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Author: Marianne Baxter
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Abstract: International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper extends and refines the study of international risk-sharing in two dimensions. First, this paper investigates risk-sharing at short vs. long horizons. Countries might, for example, pool risks associated with high-frequency shocks (e.g., seasonal fluctuations in crop yields) but might not share risks associated with low frequency shocks (e.g., different long-run national growth rates). Second, this paper studies bilateral risk-sharing, which is different from the approach taken in most previous studies. We find that there is evidence of substantial international risk-sharing at medium and low frequencies. There is evidence of high and increasing risk-sharing within Europe that is not apparent for other regions of the world
Author: Marianne Baxter
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 20
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Book Description
Abstract: International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper extends and refines the study of international risk-sharing in two dimensions. First, this paper investigates risk-sharing at short vs. long horizons. Countries might, for example, pool risks associated with high-frequency shocks (e.g., seasonal fluctuations in crop yields) but might not share risks associated with low frequency shocks (e.g., different long-run national growth rates). Second, this paper studies bilateral risk-sharing, which is different from the approach taken in most previous studies. We find that there is evidence of substantial international risk-sharing at medium and low frequencies. There is evidence of high and increasing risk-sharing within Europe that is not apparent for other regions of the world
Author: Sascha O. Becker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Capital market
Languages : en
Pages : 44
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Book Description
Author: Marianne Baxter
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics. When countries do not share consumption risk, individuals experience consumption fluctuations that are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. We investigate bilateral risk-sharing at short vs. long horizons. We find substantial cross-country consumption correlations at trend and business-cycle frequencies. Correlations are particularly high within Europe. Prior research focused on first-difference correlations, which are typically quite low. We argue that this reflects measurement error. At all horizons, we find that consumption correlations are not significantly different from output correlations, implying a lack of deliberate consumption risk-sharing. Le partage international du risque a de grandes implications à la fois pour la politique économique et pour la recherche économique de base. Quand des pays ne partagent pas les risques de consommation, les individus font l'expérience de fluctuations de consommation indésirables et possiblement non-nécessaires. On examine le partage de risque bilatéral à court et à long terme. On découvre des corrélations entre pays tant au niveau des tendances que des fréquences du cycle d'affaires. Ces corrélations sont particulièrement élevées en Europe. Des travaux antérieurs se sont concentrés sur les corrélations entre premières différences qui sont typiquement assez faibles. On suggère que ces résultats reflètent une erreur de mesure. Pour tous les horizons temporels, on découvre que les corrélations de consommation ne diffèrent pas significativement des corrélations de production - ce qui implique un manque de partage de risque délibéré au niveau de la consommation.
Author: Mr.Zhaogang Qiao
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451982089
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 48
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Book Description
This paper estimates an empirical nonstationary panel regression model that tests long-run consumption risk sharing across a sample of OECD and emerging market (EM) countries. This is in contrast to the existing literature on consumption risk sharing, which is mainly about risks at business cycle frequency. Since our methodology focuses on identifying cointegrating relationships while allowing for arbitrary short-run dynamics, we can obtain a consistent estimate of long-run risk sharing while disregarding any short-run nuisance factors. Our results show that long-run risk sharing in OECD countries increased more than that in EM countries during the past two decades.
Author: Sascha O. Becker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34
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Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: Mr.Akito Matsumoto
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451873565
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 40
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Book Description
Though theory suggests financial globalization should improve international risk sharing, empirical support has been limited. We develop a simple welfare-based measure that captures how far countries are from the ideal of perfect risk sharing. We then take it to data and find international risk sharing has, indeed, improved during globalization. Improved risk sharing comes mostly from the convergence in rates of consumption growth among countries rather than from synchronization of consumption at the business cycle frequency. Our finding explains why many existing measures fail to detect improved risk sharing-they focus only on risk sharing at the business cycle frequency.
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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In this paper we examine the formal implications of international risk sharing among a set of countries in the presence of market frictions and forward-looking behaviour. We show that if frictions prevent consumption to adjust instantaneously toits optimal long run level, consumption streams in the countries belonging to the risk sharing pool change over time according to a dynamic disequilibrium model wich can be nested within an error-correcting vector autoregressive process. Econometric methods for testing the restrictions imposed by the theory at both short and long horizons are proposed and discussed. The empirical analysis of a set of core European countries suggest that consumption data do not seem to contrast neither with the existence of risk sharing against permanent income fluctuations and integrated capital markets, nor with a gradual and interrelated process of adjustment towards the equilibrium. The apparent lack of risk sharing in Europe documented in earlier works might depend not only on the misspecification of the short run dynamics of consumption, but also on the relatively low speed of adjustment toward the equilibrium.
Author: Gita Gopinath
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444543155
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 773
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Book Description
What conclusions can be drawn from recent advances in international trade and international macroeconomics? New datasets, theoretical models, and empirical studies have resulted in fresh questions about the world trade and payment system. These chapters--six on trade and six on international macroeconomics--reveal the richness that researchers have uncovered in recent years. The chapters on foreign trade present, among other subjects, new integrated multisector analytical frameworks, the use of gravity equations for the estimation of trade flows, the role of domestic institutions in shaping comparative advantage, and international trade agreements. On international macroeconomics, chapters explore the relation between exchange rates and other macroeconomic variables; risk sharing, allocation of capital across countries, and current account dynamics; and sovereign debt and financial crises. By addressing new issues while enabling deeper and sharper analyses of old issues, this volume makes a significant contribution to our understanding of the global economy. Systematically illuminates and interprets recent developments in research on international trade and international macroeconomics Focuses on newly developing questions and opportunities for future research Presents multiple perspectives on ways to understand the global economy
Author: Julien Bengui
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Economics
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
This paper investigates whether the international globalization of financial markets allows for significant cross-country risk-sharing at the business cycle frequency. We find that cross-country risk-sharing is still limited and this is unlikely to be the result of financial frictions that limit state-contingent contracts. Part of the limited international risk sharing could be the consequence of frictions that de-facto reduce the short-term mobility of financial capital. But even with these frictions we find significant divergence between model predictions and the data.
