Modeling the Regional Economic Impacts of Major New Military Bases PDF Download
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Military bases
Languages : en
Pages : 116
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Military bases
Languages : en
Pages : 116
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Military bases
Languages : en
Pages : 80
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 78
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Book Description
This thesis determined that a model could be developed to forecast the impact of the closure or restructure of a military installation on a regional economy. The closure of a military base can have a significant effect on a community, and the impacts are required by the National Environmental Protection Act to be estimated before legislative action can be passed. The research examined the theories of economic impact and multiplier effects. The principles of shift share analysis were further investigated and applied to the industries of the national and Monterey County economies. An average employment multiplier was derived and used in the development of an alternate economic impact forecast model. The research also applied other commercially available economic impact forecast models to the data associated with the base closure at Fort Ord, California, and the forecasts agreed that the county economy would suffer considerably in the short term. The selected model was then applied to two redevelopment options and the results predicted that the county economy would improve greatly in the long term after the initial slump.
Author: Charles K. Young
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 186
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This research determined that a model could be developed to predict the impact of changes in spending by a military installation on a regional economy. Such impacts are required to be estimated to implement the National Environmental Protection Act. The research examined the theoretical basis for impact determination especially economic base theory. This theory applies multipliers to changes in basic activity to predict economic impact. Techniques for developing multipliers were explored with emphasis on shift share analysis and location quotients. These techniques were applied to a comprehensive survey of the Monterey County economy. An Army developed model using location quotients was analyzed, and alternate techniques based on shift share analysis were proposed. Finally the impacts on Monterey County predicted by the two methods were compared using hypothetical changes in the Fort Ord force level. Recommendations for calculating impacts and improving predictive techniques are presented. (Author).
Author: M. Ray Perryman
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9400932677
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 263
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Book Description
This book is the first volume of the International Series in Economic Model ing, a series designed to summarize current issues and procedures in applied modeling within various fields of economics and to offer new or alternative approaches to prevailing problems. In selecting the subject area for the first volume, we were attracted by the area to which applied modeling efforts are increasingly being drawn, regional economics and its associated subfields. Applied modeling is a broad rubric even when the focus is restricted to econometric modeling issues. Regional econometric modeling has posted a record of rapid growth during the last two decades and has become an established field of research and application. Econometric models of states and large urban areas have become commonplace, but the existence of such models does not signal an end to further development of regional econ ometric methods and models. Many issues such as structural specification, level of geographic detail, data constraints, forecasting integrity, and syn thesis with other regional modeling techniques will continue to be sources of concern and will prompt further research efforts. The chapters of this volume reflect many of these issues. A brief synopsis of each contribution is provided below: Richard Weber offers an overview of regional econometric models by discussing theoretical specification, nature of variables, and ultimate useful ness of such models. For an illustration, Weber describes the specification of the econometric model of New Jersey.
Author:
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Category : Input-output analysis
Languages : en
Pages : 128
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 426
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Author: John E. Lynch
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 0429712790
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
Defense plant cutbacks and military base closures have affected hundreds of U.S. communities during the past twenty-five years. Tracing the recovery of four communities after large defense plant cutbacks and of one hundred communities after military base closures, the contributors analyze the transition from the production of military to civilian goods. The contributors examine the market potential of reusing defense industrial plants to produce civilian products within the one- to two-year period called for by economic conversion proponents, showing that the complex process needed to develop, test, and market an entirely new product requires a minimum of five years. They also review the wide range of economic development techniques available at the state and local level, conversion approaches in Western Europe, programs for displaced workers, and reasons why the economic conversion approach has failed to attract public support in the United States. The case studies are used to formulate an integrated, composite approach for coping with plant closures and major employment dislocations. Stressing the in portance of community-based economic adjustment activities, this book will be valuable to all concerned with mitigating the effects of military and civilian plant closures.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Environmental impact statements
Languages : en
Pages : 920
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 490
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