Overreaction, Underreaction, and Misreaction

Overreaction, Underreaction, and Misreaction PDF Author: 宋伊茗
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 94

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Overreaction, Underreaction, and Misreaction

Overreaction, Underreaction, and Misreaction PDF Author: 宋伊茗
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 94

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Book Description


Investors' Misreaction to Unexpected Earnings

Investors' Misreaction to Unexpected Earnings PDF Author: Michael Kaestner
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 17

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Book Description
Behavioral Finance aims to explain empirical anomalies by introducing investor psychology as a determinant of asset pricing. Two kinds of anomalies, namely underreaction and overreaction, have been established by an impressive record of empirical work. While underreaction defines a slow adjustment of prices to corporate events or announcements, overreaction deals with extreme stock price reactions to previous information or past performance. Theoretical models have shown that both phenomena find potential explanations in cognitive biases, that is, investor irrationality.This study investigates current and past earnings surprises and subsequent market reaction for listed US companies over the period 1983-1999. The results suggest that investors simultaneously exhibit short-term underreaction to earnings announcements and long-term overreaction to past highly unexpected earnings. A potential explanation for the reported overreaction phenomenon is the representativeness bias. As I show, the overreaction and the later reversal is stronger for events, which exhibit a long series of similar past earnings surprises.

Underreaction, Overreaction, and Increasing Misreaction to Information in the Options Market

Underreaction, Overreaction, and Increasing Misreaction to Information in the Options Market PDF Author: Allen M. Poteshman
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 48

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Book Description
This paper investigates options market reaction to changes in the instantaneous variance of the underlying asset. There are three main findings. First, options market investors underreact to individual daily changes in instantaneous variance. Second, these same investors overreact to periods of mostly increasing or mostly decreasing daily changes in instantaneous variance. Third, they tend to underreact (overreact) to current daily changes in instantaneous variance that are preceded mostly by daily changes of the opposite (same) sign. The third finding can reconcile the first two and is also consistent with well-established cognitive biases.

Beyond Greed and Fear

Beyond Greed and Fear PDF Author: Hersh Shefrin
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780195161212
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 410

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Book Description
Even the best Wall Street investors make mistakes. No matter how savvy or experienced, all financial practitioners eventually let bias, overconfidence, and emotion cloud their judgement and misguide their actions. Yet most financial decision-making models fail to factor in these fundamentals of human nature. In Beyond Greed and Fear, the most authoritative guide to what really influences the decision-making process, Hersh Shefrin uses the latest psychological research to help us understand the human behavior that guides stock selection, financial services, and corporate financial strategy. Shefrin argues that financial practitioners must acknowledge and understand behavioral finance--the application of psychology to financial behavior--in order to avoid many of the investment pitfalls caused by human error. Through colorful, often humorous real-world examples, Shefrin points out the common but costly mistakes that money managers, security analysts, financial planners, investment bankers, and corporate leaders make, so that readers gain valuable insights into their own financial decisions and those of their employees, asset managers, and advisors. According to Shefrin, the financial community ignores the psychology of investing at its own peril. Beyond Greed and Fear illuminates behavioral finance for today's investor. It will help practitioners to recognize--and avoid--bias and errors in their decisions, and to modify and improve their overall investment strategies.

Proceedings in Finance and Risk Perspectives ‘12

Proceedings in Finance and Risk Perspectives ‘12 PDF Author:
Publisher: Othmar M. Lehner
ISBN: 3950351809
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 655

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Book Description


Volatility Trading

Volatility Trading PDF Author: Euan Sinclair
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118416724
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 328

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Book Description
Popular guide to options pricing and position sizing for quant traders In this second edition of this bestselling book, Sinclair offers a quantitative model for measuring volatility in order to gain an edge in everyday option trading endeavors. With an accessible, straightforward approach, he guides traders through the basics of option pricing, volatility measurement, hedging, money management, and trade evaluation. This new edition includes new chapters on the dynamics of realized and implied volatilities, trading the variance premium and using options to trade special situations in equity markets. Filled with volatility models including brand new option trades for quant traders Options trader Euan Sinclair specializes in the design and implementation of quantitative trading strategies Volatility Trading, Second Edition + Website outlines strategies for defining a true edge in the market using options to trade volatility profitably.

Volatility Trading, + website

Volatility Trading, + website PDF Author: Euan Sinclair
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470181990
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 228

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Book Description
In Volatility Trading, Sinclair offers you a quantitative model for measuring volatility in order to gain an edge in your everyday option trading endeavors. With an accessible, straightforward approach. He guides traders through the basics of option pricing, volatility measurement, hedging, money management, and trade evaluation. In addition, Sinclair explains the often-overlooked psychological aspects of trading, revealing both how behavioral psychology can create market conditions traders can take advantage of-and how it can lead them astray. Psychological biases, he asserts, are probably the drivers behind most sources of edge available to a volatility trader. Your goal, Sinclair explains, must be clearly defined and easily expressed-if you cannot explain it in one sentence, you probably aren't completely clear about what it is. The same applies to your statistical edge. If you do not know exactly what your edge is, you shouldn't trade. He shows how, in addition to the numerical evaluation of a potential trade, you should be able to identify and evaluate the reason why implied volatility is priced where it is, that is, why an edge exists. This means it is also necessary to be on top of recent news stories, sector trends, and behavioral psychology. Finally, Sinclair underscores why trades need to be sized correctly, which means that each trade is evaluated according to its projected return and risk in the overall context of your goals. As the author concludes, while we also need to pay attention to seemingly mundane things like having good execution software, a comfortable office, and getting enough sleep, it is knowledge that is the ultimate source of edge. So, all else being equal, the trader with the greater knowledge will be the more successful. This book, and its companion CD-ROM, will provide that knowledge. The CD-ROM includes spreadsheets designed to help you forecast volatility and evaluate trades together with simulation engines.

Handbook of the Economics of Finance

Handbook of the Economics of Finance PDF Author: George M. Constantinides
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080495079
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 654

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Book Description
Volume 1A covers corporate finance: how businesses allocate capital - the capital budgeting decision - and how they obtain capital - the financing decision. Though managers play no independent role in the work of Miller and Modigliani, major contributions in finance since then have shown that managers maximize their own objectives. To understand the firm's decisions, it is therefore necessary to understand the forces that lead managers to maximize the wealth of shareholders.

A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing

A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing PDF Author: Hersh Shefrin
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0080482244
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 636

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Book Description
Behavioral finance is the study of how psychology affects financial decision making and financial markets. It is increasingly becoming the common way of understanding investor behavior and stock market activity. Incorporating the latest research and theory, Shefrin offers both a strong theory and efficient empirical tools that address derivatives, fixed income securities, mean-variance efficient portfolios, and the market portfolio. The book provides a series of examples to illustrate the theory. The second edition continues the tradition of the first edition by being the one and only book to focus completely on how behavioral finance principles affect asset pricing, now with its theory deepened and enriched by a plethora of research since the first edition

Behavioral Strategy in Perspective

Behavioral Strategy in Perspective PDF Author: Mie Augier
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN: 1787563499
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 295

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Book Description
Behavioral strategy has evolved as a field the last decades both intellectually and institutionally. This volume examines the relatively new field of behavioral strategy and its contribution to strategic management, with papers reflecting the past and present of behavioral strategy as a field, as well as possible avenues for future developments.