Matching Pennies on the Campaign Trail PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Matching Pennies on the Campaign Trail PDF full book. Access full book title Matching Pennies on the Campaign Trail by Camilo García Jimeno. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Camilo García Jimeno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Elections
Languages : en
Pages : 56
Get Book Here
Book Description
We study the strategic interaction between the media and Senate candidates during elections. While the media is instrumental for candidates to communicate with voters, candidates and media outlets have conflicting preferences over the contents of the reporting. In competitive electoral environments such as most US Senate races, this can lead to a strategic environment resembling a matching pennies game. Based on this observation, we develop a model of bipartisan races where media outlets report about candidates, and candidates make decisions on the type of constituencies to target with their statements along the campaign trail. We develop a methodology to classify news content as suggestive of the target audience of candidate speech, and show how data on media reports and poll results, together with the behavioral implications of the model, can be used to estimate its parameters. We implement this methodology on US Senatorial races for the period 1980-2012, and find that Democratic candidates have stronger incentives to target their messages towards turning out their core supporters than Republicans. We also find that the cost in swing-voter support from targeting core supporters is larger for Democrats than for Republicans. These effects balance each other, making media outlets willing to cover candidates from both parties at similar rates.
Author: Camilo García Jimeno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Elections
Languages : en
Pages : 56
Get Book Here
Book Description
We study the strategic interaction between the media and Senate candidates during elections. While the media is instrumental for candidates to communicate with voters, candidates and media outlets have conflicting preferences over the contents of the reporting. In competitive electoral environments such as most US Senate races, this can lead to a strategic environment resembling a matching pennies game. Based on this observation, we develop a model of bipartisan races where media outlets report about candidates, and candidates make decisions on the type of constituencies to target with their statements along the campaign trail. We develop a methodology to classify news content as suggestive of the target audience of candidate speech, and show how data on media reports and poll results, together with the behavioral implications of the model, can be used to estimate its parameters. We implement this methodology on US Senatorial races for the period 1980-2012, and find that Democratic candidates have stronger incentives to target their messages towards turning out their core supporters than Republicans. We also find that the cost in swing-voter support from targeting core supporters is larger for Democrats than for Republicans. These effects balance each other, making media outlets willing to cover candidates from both parties at similar rates.
Author: Camilo Garcia-Jimeno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
We study empirically the strategic interaction between the media and candidates in a bipartisan election. We suggest that the relationship between the media and candidates in a campaign is shaped by both a dimension of alignment of preferences, and a dimension of misalignment, which leads to a strategic environment resembling a matching pennies game. As a result, making inferences about politicians' ideologies or policy stances based on media reports is not possible without taking explicit account of how each player's behavior affects the other. Based on this observation we develop a simple structural model of bipartisan races where the media makes reports about the candidates, and candidates make decisions along the campaign trail regarding the type of constituencies to target with their statements and speeches. We show how data on media reports, electoral results, and poll results, together with the behavioral implications of the model, can be used to estimate its structural parameters. We implement this methodology on US Senatorial races for the period 1980-2012. These parameters are useful, among other things, to predict the evolution of races during the campaign trail, and to understand the forces shaping candidates speech during campaigns. Moreover, our results suggest a novel interpretation for how the media constrains politicians' behavior in an democracy.
Author: Kumar, Rajeev
Publisher: IGI Global
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 475
Get Book Here
Book Description
In the advancing fields of artificial intelligence (AI) and data science, a pressing ethical dilemma arises. As technology continues its relentless march forward, ethical considerations within these domains become increasingly complex and critical. Bias in algorithms, lack of transparency, data privacy breaches, and the broader societal repercussions of AI applications are demanding urgent attention. This ethical quandary poses a formidable challenge for researchers, academics, and industry professionals alike, threatening the very foundation of responsible technological innovation. Navigating this ethical minefield requires a comprehensive understanding of the multifaceted issues at hand. The Ethical Frontier of AI and Data Analysis is an indispensable resource crafted to address the ethical challenges that define the future of AI and data science. Researchers and academics who find themselves at the forefront of this challenge are grappling with the evolving landscape of AI and data science ethics. Underscoring the need for this book is the current lack of clarity on ethical frameworks, bias mitigation strategies, and the broader societal implications, which hinder progress and leave a void in the discourse. As the demand for responsible AI solutions intensifies, the imperative for this reliable guide that consolidates, explores, and advances the dialogue on ethical considerations grows exponentially.
Author: Kate Racculia
Publisher: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
ISBN: 0544129911
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 357
Get Book Here
Book Description
A young music prodigy goes missing from a hotel room that was the site of an infamous murder-suicide fifteen years earlier, renewing trauma for a bridesmaid who witnessed the first crime and rallying an eccentric cast of characters during a snowstorm that traps everyone on the grounds.
Author: Alan Schroeder
Publisher: Westview Press
ISBN:
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 400
Get Book Here
Book Description
Tells the colorful story of how the two most visible branches of American celebrity-the presidency and Hollywood-came together in a marriage of pop culture and politics
Author: Robin D. Laws
Publisher: Pelgrane Press
ISBN: 9781908983671
Category : Games & Activities
Languages : en
Pages : 159
Get Book Here
Book Description
Follow the Trail of Cthulhu into the Dreamlands
Author: Tim Skubick
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
ISBN: 0472022148
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 353
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Larry Sabato
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN: 9780742526860
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 300
Get Book Here
Book Description
The midterm contests for the Senate, House of Representatives, and 36 governorships produced drama aplenty in 2002. A tragic plane crash killed a U.S. senator just ten days before the election, casting his state into mourning and political confusion. Another senator, losing in his reelection bid because of corruption, chose to withdraw in mid-campaign. The president's own brother was involved in a knock-down, drag-out campaign for reelection in the state that installed the current White House occupant by a grand total of 537 votes. But more than anything, the 2002 midterm elections featured a titanic struggle between the political parties for control of Congress. Both houses were narrowly divided in the so-called '50-50' America produced by the split 2000 presidential election. Which party, if either, would emerge with the spoils of war? In the end, there was no landslide, but there was a clear victor: the Republicans. And the colossus of 2002 was President George W. Bush, the driving force behind the historic GOP triumph. Firmly securing the House and recapturing the Senate gives Bush an unusual opportunity in American politics--to be stronger in the second half of his term than the first. Through a superb team of academics and journalists led by Dr. Larry J. Sabato, Midterm Madness: The Elections of 2002 analyzes and dissects this fascinating election season.
Author: Maloof, Torrey
Publisher: Shell Education
ISBN: 1618137654
Category : Language Arts & Disciplines
Languages : en
Pages : 227
Get Book Here
Book Description
180 Days of Writing is an easy-to-use resource that provides fifth-grade students with practice in writing argument/opinion, informative/explanatory, and narratives pieces while also strengthening their language and grammar skills. Centered on high-interest themes, each two-week unit is aligned to one writing standard. Students interact with mentor texts during the first week and then apply their learning the next week by practicing the steps of the writing process: prewriting, drafting, revising, editing, and publishing. Daily practice pages make activities easy to prepare and implement as part of a classroom morning routine, at the beginning of each writing lesson, or as homework. Genre-specific rubrics and data-analysis tools provide authentic assessments that help teachers differentiate instruction. Develop enthusiastic and efficient writers through these standards-based activities correlated to College and Career Readiness and other state standards.
Author: Ben H. Winters
Publisher: Quirk Books
ISBN: 1594745773
Category : Fiction
Languages : en
Pages : 266
Get Book Here
Book Description
"[The] weird, beautiful, unapologetically apocalyptic Last Policeman trilogy is one of my favorite mystery series."—John Green, author of The Fault in Our Stars and Paper Towns Winner of the 2013 Edgar® Award Winner for Best Paperback Original! What’s the point in solving murders if we’re all going to die soon, anyway? Detective Hank Palace has faced this question ever since asteroid 2011GV1 hovered into view. There’s no chance left. No hope. Just six precious months until impact. The Last Policeman presents a fascinating portrait of a pre-apocalyptic United States. The economy spirals downward while crops rot in the fields. Churches and synagogues are packed. People all over the world are walking off the job—but not Hank Palace. He’s investigating a death by hanging in a city that sees a dozen suicides every week—except this one feels suspicious, and Palace is the only cop who cares. The first in a trilogy, The Last Policeman offers a mystery set on the brink of an apocalypse. As Palace’s investigation plays out under the shadow of 2011GV1, we’re confronted by hard questions way beyond “whodunit.” What basis does civilization rest upon? What is life worth? What would any of us do, what would we really do, if our days were numbered? Ebook contains an excerpt from the anticipated second book in the trilogy, Countdown City.
