On the Cross Section of Conditionally Expected Stock Returns

On the Cross Section of Conditionally Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock price forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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On the Cross Section of Conditionally Expected Stock Returns

On the Cross Section of Conditionally Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Hui Guo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Stock price forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Conditional Betas, Higher Comoments and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns

Conditional Betas, Higher Comoments and the Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Lei Xu
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns PDF Author: Zhenyu Wang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
Most empirical studies of the static CAPM assume that betas remain constant over time and that the return on the value-weighted portfolio of all stocks is a proxy for the return on aggregate wealth. The general consensus is that the static CAPM is unable to explain satisfactorily the cross-section of average returns on stocks. We assume that the CAPM holds in a conditional sense, i.e., betas and the market risk premium vary over time. We include the return on human capital when measuring the return on aggregate wealth. Our specification performs well in explaining the cross-section of average returns.

Equilibrium Cross-Section of Returns

Equilibrium Cross-Section of Returns PDF Author: Joao F. Gomes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 71

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Book Description
We explicitly link expected stock returns to firm characteristics such as firm size and book-to-market ratio in a dynamic general equilibrium production economy. Despite the fact that stock returns in the model are characterized by an intertemporal CAPM with the market portfolio as the only factor, size and book-to-market play separate roles in describing the cross-section of returns. These firm characteristics appear to predict stock returns because they are correlated with the true conditional market beta of returns. These cross-sectional relations can subsist after one controls for a typical empirical estimate of market beta. This lends support to the view that the documented ability of size and book-to-market to explain the cross-section of stock returns is not necessarily inconsistent with a single-factor conditional CAPM model. Our model also gives rise to a number of additional implications for the cross-section of returns. In this paper, we focus on the business cycle properties of returns and firm characteristics. Our results appear consistent with the limited existing evidence and provide a benchmark for future empirical studies.cycle properties.

Dynamic Conditional Beta is Alive and Well in the Cross-Section of Daily Stock Returns

Dynamic Conditional Beta is Alive and Well in the Cross-Section of Daily Stock Returns PDF Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
This paper presents evidence for a significantly positive link between the dynamic conditional beta and the cross-section of daily stock returns. An investment strategy that takes a long position in stocks in the highest conditional beta decile and a short position in stocks in the lowest conditional beta decile produces average returns and alphas in the range of 0.60% to 0.80% per month. We provide an investor attention based explanation of this finding. We show that stocks with high conditional beta have strong attention-grabbing characteristics, leading to higher fraction of buyer-initiated trades for these stocks. We also find that stocks recently bought perform significantly better than stocks recently sold. Hence, the high beta stocks that investors are more likely to buy have higher expected returns than the low beta stocks that investors are more likely to sell.

The Cross-section of Stock Returns

The Cross-section of Stock Returns PDF Author: Stijn Claessens
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Rate of return
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Empirical Asset Pricing

Empirical Asset Pricing PDF Author: Turan G. Bali
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118589475
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 512

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Book Description
“Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Accounting Ratios and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns

Accounting Ratios and the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Adriana S. Cordis
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 38

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Book Description
Clean-surplus accounting implies that a firm's stock return can be decomposed into a function of the firm's return on equity, book-to-market equity ratio, and dividend-price ratio. Consequently, the variation in these ratios across firms should be indicative of cross-sectional variation in conditional expected returns. Although this prediction can be tested via cross-sectional regressions, the analysis suggests that ordinary-least-squares estimates of the regression coefficients are sensitive to extreme return observations. To address this issue, I develop an outlier-resistant approach for estimating the regression coefficients. The outlier-resistant estimates provide substantial evidence of the predicted cross-sectional relation between accounting ratios and expected returns.

Commodities

Commodities PDF Author: M. A. H. Dempster
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1498712339
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 725

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Book Description
Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development.This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodi

The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns

The Cross-section of Expected Stock Returns PDF Author: Eugene F. Fama
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Rate of return
Languages : en
Pages : 41

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Book Description