International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew, and Kurtosis Preferences

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew, and Kurtosis Preferences PDF Author: Massimo Guidolin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This paper investigates the international asset allocation effects of time-variations in higher-order moments of stock returns such as skewness and kurtosis. In the context of a four-moment International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) specification that relates stock returns in five regions to returns on a global market portfolio and allows for time-varying prices of covariance, co-skewness, and co-kurtosis risk, we find evidence of distinct bull and bear regimes. Ignoring such regimes, an unhedged US investor's optimal portfolio is strongly diversified internationally. The presence of regimes in the return distribution leads to a substantial increase in the investor's optimal holdings of US stocks, as does the introduction of skewness and kurtosis preferences.

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew, and Kurtosis Preferences

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew, and Kurtosis Preferences PDF Author: Massimo Guidolin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :

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Book Description
This paper investigates the international asset allocation effects of time-variations in higher-order moments of stock returns such as skewness and kurtosis. In the context of a four-moment International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) specification that relates stock returns in five regions to returns on a global market portfolio and allows for time-varying prices of covariance, co-skewness, and co-kurtosis risk, we find evidence of distinct bull and bear regimes. Ignoring such regimes, an unhedged US investor's optimal portfolio is strongly diversified internationally. The presence of regimes in the return distribution leads to a substantial increase in the investor's optimal holdings of US stocks, as does the introduction of skewness and kurtosis preferences.

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences PDF Author: Massimo Guidolin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Asset allocation
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description


International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences

International Asset Allocation Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences PDF Author: Allan Timmermann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 51

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Book Description
This paper proposes a new tractable approach to solving asset allocation problems in situations with a large number of risky assets which pose problems for standard approaches. Investor preferences are assumed to be defined over moments of the wealth distribution such as its mean, variance, skew and kurtosis. Time-variations in investment opportunities are represented by a flexible regime switching process. We develop analytical methods that only require solving a small set of difference equations and can be applied even in the presence of large numbers of risky assets. In the context of a four-moment international CAPM specification that relates stock returns in five regions to returns on a global market portfolio, we find evidence of distinct bull and bear states. Ignoring regimes, an unhedged US investor's optimal portfolio is strongly diversified internationally. The presence of regimes in the return distribution leads to a large increase in the investor's optimal holdings of US stocks as does the introduction of skew and kurtosis preferences. Our paper therefore offers an explanation of the strong home bias observed in US investors' asset allocation based on regime switching and skew and kurtosis preferences.

Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences

Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Regime Switching, Skew and Kurtosis Preferences PDF Author: Allan Timmermann
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 34

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Book Description
This paper proposes a new tractable approach to solving multi-period asset allocation problems. We assume that investor preferences are defined over moments of the terminal wealth distribution such as its skew and kurtosis. Time-variations in investment opportunities are driven by a regime switching process that can capture bull and bear states. We develop analytical methods that only require solving a small set of difference equations and thus are very convenient to use. These methods are applied to a simple portfolio selection problem involving choosing between a stock index and a risk-free asset in the presence of bull and bear states in the return distribution. If the market is in a bear state, investors increase allocations to stocks the longer their time horizon. Conversely, in bull markets it is optimal for investors to decrease allocations to stocks the longer their investment horizon.

International Asset Allocation and Hidden Regime Switching

International Asset Allocation and Hidden Regime Switching PDF Author: Felix Morger
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 182

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Book Description


Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models

Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models PDF Author: Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470057998
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 258

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Book Description
While mainstream financial theories and applications assume that asset returns are normally distributed and individual preferences are quadratic, the overwhelming empirical evidence shows otherwise. Indeed, most of the asset returns exhibit “fat-tails” distributions and investors exhibit asymmetric preferences. These empirical findings lead to the development of a new area of research dedicated to the introduction of higher order moments in portfolio theory and asset pricing models. Multi-moment asset pricing is a revolutionary new way of modeling time series in finance which allows various degrees of long-term memory to be generated. It allows risk and prices of risk to vary through time enabling the accurate valuation of long-lived assets. This book presents the state-of-the art in multi-moment asset allocation and pricing models and provides many new developments in a single volume, collecting in a unified framework theoretical results and applications previously scattered throughout the financial literature. The topics covered in this comprehensive volume include: four-moment individual risk preferences, mathematics of the multi-moment efficient frontier, coherent asymmetric risks measures, hedge funds asset allocation under higher moments, time-varying specifications of (co)moments and multi-moment asset pricing models with homogeneous and heterogeneous agents. Written by leading academics, Multi-moment Asset Allocation and Pricing Models offers a unique opportunity to explore the latest findings in this new field of research.

Asset Allocation Under Multivariate Regime Switching

Asset Allocation Under Multivariate Regime Switching PDF Author: Massimo Guidolin
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Investments
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description


Asset Allocation and International Investments

Asset Allocation and International Investments PDF Author: G. Gregoriou
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230626513
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 263

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Book Description
This book relates to strategic asset allocation for institutional investors. It consists of a collection of edited papers from academics worldwide on the latest developments in asset allocation, portfolio management and international investments. These expert studies can improve the risk and return characteristics of your investment portfolio.

Portfolio Theory and Management

Portfolio Theory and Management PDF Author: H. Kent Baker
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISBN: 019931151X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 798

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Book Description
Portfolio management is an ongoing process of constructing portfolios that balances an investor's objectives with the portfolio manager's expectations about the future. This dynamic process provides the payoff for investors. Portfolio management evaluates individual assets or investments by their contribution to the risk and return of an investor's portfolio rather than in isolation. This is called the portfolio perspective. Thus, by constructing a diversified portfolio, a portfolio manager can reduce risk for a given level of expected return, compared to investing in an individual asset or security. According to modern portfolio theory (MPT), investors who do not follow a portfolio perspective bear risk that is not rewarded with greater expected return. Portfolio diversification works best when financial markets are operating normally compared to periods of market turmoil such as the 2007-2008 financial crisis. During periods of turmoil, correlations tend to increase thus reducing the benefits of diversification. Portfolio management today emerges as a dynamic process, which continues to evolve at a rapid pace. The purpose of Portfolio Theory and Management is to take readers from the foundations of portfolio management with the contributions of financial pioneers up to the latest trends emerging within the context of special topics. The book includes discussions of portfolio theory and management both before and after the 2007-2008 financial crisis. This volume provides a critical reflection of what worked and what did not work viewed from the perspective of the recent financial crisis. Further, the book is not restricted to the U.S. market but takes a more global focus by highlighting cross-country differences and practices. This 30-chapter book consists of seven sections. These chapters are: (1) portfolio theory and asset pricing, (2) the investment policy statement and fiduciary duties, (3) asset allocation and portfolio construction, (4) risk management, (V) portfolio execution, monitoring, and rebalancing, (6) evaluating and reporting portfolio performance, and (7) special topics.

Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Markov Switching Models, Persistence and Nonlinear Cointegration

Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Markov Switching Models, Persistence and Nonlinear Cointegration PDF Author: Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 0230295215
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 214

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Book Description
This book proposes new methods to value equity and model the Markowitz efficient frontier using Markov switching models and provide new evidence and solutions to capture the persistence observed in stock returns across developed and emerging markets.