Operational Probability of Precipitation Type Forecasts Based on Model Output Statistics PDF Download
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Author: Joseph Bocchieri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Author: Joseph Bocchieri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 28
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Author: Stéphane Vannitsem
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 9780128123720
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weather forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 356
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Author: Raymond W. Arritt
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology
Languages : en
Pages : 234
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Electronic journals
Languages : en
Pages : 444
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Author: Allan Murphy
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000236323
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 560
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Book Description
Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weather forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 352
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Author: United States. National Weather Service. Systems Development Office
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Weather forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
Author: United States. National Weather Service. Systems Development Office
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 52
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Meteorology in aeronautics
Languages : en
Pages : 136
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