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Author: Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513557599
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
Portfolio rebalancing is a key transmission channel of quantitative easing in Japan. We construct a realistic rebalancing scenario, which suggests that the BoJ may need to taper its JGB purchases in 2017 or 2018, given collateral needs of banks, asset-liability management constraints of insurers, and announced asset allocation targets of major pension funds. Nonetheless, the BoJ could deliver continued monetary stimulus by extending the maturity of its JGB purchases or by scaling up private asset purchases. We quantify the impact of rebalancing on capital outflows and discuss JGB market signals that can be indicative of limits being within reach.
Author: Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513557599
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
Portfolio rebalancing is a key transmission channel of quantitative easing in Japan. We construct a realistic rebalancing scenario, which suggests that the BoJ may need to taper its JGB purchases in 2017 or 2018, given collateral needs of banks, asset-liability management constraints of insurers, and announced asset allocation targets of major pension funds. Nonetheless, the BoJ could deliver continued monetary stimulus by extending the maturity of its JGB purchases or by scaling up private asset purchases. We quantify the impact of rebalancing on capital outflows and discuss JGB market signals that can be indicative of limits being within reach.
Author: Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781513511528
Category : Asset-liability management
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1513560220
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
Portfolio rebalancing is a key transmission channel of quantitative easing in Japan. We construct a realistic rebalancing scenario, which suggests that the BoJ may need to taper its JGB purchases in 2017 or 2018, given collateral needs of banks, asset-liability management constraints of insurers, and announced asset allocation targets of major pension funds. Nonetheless, the BoJ could deliver continued monetary stimulus by extending the maturity of its JGB purchases or by scaling up private asset purchases. We quantify the impact of rebalancing on capital outflows and discuss JGB market signals that can be indicative of limits being within reach.
Author: Kiichi Tokuoka
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455211745
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 23
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Book Description
Boosting growth through rebalancing is critical for addressing pressures from Japan’s aging population. This paper focuses on one important untapped source of growth - private consumption, and argues that the key to reviving consumption is boosting household disposable income through higher wages, especially in services, and higher property income. The paper also suggests that the impact of higher property income on consumption could be potentially large.
Author: Michiro Naito
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119603668
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 197
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Book Description
An indispensable resource for anyone wishing to understand and successfully invest in the Nikkei. Recent years have seen steady growth in investor interest in the Japanese equity market, the second largest in the world. Japanese Equities describes how the Nikkei works, explains its driving factors and presents a collection of insightful case studies to help you successfully invest in the market. Author Michiro Naito, a former equity derivatives/quantitative strategist for J.P. Morgan Securities Japan, helps you understand the ups and downs of the market and capitalise on its money-making opportunities. Already a substantial part of many equity investor portfolios, the Nikkei exhibits characteristics that respond more sensitively to global economic conditions than other developed markets. This valuable book helps you grasp the idiosyncrasies of the market and correctly time investing decisions to maximise profits. This English translation of the original Japanese book includes additional chapters discussing recent political developments that influence the Japanese economy such as the re-election of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, the trade policies of Donald Trump (the US-China trade war) and the difference in monetary policy between the Bank of Japan and the FED. This book: Offers a simple quantitative strategy to take advantage of the cyclical trends and repeating patterns of the Nikkei to attain desirable returns Explains how derivatives instruments affect the equity market, which is seldom covered in textbooks Highlights a quantitative approach supported by solid historical back-tests Discusses fundamental and technical factors that underlie the movement of the Japanese equity market Provides insights drawn from the author’s decades-long research and experience working in the securities industry Japanese Equities: A Practical Guide to Investing in the Nikkei is a must-have text for investors, hedge fund and pension fund managers, academics, researchers and students of international finance.
Author: Nobuyuki Oda
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
This paper provides an empirical investigation of monetary policy in Japan in the zero interest rate environment that has held sway since 1999. In particular, we focus on the effects of the zero interest rate commitment and of quantitative monetary easing on medium- to long-term interest rates in Japan. In the study we apply a version of the macro-finance approach, involving a combination of estimation of a structural macro-model and calibration of time-variant parameters to the yield curve observed in the market. This enables us to decompose interest rates into expectations and risk premium components and simultaneously to extract the market's perception of the Bank of Japan's (BOJ's) willingness to carry on its zero interest rate policy. In the analysis we make clear the counterfactual policy that would have been practiced in the absence of the actual policies followed by the BOJ since 1999. From this analysis, we tentatively conclude that the BOJ's monetary policy since 1999 has functioned mainly through the zero interest rate commitment, which has led to declines in medium- to long-term interest rates. We also find some evidence that, up until the end of 2003, raising the reserve target may have been perceived as a signal indicating the BOJ's accommodative policy stance although the size of the effect is not large. The portfolio rebalancing effect - either by the BOJ's supplying ample liquidity or by its purchases of long-term government bonds - has not been found to be significant.
Author: Margherita Bottero
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498300855
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59
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Book Description
We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.
Author: Robert Zielinski
Publisher: Kodansha America
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 266
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Book Description
Examines the Japanese stock market, its insular policies, and its role in the world economy and international economic relations.
Author: S. L. (Sandra L.) Schwartz
Publisher: Homewood, Ill. : Business One Irwin
ISBN: 9781556233906
Category : Cost and standard of living Japan
Languages : en
Pages : 800
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Book Description
Author: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 149835730X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 61
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Book Description
KEY ISSUES Abenomics is gaining traction, but progress across the three arrows has been uneven and medium-term risks remain substantial. Inflation has risen, a consumption tax increase has been implemented, and there are signs of a transition to private-led growth. However, structural reforms have progressed slowly and a medium-term fiscal plan beyond 2015 is still to be articulated. Uncertainty is therefore high whether the recovery and exit from deflation will become self sustained under current policies. More forceful growth reforms are needed to overcome structural headwinds to raising growth and ending deflation The next round of structural reforms should lift labor supply, reduce labor market duality, enhance risk capital provision, and accelerate agricultural and services sector deregulation. Corporate governance reforms already underway could help reduce firms’ preference for large cash holdings. A concrete medium-term fiscal reform plan is urgently needed. Given very high levels of public debt, implementation of the second consumption tax increase is critical to establish a track record of fiscal discipline. Adoption of a concrete medium-term fiscal consolidation plan beyond 2015 would build confidence in the sustainability of public finances and allow more flexibility to respond to downside risks. Plans to lower the corporate tax rate have growth benefits, but should proceed in combination with measures to offset revenue losses and be consistent with plans to restore fiscal sustainability. Monetary policy is appropriately accommodative. With inflation and inflation expectations increasing, no further easing is needed at this point. In case downside risks to the inflation outlook materialize, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) should act swiftly through further and/or longer- dated asset purchases. Communication should focus on achieving 2 percent inflation in a stable manner aided by a more transparent presentation of the BoJ’s forecast and underlying assumptions. The financial sector remains stable. Portfolio rebalancing by financial institutions and investors is desirable but also raises new risks, including from greater overseas engagement. In regional banks, limited growth opportunities and low net interest margins could further undermine core profitability and weaken capital buffers. Supervisors should continue to be proactive in monitoring these risks. Japan’s external position is assessed as broadly in balance—compared to moderately undervalued last year—because of structural changes in the external sector, including from the offshoring of production and sustained high energy imports, which have become more apparent. Launching all three arrows will create benefits for the region and the global economy. Spillovers via the trade channel and capital flows are expected to increase in coming years with uncertain net effects—higher exports and capital outflows—in the short term. As long as Japan continues to proceed with its reforms, incomes will rise and fiscal risks decline, which will be positive for the global economy.
