Papers: Demographic and technological projections

Papers: Demographic and technological projections PDF Author: Ohio State University. Centennial Commission on the Future of the Ohio State University
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Papers: Demographic and technological projections

Papers: Demographic and technological projections PDF Author: Ohio State University. Centennial Commission on the Future of the Ohio State University
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Global Trends 2040

Global Trends 2040 PDF Author: National Intelligence Council
Publisher: Cosimo Reports
ISBN: 9781646794973
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 158

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Technological Prospects And Population Trends

Technological Prospects And Population Trends PDF Author: Thomas J Espenshade
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1000314073
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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The world’s population is now estimated at over 5 billion, and projections call for a continued high growth rate, predominantly in the less-developed countries. Concern over the consequences of this situation has led to numerous public policy debates, and the complex interrelationships between population and technology have become an important new topic in demographic research. The papers in this book are based on a symposium entitled “Technological Prospects and Population Trends” arranged for the 150th National Annual Meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in New York City in May 1984. The book focuses on clarification of the impact that technological development and population change have on one another. For instance, how may population and related socioeconomic trends be conditioned by expected or foreseeable technological changes? What is the impact of population on technology in both the developed and newly industrializing areas of the world? Linking demography with developments in the major areas of agriculture, education, contraception, longevity, and health care, the distinguished contributors offer diverse yet integrated perspectives on what is fast becoming one of the major issues of our time.

Technical Paper

Technical Paper PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : United States
Languages : en
Pages : 528

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Guide for Local Area Population Projections

Guide for Local Area Population Projections PDF Author: Richard Irwin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Population forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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Beyond Six Billion

Beyond Six Billion PDF Author: National Research Council
Publisher: National Academies Press
ISBN: 0309172020
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 368

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Is rapid world population growth actually coming to an end? As population growth and its consequences have become front-page issues, projections of slowing growth from such institutions as the United Nations and the World Bank have been called into question. Beyond Six Billion asks what such projections really say, why they say it, whether they can be trusted, and whether they can be improved. The book includes analysis of how well past U.N. and World Bank projections have panned out, what errors have occurred, and why they have happened. Focusing on fertility as one key to accurate projections, the committee examines the transition from high, constant fertility to low fertility levels and discusses whether developing countries will eventually attain the very low levels of births now observed in the industrialized world. Other keys to accurate projections, predictions of lengthening life span and of the impact of international migration on specific countries, are also explored in detail. How good are our methods of population forecasting? How can we cope with the inevitable uncertainty? What population trends can we anticipate? Beyond Six Billion illuminates not only the forces that shape population growth but also the accuracy of the methods we use to quantify these forces and the uncertainty surrounding projections. The Committee on Population was established by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in 1983 to bring the knowledge and methods of the population sciences to bear on major issues of science and public policy. The committee's work includes both basic studies of fertility, health and mortality, and migration; and applied studies aimed at improving programs for the public health and welfare in the United States and in developing countries. The committee also fosters communication among researchers in different disciplines and countries and policy makers in government, international agencies, and private organizations. The work of the committee is made possible by funding from several government agencies and private foundations.

Technical Paper (United States. Bureau of the Census).

Technical Paper (United States. Bureau of the Census). PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 92

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The Future Population of the World

The Future Population of the World PDF Author: Wolfgang Lutz
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134065892
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 527

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The highly acclaimed The Future Population of the World contains the most authoritative assessment available of the extent to which population is likely to grow over the next 50 to 100 years. The book provides a thorough analysis of all the components of population change and translates these factors into a series of projections for the population of the world's regions. This revised and updated version incorporates completely new scenario projections based on updating starting values and revised assumptions, plus several methodological improvements. It also contains the best currently available information on global trends in AIDS mortality and the first ever fully probabilistic world population projections. The projections, given up to 2100, add important additional features to those of the UN and the World Bank: they show the impacts of alternative assumptions for all three components (mortality and migration, as well as fertility); they explicitly take into account possible environmental limits to growth; and, for the first time, they define confidence levels for global populations. Combining methodological innovation with overviews of the most recent data and literature, this updated edition of The Future Population of the World is sure to conform its reputation as the most comprehensive and essential publication in the field.

Technical Papers

Technical Papers PDF Author: United States. Presidential Commission on World Hunger
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Developing countries
Languages : en
Pages : 252

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Selection of papers prepared by consultants and recognized experts.

Demographics of the U.S.

Demographics of the U.S. PDF Author: Cheryl Russell
Publisher: New Strategist Publications Incorporated
ISBN: 9781933588285
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 537

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