Interpretations of Probability

Interpretations of Probability PDF Author: Andrei Khrennikov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter
ISBN: 3110213192
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 241

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Book Description
This is the first fundamental book devoted to non-Kolmogorov probability models. It provides a mathematical theory of negative probabilities, with numerous applications to quantum physics, information theory, complexity, biology and psychology. The book also presents an interesting model of cognitive information reality with flows of information probabilities, describing the process of thinking, social, and psychological phenomena.

Interpretations of Probability

Interpretations of Probability PDF Author: Andrei Khrennikov
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter
ISBN: 3110213192
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 241

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Book Description
This is the first fundamental book devoted to non-Kolmogorov probability models. It provides a mathematical theory of negative probabilities, with numerous applications to quantum physics, information theory, complexity, biology and psychology. The book also presents an interesting model of cognitive information reality with flows of information probabilities, describing the process of thinking, social, and psychological phenomena.

A Philosophical Guide to Chance

A Philosophical Guide to Chance PDF Author: Toby Handfield
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107080010
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 265

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Book Description
It is a commonplace that scientific inquiry makes extensive use of probabilities, many of which seem to be objective chances, describing features of reality that are independent of our minds. Such chances appear to have a number of paradoxical or puzzling features: they appear to be mind-independent facts, but they are intimately connected with rational psychology; they display a temporal asymmetry, but they are supposed to be grounded in physical laws that are time-symmetric; and chances are used to explain and predict frequencies of events, although they cannot be reduced to those frequencies. This book offers an accessible and non-technical introduction to these and other puzzles. Toby Handfield engages with traditional metaphysics and philosophy of science, drawing upon recent work in the foundations of quantum mechanics and thermodynamics to provide a novel account of objective probability that is empirically informed without requiring specialist scientific knowledge.

Subjective Probability

Subjective Probability PDF Author: Richard Jeffrey
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521536684
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 144

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Book Description
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Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling

Philosophy of Probability and Statistical Modelling PDF Author: Mauricio Suárez
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108983847
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This Element has two main aims. The first one (sections 1-7) is an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability. It describes recent historiography, lays out the distinction between subjective and objective notions, and concludes by applying the historical lessons to the main interpretations of probability. The second aim (sections 8-13) focuses entirely on objective probability, and advances a number of novel theses regarding its role in scientific practice. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application. A radical form of pluralism is then introduced, advocating a tripartite distinction between propensities, probabilities and frequencies. Finally, a distinction is drawn between two different applications of chance in statistical modelling which, it is argued, vindicates the overall methodological approach. The ensuing conception of objective probability in practice is the 'complex nexus of chance'.

Philosophical Theories of Probability

Philosophical Theories of Probability PDF Author: Donald Gillies
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134672454
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 239

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Book Description
The Twentieth Century has seen a dramatic rise in the use of probability and statistics in almost all fields of research. This has stimulated many new philosophical ideas on probability. Philosophical Theories of Probability is the first book to present a clear, comprehensive and systematic account of these various theories and to explain how they relate to one another. Gillies also offers a distinctive version of the propensity theory of probability, and the intersubjective interpretation, which develops the subjective theory.

Handbook of Dynamics and Probability

Handbook of Dynamics and Probability PDF Author: Peter Müller
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030884864
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 544

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Book Description
Our time is characterized by an explosive growth in the use of ever more complicated and sophisticated (computer) models. These models rely on dynamical systems theory for the interpretation of their results and on probability theory for the quantification of their uncertainties. A conscientious and intelligent use of these models requires that both these theories are properly understood. This book is to provide such understanding. It gives a unifying treatment of dynamical systems theory and probability theory. It covers the basic concepts and statements of these theories, their interrelations, and their applications to scientific reasoning and physics. The book stresses the underlying concepts and mathematical structures but is written in a simple and illuminating manner without sacrificing too much mathematical rigor. The book is aimed at students, post-docs, and researchers in the applied sciences who aspire to better understand the conceptual and mathematical underpinnings of the models that they use. Despite the peculiarities of any applied science, dynamics and probability are the common and indispensable tools in any modeling effort. The book is self-contained, with many technical aspects covered in appendices, but does require some basic knowledge in analysis, linear algebra, and physics. Peter Müller, now a professor emeritus at the University of Hawaii, has worked extensively on ocean and climate models and the foundations of complex system theories.

Philosophy and Probability

Philosophy and Probability PDF Author: Timothy Childers
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0199661820
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 213

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Book Description
Probability is increasingly important for our understanding of the world. What is probability? How do we model it, and how do we use it? Timothy Childers presents a lively introduction to the foundations of probability and to philosophical issues it raises. He keeps technicalities to a minimum, and assumes no prior knowledge of the subject. He explains the main interpretations of probability-frequentist, propensity, classical, Bayesian, and objective Bayesian-and uses stimulating examples to bring the subject to life. All students of philosophy will benefit from an understanding of probability, and this is the book to provide it.

Degrees of Belief

Degrees of Belief PDF Author: Franz Huber
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402091982
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 352

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Book Description
This anthology is the first book to give a balanced overview of the competing theories of degrees of belief. It also explicitly relates these debates to more traditional concerns of the philosophy of language and mind and epistemic logic.

Probability Via Expectation

Probability Via Expectation PDF Author: Peter Whittle
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780387977645
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 324

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Book Description
A textbook for an introductory undergraduate course in probability theory, first published in 1970, and revised in 1976. The novelty of the approach is its basis on the subject's expectation rather than on probability measures. Assumes a fair degree of mathematical sophistication. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Probability

Probability PDF Author: Darrell P. Rowbottom
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1509500200
Category : Philosophy
Languages : en
Pages : 135

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Book Description
When a doctor tells you theres a one percent chance that an operation will result in your death, or a scientist claims that his theory is probably true, what exactly does that mean? Understanding probability is clearly very important, if we are to make good theoretical and practical choices. In this engaging and highly accessible introduction to the philosophy of probability, Darrell Rowbottom takes the reader on a journey through all the major interpretations of probability, with reference to real-world situations. In lucid prose, he explores the many fallacies of probabilistic reasoning, such as the gamblers fallacy and the inverse fallacy, and shows how we can avoid falling into these traps by using the interpretations presented. He also illustrates the relevance of the interpretation of probability across disciplinary boundaries, by examining which interpretations of probability are appropriate in diverse areas such as quantum mechanics, game theory, and genetics. Using entertaining dialogues to draw out the key issues at stake, this unique book will appeal to students and scholars across philosophy, the social sciences, and the natural sciences.