Misinterpretations of Precipitation Probability Forecasts PDF Download
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 14
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Book Description
Author: Escal S. Bennett
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation probabilities
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Author: Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation forecasting
Languages : en
Pages : 96
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Book Description
Author: Allan Murphy
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1000308200
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 547
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Book Description
Methodology drawn from the fields of probability. statistics and decision making plays an increasingly important role in the atmosphericsciences. both in basic and applied research and in experimental and operational studies. Applications of such methodology can be found in almost every facet of the discipline. from the most theoretical and global (e.g., atmospheric predictability. global climate modeling) to the most practical and local (e.g., crop-weather modeling forecast evaluation). Almost every issue of the multitude of journals published by the atmospheric sciences community now contain some or more papers involving applications of concepts and/or methodology from the fields of probability and statistics. Despite the increasingly pervasive nature of such applications. very few book length treatments of probabilistic and statistical topics of particular interest to atmospheric scientists have appeared (especially inEnglish) since the publication of the pioneering works of Brooks andCarruthers (Handbook of Statistical Methods in Meteorology) in 1953 and Panofsky and Brier-(some Applications of)statistics to Meteor) in 1958. As a result. many relatively recent developments in probability and statistics are not well known to atmospheric scientists and recent work in active areas of meteorological research involving significant applications of probabilistic and statistical methods are not familiar to the meteorological community as a whole.
Author: Charles F. Roberts
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Probability forecasts (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 24
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Book Description
Author: John W. Philpot
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Precipitation (Meteorology)
Languages : en
Pages : 121
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Book Description
Author: Robert R. Hoffman
Publisher: MIT Press
ISBN: 026254881X
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 501
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Book Description
A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
Author: J.S. Armstrong
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780792374015
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 880
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Book Description
This handbook summarises knowledge from experts and empirical studies. It provides guidelines that can be applied in fields such as economics, sociology, and psychology. Includes a comprehensive forecasting dictionary.
Author:
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0080863833
Category : Psychology
Languages : en
Pages : 445
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Book Description
The Psychology of Learning and Motivation publishes empirical and theoretical contributions in cognitive and experimental psychology, ranging from classical and instrumental conditioning to complex learning and problem solving. This guest-edited special issue is devoted to research and discussion on decision making from a cognitive perspective. Topics include judgment and decision making with respect to memory processes and techniques, domain-specificity, and confirmation bias. Key Features* Synthesis of decision and cognitive research* New theoretical treatments of critical phenomena* New findings and systematic reviews of past work* Coverage of preference, inference, prediction, and hypothesis-testing* Written by the new leading generation of researchers
Author: Terry Connolly
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521626026
Category : Education
Languages : en
Pages : 814
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Book Description
This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.
