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Author: John Meredith Griffin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition, International
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
It is widely accepted that, for some industries, competition across countries is" economically important and that this competition is strongly affected by exchange rate changes." This paper explores the validity of this view using weekly stock return data on 320 industry pairs" in six countries from 1975 to 1997. It is found that common shocks to industries across countries" are more important than competitive shocks. Weekly exchange rate shocks explain almost" nothing of the relative performance of industries. Using returns measured over longer horizons the importance of exchange rate shocks increases slightly and the importance of common shocks" to industries increases more substantially. Both industry and exchange rate shocks are more" important for industries that produce goods traded internationally, but the importance of these" shocks is economically small for these industries as well
Author: John Meredith Griffin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition, International
Languages : en
Pages : 41
Get Book Here
Book Description
It is widely accepted that, for some industries, competition across countries is" economically important and that this competition is strongly affected by exchange rate changes." This paper explores the validity of this view using weekly stock return data on 320 industry pairs" in six countries from 1975 to 1997. It is found that common shocks to industries across countries" are more important than competitive shocks. Weekly exchange rate shocks explain almost" nothing of the relative performance of industries. Using returns measured over longer horizons the importance of exchange rate shocks increases slightly and the importance of common shocks" to industries increases more substantially. Both industry and exchange rate shocks are more" important for industries that produce goods traded internationally, but the importance of these" shocks is economically small for these industries as well
Author: John Meredith Griffin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition, International
Languages : en
Pages : 43
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Book Description
Author: Mr.Luca Antonio Ricci
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451960824
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33
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Book Description
This paper investigates the effects of fixed versus flexible exchange rates on firms’ location choices and on countries’ specialization patterns. In a two-country, two-differentiated-goods monetary model, demand, supply, and monetary (as well as exchange rate) shocks arise after wages are set and prices are optimally chosen. The paper finds that countries are more specialized under flexible than fixed rates, and that the pattern of specialization is not uniquely defined by trade models but depends also on the exchange rate regime. The adoption of fixed exchange rates endogenously increases the desirability of this currency area by reducing the shock asymmetry. These results also shed light on the effects of exchange rate variability on trade.
Author: Rohan Williamson
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 57
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Book Description
Financial theory predicts that a change in the real exchange rate should affect the value of a multinational firm. To a large extent, past empirical research has not supported this theory. This study discusses and evaluates the effect of real exchange rate changes on a multinational firm and a global competitor and incorporates the effect of industry competition on the relation between exchange rates and firm value. In order to better test the hypothesis and address the shortcomings of previous studies, tests are conducted using a sample of automotive firms from the U.S., Japan and Germany. The analysis is done at the country specific portfolio level as well as the firm specific level. Consistent with the hypothesis, I find significant rate exposure to exchange rate shocks. Moreover, there is evidence of time variation in exchange rate exposure which is consistent with a change in the competitive environment within the industry. Finally, evidence is presented that is consistent with the hedging value of a firm producing in the export market, but only after production exceeds a certain level of sales in the export market.
Author: Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475560311
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33
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Book Description
A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced economies, we find evidence of a strong link between exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and the monetary policy regime’s performance in delivering price stability. Using input-output tables, we decompose exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices into a component that reflects the adjustment of imported goods at the border, and another that captures the response of all other prices. We find that price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component.
Author: Eliphas Ndou
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319622803
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 509
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Book Description
This book examines the macroeconomic and regulatory impact of domestic and international shocks on the South African economy resulting from the 2009 financial crisis. It also assesses the impact of the US economy’s eventual recovery from the crisis and the prospect of higher US interest rates in future. Told in three parts, the book explores associations between economic growth, policy uncertainty and the key domestic and international transmission channels, and transmission effects, of global financial regulatory and domestic macro-economic uncertainties on subdued and volatile economic recovery, financial channels, lending rate margins, and credit growth. The book concludes by extending its focus to the role of US monetary policy, capital flows and rand/US dollar volatility on the South African economy.
Author: Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Competition
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
This paper develops an approach to measuring the intensity of competition in international markets. The method measures the degree of 'outside' competition faced by exporters located in one source country from firms located outside the source country. We use the elasticity of price and quantity to exchange rate shocks, which shift the relative costs of producers from a particular source country, to calculate our measure of outside competition. The measures are estimated using panel data on exports of U.S. linerboard and German beer to a variety of destination markets. The destination-specific panel data allow comparisons of outside competition across destination markets.
Author: Menzie David Chinn
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451962169
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 33
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Book Description
We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and nontraded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect cointegration in panel data than in the available time series; moreover, the rate of reversion to long-run equilibrium is estimated with greater precision. Using the model augmented by oil prices, we find that in 1991 (the last year productivity data are available) there is less overvaluation of the U.S. dollar than that implied by a naive version of purchasing power parity.
Author: Hanno N. Lustig
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We suggest a new dynamic equilibrium approach that features product differentiation and endogenizes market structure at the same time. The model yields clear-cut predictions regarding the effects of small and large exchange rate shocks on the market structure, pass-through and international trade. First, we account for the asymmetric price adjustment process with respect to exchange rate shocks. Second, we discuss an array of conditions where short- and long-run international monetary neutrality is violated. We present in detail under which conditions imperfect competition is able to generate persistent and volatile real exchange rate deviations. Most predictions survive alternative market configurations.
Author: Camila Casas
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484330609
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 62
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Book Description
Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.
