Author: Escal S. Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Precipitation Probabilities in Weather Forecasts
Author: Escal S. Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
Book Description
Probability Forecasting
Author: Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 96
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 96
Book Description
On the Use of Probability Statements in Weather Forecasts
Author: Charles F. Roberts
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Probability forecasts (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 24
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Probability forecasts (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 24
Book Description
Completing the Forecast
Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309180538
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 124
Book Description
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309180538
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 124
Book Description
Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Computer Prediction of Precipitation Probability for 108 Cities in the United States
Author: William H. Klein
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 44
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 44
Book Description
The State of the Art of Probabilistic Weather Forecasting
Author: Allan H. Murphy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 64
Book Description
Numerical Weather Prediction Activities Report
Author: United States. National Weather Service
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorological instruments
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorological instruments
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Predictability of Weather and Climate
Author: Tim Palmer
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139458205
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 693
Book Description
With contributions by leading experts, including an unpublished paper by Ed Lorenz, this book, first published in 2006, covers many topics in weather and climate predictability. It will interest those in the fields of environmental science and weather and climate forecasting, from graduate students to researchers, by examining theoretical and practical aspects of predictability.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1139458205
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 693
Book Description
With contributions by leading experts, including an unpublished paper by Ed Lorenz, this book, first published in 2006, covers many topics in weather and climate predictability. It will interest those in the fields of environmental science and weather and climate forecasting, from graduate students to researchers, by examining theoretical and practical aspects of predictability.
Numerical Weather Prediction Activities, National Meteorological Center
Author: National Meteorological Center (U.S.)
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorological instruments
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorological instruments
Languages : en
Pages : 72
Book Description
Precipitation Probability Forecasts
Author: Laurence Dean Bark
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 5
Book Description
Descriptors: precipitation forecasting, weather forecasting.
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 5
Book Description
Descriptors: precipitation forecasting, weather forecasting.