Private Sector Consumption and Government Consumption and Debt in Advanced Economies PDF Download
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Author: Ms.Sanchita Mukherjee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455210714
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
This paper explores the hypothesis that the propensity to consume out of income varies in a non-linear fashion with fiscal variables, and in particular with government debt per capita. Using data from eighteen OECD countries the paper examines whether there is any empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that households move from non-Ricardian to Ricardian behavior as government debt reaches high levels and as uncertainty about future taxes increases. Our results provide support for this hypothesis, and also suggest that private and government consumption are substitutes in the household utility function.
Author: Ms.Sanchita Mukherjee
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455210714
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
This paper explores the hypothesis that the propensity to consume out of income varies in a non-linear fashion with fiscal variables, and in particular with government debt per capita. Using data from eighteen OECD countries the paper examines whether there is any empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that households move from non-Ricardian to Ricardian behavior as government debt reaches high levels and as uncertainty about future taxes increases. Our results provide support for this hypothesis, and also suggest that private and government consumption are substitutes in the household utility function.
Author: Mehdi S. Monadjemi
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 38
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Book Description
Author: Ms.Rina Bhattacharya
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451853580
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 29
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Book Description
This paper explores the hypothesis that the propensity to consume out of income is not constant but varies, perhaps in a nonlinear fashion, with fiscal variables. It examines whether there is any empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that households move from non-Ricardian to Ricardian behavior as government debt reaches high levels and as uncertainty about future taxes increases. The paper also examines the possibility of a relationship (along the lines of the Bertola-Drazen model) between the propensity to consume out of income and the government consumption-to-GDP ratio.
Author: Dooyeon Cho
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788932242392
Category : Consumption (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 30
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Book Description
This paper investigates nonlinear effects of government debt on private consumption in 16 OECD countries. The estimated consumption function shows smooth regime switching depending on the debt-to-GDP ratio, and the threshold level of regime switching is found to be the ratio of 83.7 percent. The results reveal that a higher level of government debt crowds out private consumption to a greater extent, and that the degree of the crowding out effect has deteriorated since the global financial crisis.
Author: Alfred Greiner
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642017452
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 148
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Book Description
Starting point of this book is the observation that an increase in public debt must be accompanied by a rise in the primary surplus of the government to guarantee sustainability of public debt. The book first elaborates on that principle from a theoretical point of view and then tests whether empirical evidence for that rule can be found. Additional tests are implemented to gain further evidence on sustainability of public debt. In order to allow for time varying coefficients penalized spline estimations are performed. The theoretical chapters present endogenous growth models and assume that the primary surplus rises as public debt increases so that sustainability of public debt is given. Implications of public deficits and debt are studied assuming full employment and for unemployment. The conclusion summarizes the findings and compares the results of the different models. Finally, policy implications are given showing how governments should deal with high public debt to GDP ratios.
Author: Torbjörn Becker
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 35
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Book Description
Author: Alfred Greiner
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319093487
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 284
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Book Description
Public debt has become a severe problem for a great many economies. While the effects of tax policies on the allocation of resources are readily derived, the mechanisms that make public deficits and debt influence the economy are not so easily understood. This book elaborates on the effects of public debt starting from the intertemporal budget constraint of the government. It is shown under which conditions a government can stick to the intertemporal budget constraint and then, demonstrated how public debt affects the growth process and welfare in market economies. The effects are derived for models with complete labor markets as well as taking into account labor market imperfections. The focus in this book is on fiscal policy issues, but it also deals with monetary policy aspects. The theoretical analysis is complemented with empirical time series analyses on debt sustainability and with panel studies dealing with the relationship between public debt and economic growth.
Author: Nicoletta Batini
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475526318
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
We revisit the empirical relationship between private/public debt and output, and build a model that reproduces it. In the model, the government provides financial assistance to credit-constrained agents to mitigate deleveraging. As we observe in the data, surges in private debt are potentially more damaging for the economy than surges in public debt. The model suggests two policy implications. First, capping leverage leads to milder recessions, but also implies more muted expansions. Second, with fiscal buffers, financial assistance to credit-constrained agents helps avoid stagnation. The growth returns from intervention decline as the government approaches the fiscal limit.
Author: Alexander Ludwig
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
This paper quantifies the different impact of stock and house prices on consumption using data for 16 OECD countries. The analysis finds that the long-run impact of an increase in stock prices and house prices is in general higher in countries with a market-based financial system. The sensitivity of consumption to changes in stock wealth is about twice as large as the sensitivity to changes in housing wealth. Splitting the sample into the 1980s and 1990s shows that both countries with a market-based financial system and countries with a bank-based financial system moved toward a higher degree of responsiveness of consumption to changes in stock prices and house prices.
Author: Richard E. Wagner
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108758339
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 129
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Book Description
Economists commit a category mistake when they treat democratic governments as indebted. Monarchs can be indebted, as can individuals. In contrast, democracies can't truly be indebted. They are financial intermediaries that form a bridge between what are often willing borrowers and forced lenders. The language of public debt is an ideological language that promotes politically expressed desires and is not a scientific language that clarifies the practice of public finance. Economists have gone astray by assuming that a government is just another person whose impulses toward prudent action will restrict recourse to public debt and induce rational political action.
