Macro-economic Impacts of Remittances in Egypt

Macro-economic Impacts of Remittances in Egypt PDF Author: Nazli Choucri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Egypt
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Macro-economic Impacts of Remittances in Egypt

Macro-economic Impacts of Remittances in Egypt PDF Author: Nazli Choucri
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Egypt
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description


The Effect of Remittances on Egypt's Economic Growth

The Effect of Remittances on Egypt's Economic Growth PDF Author: Samar Amr Naga
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economic development
Languages : en
Pages : 178

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Abstract: This paper tests the relationship between remittances along with other macroeconomic variables such as; investment, FDI and openness to trade and GDP per capita. In order to test this relationship, this study has depended on Multiple Linear Regression Model in which time series analysis of the annual data about the variables from 1977 until 2013 is used. The results extracted from the model have shown that there is a strong positive and significant relationship between investment and GDP per capita. Besides, the results have showed that there is a strong positive and significant relationship between openness to trade and GDP per capita. However, the results have showed that there is a negative significant relationship between FDI and GDP per capita. Moreover, the findings have revealed that there is insignificant positive relationship between remittances and GDP per capita. Given the insignificant effect between remittances and economic growth, we have decided in this paper to use the data from the empirical survey done by the (IOM) in collaboration with the Ministry of Manpower and Migration on 200 remittance- receiving households for two main reasons. One of reasons is to identify the cause behind having this insignificant effect between the two pre-stated variables. The second reason is to demonstrate to the Government the importance of getting benefit of these international surveys to know how the remittances are used in the meantime from households' perspective as well to demonstrate the variables that households perceive as critical and significant variables that could affect their decision to invest in the country. Finally, in this paper, we have showed case studies of how other countries have succeeded to encourage its migrants to transfer more money to be invested in productive projects. The main aim of showing these case studies is to give the Egyptian government a guideline of what are the policies and procedures it could follow to overcome the obstacles and the variables seen by the households as critical variables hindering their investment in Egypt.

COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances

COVID-19 and the Egyptian economy: Estimating the impacts of expected reductions in tourism, Suez Canal revenues, and remittances PDF Author: Breisinger, Clemens
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 6

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Book Description
Egypt’s recent economic success will almost certainly be interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. We examine the likely impact on the Egyptian economy of a significant reduction in tourism, payments received from the Suez Canal, and remittances from Egyptians working abroad because of the slowdown in the global economy due to the COVID-19 virus. Our results suggest that COVID-19 could reduce national GDP by between 0.7 and 0.8 percent (EGP 36 to 41 billion) for each month that the global crisis continues. Similarly, household consumption and expenditure is estimated to decline on average by between EGP 153 and EGP 180 per person per month, which is between 9.0 and 10.6 percent of average household income. The cumulative loss in GDP from these three external shocks alone could amount to between 2.1 and 4.8 percent of annual GDP in 2020 if the crisis lasts for 3 to 6 months. While the country’s focus currently is rightly on fighting the health crisis and mitigating its immediate impacts, planning on how to re-open the economy should also start now.

Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances

Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances PDF Author: Connel Fullenkamp
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1589067010
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 94

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Book Description
Given the large size of aggregate remittance flows (billions of dollars annually), they should be expected to have significant macroeconomic effects on the economies that receive them. This paper directly addresses the two main issues of interest to policymakers with regard to remittances--how to manage their macroeconomic effects, and how to harness their development potential--by reporting the results of the first global study of the comprehensive macroeconomic effects of remittances on recipient economies. In broad terms, the findings of this paper tend to confirm the main benefit cited in the microeconomic literature: remittances improve households' welfare by lifting families out of poverty and insuring them against income shocks. The findings also yield a number of important caveats and policy considerations, however, that have largely been overlooked. The main challenge for policymakers in countries that receive significant flows of remittances is to design policies that promote remittances and increase their benefits while mitigating adverse side effects. Getting these policy prescriptions correct early on is imperative. Globalization and the aging of developed economy populations will ensure that demand for migrant workers remains robust for years to come. Hence, the volume of remittances likely will continue to grow, and with it, the challenge of unlocking the maximum societal benefit from these transfers.

Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa

Determinants and Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa PDF Author: Kyung-woo Lee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873638
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 28

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Book Description
The paper investigates the determinants and the macroeconomic role of remittances in sub-Saharan Africa, assembling the most comprehensive dataset available so far on remittances in the region and incorporating data on the diaspora. It finds that remittances are larger for countries with a larger diaspora or when the diaspora is located in wealthier countries, and that they behave countercyclically, consistent with a role as a shock absorber. Although the effect of remittances in growth regressions is negative, countries with well functioning domestic institutions seem nevertheless to be better at unlocking the potential for remittances to contribute to faster economic growth.

The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages

The Impact of Remittances on Economic Activity: The Importance of Sectoral Linkages PDF Author: Hector Perez-Saiz
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1498324487
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 37

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Book Description
We propose a simple macroeconomic model with input-output sectoral linkages based on Acemoglu et al. (2016) to quantify how changes in aggregate demand due to additional income from household’s remittances propagates through the network of input-output linkages in Sub-Saharan African countries. We first propose two network centrality measures to assess the role of some sectors as key input providers in the economy. Then, we use these measures to quantify the effect of sectoral linkages on sectoral and total output following an increase in remittances inflows. Our empirical results suggest that the effects of remittances on recipient economies increase with the degree of linkages across sectors, which is especially prominent in the case of the financial intermediation sector. Our paper contributes to the emerging macroeconomic literature on the propagation of shocks across sectors and the implications for the whole economy.

Global Economic Prospects 2006

Global Economic Prospects 2006 PDF Author:
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 082136345X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 182

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Book Description
International migration, the movement of people across international boundaries to improve economic opportunity, has enormous implications for growth and welfare in both origin and destination countries. An important benefit to developing countries is the receipt of remittances or transfers from income earned by overseas emigrants. Official data show that development countries' remittance receipts totaled 160 billion in 2004, more than twice the size of official aid. This year's edition of Global Economic Prospects focuses on remittances and migration. The bulk of the book covers remittances.

Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households

Impact of COVID-19 on the Egyptian economy: Economic sectors, jobs, and households PDF Author: Breisinger, Clemens
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN:
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
The COVID-19 crisis may lead to a 1.1 percent decline in Egypt’s GDP during the 4th quarter (April to June) of the 2019/20 fiscal year, compared to the same quarter in 2018/19. Without the Government of Egypt’s COVID-19 emergency response package, GDP in Q4 may have declined by 8.7 percent. Tak-ing the emergency response pack-age into account, we estimate an annual growth rate of 3.8 percent for FY 2019/20. Without the emer-gency response package, annual growth for FY 2019/20 may have been as low as 1.9 percent. The services sector is hit hardest, falling by 10.9 percent, followed by industry at -8.3 percent. Agriculture is the most resilient sector. However, these losses are lower than those expected in comparable countries, especially those that resorted to extended periods of full lockdowns. Impacts on Egypt’s agri-food system are less severe than elsewhere in the economy. Most damage will occur in nonfarm components of the agri-food system due to falling consumer demand. Although higher-income households face the largest income losses, lower-income households also will see their incomes decline significantly. The level of social protection required to fully offset the income losses of poor households is likely to be prohibitive, especially given falling revenues from reduced economic activity. Continuing to gradually open the economy again will be critical for avoiding permanent job losses and increases in poverty for the coming year. The process of re-opening the economy may also provide opportunities for fostering more private sector-driven and sustainable economic transformation.

The Politics of Migration in Modern Egypt

The Politics of Migration in Modern Egypt PDF Author: Gerasimos Tsourapas
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108659047
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 265

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Book Description
In this ground-breaking work, Gerasimos Tsourapas examines how migration and political power are inextricably linked, and enhances our understanding of how authoritarian regimes rely on labour emigration across the Middle East and the Global South. Dr Tsourapas identifies how autocracies develop strategies to tie cross-border mobility to their own survival, highlighting domestic political struggles and the shifting regional and international landscape. In Egypt, the ruling elite has long shaped labour emigration policy in accordance with internal and external tactics aimed at regime survival. Dr Tsourapas draws on a wealth of previously-unavailable archival sources in Arabic and English, as well as extensive original interviews with Egyptian elites and policy-makers in order to produce a novel account of authoritarian politics in the Arab world. The book offers a new insight into the evolution and political rationale behind regime strategies towards migration, from Gamal Abdel Nasser's 1952 Revolution to the 2011 Arab Uprisings.

Remittance Markets in Africa

Remittance Markets in Africa PDF Author: Sanket Mohapatra
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN: 0821385534
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 380

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Book Description
Remittances sent by African migrants have become an important source of external finance for countries in the Sub-Saharan African region. In many African countries, these flows are larger than foreign direct investment and portfolio debt and equity flows. In some cases, they are similar in size to official aid from multilateral and bilateral donors. Remittance markets in Africa, however, remain less developed than other regions. The share of informal or unrecorded remittances is among the highest for Sub-Saharan African countries. Remittance costs tend to be significantly higher in Africa both for sending remittances from outside the region and for within-Africa (South-South) remittance corridors. At the same time, the remittance landscape in Africa is rapidly changing with the introduction of new remittance technologies, in particular mobile money transfers and branchless banking. This book presents findings of surveys of remittance service providers conducted in eight Sub-Saharan African countries and in three key destination countries. It looks at issues relating to costs, competition, innovation and regulation, and discusses policy options for leveraging remittances for development in Africa.