Modeling with Macro-Financial Linkages

Modeling with Macro-Financial Linkages PDF Author: Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451872704
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper develops a stylized, small, open economy macro model that incorporates an explicit and non-trivial role for financial intermediation. It illustrates how such a model could be used for policy analysis in an emerging market economy where policymakers are concerned about risks associated with rapid credit growth, financial dollarization, and foreign borrowing, while lacking traditional tools to effect monetary policy transmission, and hence could resort to more direct instruments, such as foreign exchange market intervention and regulatory and administrative measures. Calibrating the model to a stylized emerging European economy, the paper simulates real and financial sector implications of various external and policy-related shocks that could be used as input for monetary policy making.

Modeling with Macro-Financial Linkages

Modeling with Macro-Financial Linkages PDF Author: Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451872704
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
This paper develops a stylized, small, open economy macro model that incorporates an explicit and non-trivial role for financial intermediation. It illustrates how such a model could be used for policy analysis in an emerging market economy where policymakers are concerned about risks associated with rapid credit growth, financial dollarization, and foreign borrowing, while lacking traditional tools to effect monetary policy transmission, and hence could resort to more direct instruments, such as foreign exchange market intervention and regulatory and administrative measures. Calibrating the model to a stylized emerging European economy, the paper simulates real and financial sector implications of various external and policy-related shocks that could be used as input for monetary policy making.

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets PDF Author: Otaviano Canuto
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 1464800030
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 307

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Book Description
This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy PDF Author: Carl Chiarella
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135984506
Category : Biography & Autobiography
Languages : en
Pages : 513

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Book Description
This important new book from a group of Keynesian, but nonetheless technically-oriented economists explores one of the dominant paradigms in financial economics: the ‘intertemporal general equilibrium approach’.

Financial Crises in DSGE Models

Financial Crises in DSGE Models PDF Author: Mr.Jaromir Benes
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475524986
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 59

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Book Description
This paper presents the theoretical structure of MAPMOD, a new IMF model designed to study vulnerabilities associated with excessive credit expansions, and to support macroprudential policy analysis. In MAPMOD, bank loans create purchasing power that facilitates adjustments in the real economy. But excessively large and risky loans can impair balance sheets and sow the seeds of a financial crisis. Banks respond to losses through higher spreads and rapid credit cutbacks, with adverse effects for the real economy. These features allow the model to capture the basic facts of financial cycles. A companion paper studies the simulation properties of MAPMOD.

Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Regulation with Financial Frictions

Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Regulation with Financial Frictions PDF Author: Pierre-Richard Agenor
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 0262359421
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 601

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Book Description
An integrated analysis of how financial frictions can be accounted for in macroeconomic models built to study monetary policy and macroprudential regulation. Since the global financial crisis, there has been a renewed effort to emphasize financial frictions in designing closed- and open-economy macroeconomic models for monetary and macroprudential policy analysis. Drawing on the extensive literature of the past decade as well as his own contributions, in this book Pierre-Richard Age&́nor provides a unified set of theoretical and quantitative macroeconomic models with financial frictions to explore issues that have emerged in the wake of the crisis. These include the need to understand better how the financial system amplifies and propagates shocks originating elsewhere in the economy; how it can itself be a source of aggregate fluctuations; the extent to which central banks should account for financial stability considerations in the conduct of monetary policy; whether national central banks and regulators should coordinate their policies to promote macroeconomic and financial stability; and how much countercyclical macroprudential policies should be coordinated at the international level to mitigate financial spillovers across countries.

Policies for Macrofinancial Stability

Policies for Macrofinancial Stability PDF Author: Mr.Bas B. Bakker
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475572689
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

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Book Description
This note explores the costs and benefits of different policy options to reduce the risks associated with credit booms, drawing upon several country experiences and the findings from econometric analysis.

Risk Topography

Risk Topography PDF Author: Markus Brunnermeier
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 022609264X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 286

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Book Description
The recent financial crisis and the difficulty of using mainstream macroeconomic models to accurately monitor and assess systemic risk have stimulated new analyses of how we measure economic activity and the development of more sophisticated models in which the financial sector plays a greater role. Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy have assembled contributions from leading academic researchers, central bankers, and other financial-market experts to explore the possibilities for advancing macroeconomic modeling in order to achieve more accurate economic measurement. Essays in this volume focus on the development of models capable of highlighting the vulnerabilities that leave the economy susceptible to adverse feedback loops and liquidity spirals. While these types of vulnerabilities have often been identified, they have not been consistently measured. In a financial world of increasing complexity and uncertainty, this volume is an invaluable resource for policymakers working to improve current measurement systems and for academics concerned with conceptualizing effective measurement.

Macro-Financial Linkages in Egypt

Macro-Financial Linkages in Egypt PDF Author: Inessa Love
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148433907X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40

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Book Description
This paper investigates macro-financial linkages in Egypt using two complementary methods, assessing the interaction between different macroeconomic aggregates and loan portfolio quality in a multivariate framework as well as through a panel vector autoregressive method that controls for bank-level characteristics. Using a panel of banks over 1993-2010, the authors find that a positive shock to capital inflows and growth in gross domestic product improves banks’ loan portfolio quality, and that the effect is fairly similar in magnitude using the multivariate and panel vector autoregressive frameworks. In contrast, higher lending rates may lead to adverse selection problems and hence to a drop in portfolio quality. The paper also reports that a larger market share of foreign banks in the industry improves loan quality.

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR PDF Author: Mr.Dale F. Gray
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484322185
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 62

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Book Description
The purpose of this paper is to develop a model framework for the analysis of interactions between banking sector risk, sovereign risk, corporate sector risk, real economic activity, and credit growth for 15 European countries and the United States. It is an integrated macroeconomic systemic risk model framework that draws on the advantages of forward-looking contingent claims analysis (CCA) risk indicators for the banking systems in each country, forward-looking CCA risk indicators for sovereigns, and a GVAR model to combine the banking, the sovereign, and the macro sphere. The CCA indicators capture the nonlinearity of changes in bank assets, equity capital, credit spreads, and default probabilities. They capture the expected losses, spreads and default probability for sovereigns. Key to the framework is that sovereign credit spreads, banking system credit risk, corporate sector credit risk, economic growth, and credit variables are combined in a fully endogenous setting. Upon estimation and calibration of the global model, we simulate various negative and positive shock scenarios, particularly to bank and sovereign risk. The goal is to use this framework to analyze the impact and spillover of shocks and to help identify policies that would mitigate banking system, sovereign credit risk and recession risk—policies including bank capital increases, purchase of sovereign debt, and guarantees.

Macro-Financial Linkages in Shallow Markets

Macro-Financial Linkages in Shallow Markets PDF Author: International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484361490
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 53

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Book Description
This paper assesses and disseminates experiences and lessons from low-income countries (LICs) in Sub-Saharan Africa that were selected by the Africa Department in 2015-16 as pilots for enhanced analysis of macro-financial linkages in Article IV staff reports. The paper focuses on the common characteristics across the pilot countries and highlights the tools used in the analysis, the challenges encountered, and the solutions deployed in overcoming them.