Is the Inflation-output Nexus Asymmetric in the Euro Area? PDF Download
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Author: Mustapha Baghli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
Author: Mustapha Baghli
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Banks and banking
Languages : en
Pages : 22
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Peter B. Clark
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451849818
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 50
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Book Description
This paper presents empirical evidence supporting the proposition that there is a significant asymmetry in the U.S. output-inflation process, which implies that excess demand conditions are much more inflationary than excess supply conditions are disinflationary. The important policy implication of this asymmetry is that it can be very costly if the economy overheats because this will necessitate a severe tightening in monetary conditions in order to reestablish inflation control. The small model of the U.S. outputinflation process developed in the paper shows that the seeds of large recessions, such as that in 1981-82, are planted by allowing the economy to overheat. This type of asymmetry implies that the measure of excess demand which is appropriate in estimating the Phillips curve cannot have a zero mean; instead, this mean must be negative if inflation is to be stationary. The paper also shows that a failure to account for this important implication of asymmetry can explain why some other researchers may have been misled into falsely accepting the linear model. The empirical results presented in the paper show that the conclusions regarding asymmetry are robust to a number of tests for sensitivity to changes in the method used to estimate potential output and in the specification of the Phillips curve.
Author: Dieter Gerdesmeier
Publisher:
ISBN: 9783948862121
Category :
Languages : de
Pages : 0
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Book Description
The relationship between inflation and real GDP growth is one of the most widely researched topics in macroeconomics. At the same time, it is certainly not exaggerated to claim that this nexus also stands at the heart of monetary policy, given the fact that low inflation in combination with high and sustained output growth should be the central objective of any sound economic policy. The latter notion becomes even more obvious, when taking account of the fact that many central banks all over the world have selected target levels for inflation and communicated them to the public. Against this background, it is of utmost importance for central banks to know more about the nature and form of the relationship between inflation and real GDP. This study tries to shed more light on the concrete shape of this relationship for the euro area and, more specifically, on the issue of possible regime shifts therein. The analysis provides strong evidence for non-linear effects in the euro area. As a by-product, the methods used allow for a quantification of the point of switch across the different regimes and it is found that this breakpoint closely matches the ECB's previous definitions of price stability and its new inflation target of 2%. While these results look encouraging, further research in this area seems warranted.
Author: D. Mayes
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230304648
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 252
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Book Description
This book presents a clear exposition of what constitutes asymmetry in economics. It provides an empirical application of these ideas in the case of the EU. In particular, it shows how important asymmetry is for the appropriate design of policy in the Euro Area.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484359623
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 54
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Book Description
This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Author: Patrick M. Crowley
Publisher: Nova Publishers
ISBN: 9781600219474
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 160
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Book Description
The European Union (EU) has undergone remarkable change in the last century, from frequent conflicts in the first part of the last century, to peace, stability and unprecedented prosperity in the second half. As we move into the first half of the twenty-first century, there is also a sense that a fragile economic renaissance is underway in the EU, but one that is fraught with challenges and difficulties. Contrary to many of the vociferous critics of the single currency project (mostly US economists and some UK politicians, most notably Thatcher (2002), to date the project has met with remarkable success, despite the dramatic fall in the euro from its launch date and the strains imposed on EU economies following the recent downturn in the world economy. EU Enlargement has now been successfully completed, and although there have been painful discussions on EU institutional reform to accommodate the expansion, a breakdown in the 2005 budget negotiations and an controversy over the implementation of the Stability and Growth pact, it is likely that this will not impede the addition of new Member States from the east.
Author: Basil R. Jones
Publisher: Nova Publishers
ISBN: 9781604561012
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 250
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Book Description
As a continent, the economy of Europe is currently the largest on Earth. The European Union, or EU, an intergovernmental body composed of most of the European states, is one of the two largest in the world. Of the member states in the EU, Germany has the largest national economy. Thirteen EU countries share a common unit of currency, the Euro. Major economic sectors in Europe include agriculture, manufacturing, and investment. The majority of the EU's trade is with the United States, China, India, Russia and non-member European states. This book focuses on the latest economic and political issues in Europe.
Author: Mr.Douglas Laxton
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
This paper examines the evidence on asymmetries in the effects of activity on inflation. Data for the G-7 countries are found to strongly support the view that the inflation-activity relationship is nonlinear, with high levels of activity raising inflation by more than low levels decrease it. In the face of such asymmetries, the average level of output in an economy subject to demand shocks will be below the level of output at which there is no tendency for inflation to rise or fall, contrary to the implications of linear models. One implication of these results is that policymakers can raise the average level of output over time by responding promptly to demand shocks, thus reducing the variance of output around trend.
Author: Leo N. Bartolotti
Publisher: Nova Publishers
ISBN: 9781600211225
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 200
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Book Description
This book brings together new research on three areas of ongoing interest in the area of international finance such as: Inflation, Fiscal Policy and Central Policy. Several of the papers deal with the G-8 countries.
Author: OECD
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 9264181202
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 181
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Book Description
This study assesses economic developments and policies during the inaugural year of Europe's single currency regime. It analyses the economic performance and prospects of the euro area as a whole, and highlights to what extent aggregate trends are shaped by convergence or divergence.
