Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity Price Dynamics PDF Author: Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139501976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 239

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Book Description
Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Commodity Price Dynamics PDF Author: Craig Pirrong
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139501976
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 239

Get Book Here

Book Description
Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation PDF Author: Samya Beidas-Strom
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498333486
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.

The Oil Bubble

The Oil Bubble PDF Author: Samuel P. Irvin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Speculation
Languages : en
Pages : 78

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Book Description


The Role of Market Speculation in Rising Oil and Gas Prices

The Role of Market Speculation in Rising Oil and Gas Prices PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Natural gas
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description


Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy PDF Author: Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319282018
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 620

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Book Description
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

Commodity Prices and Markets

Commodity Prices and Markets PDF Author: Takatoshi Ito
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226386899
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.

The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets

The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets PDF Author: Bassam Fattouh
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781907555442
Category : Petroleum products
Languages : en
Pages : 25

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Book Description


Anatomy of the Crude Oil Pricing System

Anatomy of the Crude Oil Pricing System PDF Author: Bassam Fattouh
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description


Advanced Positioning, Flow, and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets

Advanced Positioning, Flow, and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets PDF Author: Mark J. S. Keenan
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111960382X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 294

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Book Description
The definitive book on Positioning Analysis — a powerful and sophisticated framework to help traders, investors and risk managers better understand commodity markets Positioning Analysis is a powerful framework to better understand commodity price dynamics, risk, and sentiment. It indicates what each category of trader is doing—what they are trading, how much they are trading and how they might behave under a variety of different circumstances. It is essential in isolating specific types of flow patterns, defining behavioral responses, measuring shifts in sentiment, and developing tools for better risk management. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets explains the fundamentals of Positioning Analysis and presents new concepts in Commodity Positioning Analytics. This invaluable guide helps readers recognize how certain types of positioning patterns can be used to develop models, indicators, and analyses that can be used to enhance performance. This updated second edition contains substantial new material, including analytics based on the analysis of flow, the decomposition of trading flows, trading activity in the Chinese commodity markets, and the inclusion of Newsflow into Positioning Analysis. Author: Mark J S Keenan, also covers the structure of positioning data, performance attribution of speculators, sentiment analysis and the identification of price risks and behavioral patterns that can be used to generate trading signals.. This must-have resource: Offers intuitive and accessible guidance to commodity market participants and risk managers at various levels and diverse areas of the market Provides a wide range of analytics that can be used directly or integrated into a variety of different commodity-related trading, investment, and risk management programs Features an online platform comprising a wide range of customizable, regularly-updated analytical tools Contains an abundance of exceptional graphics, charts, and illustrations Includes easy-to-follow instructions for building analytics. Advanced Positioning, Flow and Sentiment Analysis in Commodity Markets: Bridging Fundamental and Technical Analysis, 2nd Edition is an indispensable source of information for all types of commodity traders, investors, and speculators, as well as investors in other asset classes who look to the commodity markets for price information.

Storage and Commodity Markets

Storage and Commodity Markets PDF Author: Jeffrey C. Williams
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 0521326168
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 522

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Book Description
This book deals with the capability to store surplus commodities and the impact of stockpiles on prices and production.