jery R. Stedinger, Jozef P. M. Dijkman, and Monique T. Villars, is aimed equally at students and professionals. It introduces readers to the concept of viewing issues involving water resources as a system of multiple interacting components and scales. It offers guidelines for initiating and carrying out water resource system planning and management projects. It introduces alternative optimization, simulation, and statistical methods useful for project identification, design, siting, operation and evaluation and for studying post-planning issues. The authors cover both basin-wide and urban water issues and present ways of identifying and evaluating alternatives for addressing multiple-purpose and multi-objective water quantity and quality management challenges. Reinforced with cases studies, exercises, and media supplements throughout, the text is ideal for upper-level undergraduate and graduate courses in water resource planning and management as well as for practicing planners and engineers in the field.