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Author: Ariful Hoque
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
This paper presents a general optimization framework to forecast put and call option prices by exploiting the volatility of the options prices. The approach is flexible in that different objective functions for predicting the underlying volatility can be modified and adapted in the proposed framework. The framework is implemented empirically for four major currencies, including Euro. The forecast performance of this framework is compared with those of the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) of implied volatility and the GARCH(1,1). The results indicate that the proposed framework is capable of producing reasonable accurate forecasts for put and call prices.
Author: Ariful Hoque
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
This paper presents a general optimization framework to forecast put and call option prices by exploiting the volatility of the options prices. The approach is flexible in that different objective functions for predicting the underlying volatility can be modified and adapted in the proposed framework. The framework is implemented empirically for four major currencies, including Euro. The forecast performance of this framework is compared with those of the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) of implied volatility and the GARCH(1,1). The results indicate that the proposed framework is capable of producing reasonable accurate forecasts for put and call prices.
Author: Iain J. Clark
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470683686
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308
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Book Description
This book covers foreign exchange options from the point of view of the finance practitioner. It contains everything a quant or trader working in a bank or hedge fund would need to know about the mathematics of foreign exchange—not just the theoretical mathematics covered in other books but also comprehensive coverage of implementation, pricing and calibration. With content developed with input from traders and with examples using real-world data, this book introduces many of the more commonly requested products from FX options trading desks, together with the models that capture the risk characteristics necessary to price these products accurately. Crucially, this book describes the numerical methods required for calibration of these models – an area often neglected in the literature, which is nevertheless of paramount importance in practice. Thorough treatment is given in one unified text to the following features: Correct market conventions for FX volatility surface construction Adjustment for settlement and delayed delivery of options Pricing of vanillas and barrier options under the volatility smile Barrier bending for limiting barrier discontinuity risk near expiry Industry strength partial differential equations in one and several spatial variables using finite differences on nonuniform grids Fourier transform methods for pricing European options using characteristic functions Stochastic and local volatility models, and a mixed stochastic/local volatility model Three-factor long-dated FX model Numerical calibration techniques for all the models in this work The augmented state variable approach for pricing strongly path-dependent options using either partial differential equations or Monte Carlo simulation Connecting mathematically rigorous theory with practice, this is the essential guide to foreign exchange options in the context of the real financial marketplace.
Author: Iain J. Clark
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119978602
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 308
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Book Description
This book covers foreign exchange options from the point of view of the finance practitioner. It contains everything a quant or trader working in a bank or hedge fund would need to know about the mathematics of foreign exchange—not just the theoretical mathematics covered in other books but also comprehensive coverage of implementation, pricing and calibration. With content developed with input from traders and with examples using real-world data, this book introduces many of the more commonly requested products from FX options trading desks, together with the models that capture the risk characteristics necessary to price these products accurately. Crucially, this book describes the numerical methods required for calibration of these models – an area often neglected in the literature, which is nevertheless of paramount importance in practice. Thorough treatment is given in one unified text to the following features: Correct market conventions for FX volatility surface construction Adjustment for settlement and delayed delivery of options Pricing of vanillas and barrier options under the volatility smile Barrier bending for limiting barrier discontinuity risk near expiry Industry strength partial differential equations in one and several spatial variables using finite differences on nonuniform grids Fourier transform methods for pricing European options using characteristic functions Stochastic and local volatility models, and a mixed stochastic/local volatility model Three-factor long-dated FX model Numerical calibration techniques for all the models in this work The augmented state variable approach for pricing strongly path-dependent options using either partial differential equations or Monte Carlo simulation Connecting mathematically rigorous theory with practice, this is the essential guide to foreign exchange options in the context of the real financial marketplace.
Author: Zhaohui Chen
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9814499161
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 218
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Book Description
This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets.The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.
Author: Christian Pierdzioch
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9783540427452
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 232
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Book Description
A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.
Author: Jeffrey Owen Katz
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 0071454705
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 449
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Book Description
Advanced Option Pricing Models details specific conditions under which current option pricing models fail to provide accurate price estimates and then shows option traders how to construct improved models for better pricing in a wider range of market conditions. Model-building steps cover options pricing under conditional or marginal distributions, using polynomial approximations and “curve fitting,” and compensating for mean reversion. The authors also develop effective prototype models that can be put to immediate use, with real-time examples of the models in action.
Author: Bernd Mahler
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper analyzes if the implied volatility surface of foreign exchange options should be modelled by using classical stochastic volatility option pricing models or if more complex models like the Stochastic Skew models recently proposed by Carr and Wu (2004) are required. For this purpose three stochastic volatility models including the Heston model (1993), a restricted Heston model, a Hull White (1987) Model as well as three Stochastic Skew models based on different Jump structures, are calibrated and applied to the pricing of EURUSD and USDJPY options issued on the German foreign exchange options retail market. The comparison of market prices and model prices indicate that both for EURUSUD and USDJPY Stochastic Skew models based on time-changed Lévy processes mostly outperform traditional stochastic volatility models like Heston in capturing highly skewed implied volatility surfaces.
Author: David F. DeRosa
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471252672
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 414
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Book Description
Mit über einer Billion US Dollar Umsatz stellt der Devisenhandel weltweit den größten Markt dar. In diesem Markt sind Währungsderivate zu einem bevorzugten Handelsinstrument geworden, das von Großbanken, Brokerhäusern, Hedge Funds (spekulativ ausgerichteter Fonds, der mit Hilfe von Derivaten seine Gewinne zu optimieren versucht) und Handelsberatern eingesetzt wird. Zwar sind diese Instrumente heute komplexer denn je, aber sie sind ein unverzichtbares Mittel des Risikomanagements im Devisenhandel. Herausgegeben von führenden Devisenhändlern und Analysten, ist dieses Buch Basislektüre für jeden, der sich in diesem Bereich bewegt. Eine Sammlung der 20 besten und meist zitierten Beiträge zu Währungsderivaten, Preistheorie und Anwendungen von Hedging-Methoden (10/98)
Author: Antonio Castagna
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470684933
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 324
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Book Description
The FX options market represents one of the most liquid and strongly competitive markets in the world, and features many technical subtleties that can seriously harm the uninformed and unaware trader. This book is a unique guide to running an FX options book from the market maker perspective. Striking a balance between mathematical rigour and market practice and written by experienced practitioner Antonio Castagna, the book shows readers how to correctly build an entire volatility surface from the market prices of the main structures. Starting with the basic conventions related to the main FX deals and the basic traded structures of FX options, the book gradually introduces the main tools to cope with the FX volatility risk. It then goes on to review the main concepts of option pricing theory and their application within a Black-Scholes economy and a stochastic volatility environment. The book also introduces models that can be implemented to price and manage FX options before examining the effects of volatility on the profits and losses arising from the hedging activity. Coverage includes: how the Black-Scholes model is used in professional trading activity the most suitable stochastic volatility models sources of profit and loss from the Delta and volatility hedging activity fundamental concepts of smile hedging major market approaches and variations of the Vanna-Volga method volatility-related Greeks in the Black-Scholes model pricing of plain vanilla options, digital options, barrier options and the less well known exotic options tools for monitoring the main risks of an FX options’ book The book is accompanied by a CD Rom featuring models in VBA, demonstrating many of the approaches described in the book.
Author: Fatih Akin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 346
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Book Description
