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Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
The popular Nelson-Siegel (1987) yield curve is routinely fit to cross sections of intra-country bond yields, and Diebold and Li (2006) have recently proposed a dynamized version. In this paper we extend Diebold-Li to a global context, modeling a potentially large set of country yield curves in a framework that allows for both global and country-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U.S., we find that global yield factors do indeed exist and are economically important, generally explaining significant fractions of country yield curve dynamics, with interesting differences across countries.
Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bonds
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
The popular Nelson-Siegel (1987) yield curve is routinely fit to cross sections of intra-country bond yields, and Diebold and Li (2006) have recently proposed a dynamized version. In this paper we extend Diebold-Li to a global context, modeling a potentially large set of country yield curves in a framework that allows for both global and country-specific factors. In an empirical analysis of term structures of government bond yields for the Germany, Japan, the U.K. and the U.S., we find that global yield factors do indeed exist and are economically important, generally explaining significant fractions of country yield curve dynamics, with interesting differences across countries.
Author: Francis X. Diebold
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 0691146802
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 223
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Book Description
Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.
Author: Ms.Anita Tuladhar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451963327
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 61
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Book Description
This paper applies the models used to study yield curve dynamics and spillovers in the U.S. and other countries to Central and Eastern European countries (CEE countries). Using the Diebold, Rudebusch, and Aruoba (2006) dynamic version of the Nelson-Siegel representation of the yield curve, the paper finds that the two-way relationship between macroeconomic and financial variables in the CEE countries is similar to the one in mature economies. However, inflation shocks have very little persistence in the CEE countries, owing to the strong convergence trends in these countries-which tend to re-anchor expectations faster. Increased convergence in policies and market integration over time are associated with a stronger correlation between the levels of the yield curves, while the curves slopes are more driven by idiosyncratic factors. Shifts in the euro yield curve are transmitted both to interest rates and inflation expectations in the CEE countries-and transmission is stronger after 2004.
Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455209589
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 64
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Book Description
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with pre-crisis data. This paper uses a software developed by Fund staff for this purpose. This software makes it possible to estimate the term structure using at least nine models, while opening up the possibility of generating simulated paths of the term structure.
Author: Mirko Abbritti
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1475513518
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more than 80 percent of term premia in advanced economies. In particular they tend to explain long-term dynamics in yield curves, as opposed to domestic factors which are instead more relevant to short-run movements. We uncover the key role for global curvature in shaping term premia dynamics. We show that this novel factor precedes global economic and financial instability. In particular, it coincides with immediate expectations of permanent expansionary monetary policy during the recent crisis.
Author: David Bolder
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780662276029
Category : Government securities
Languages : en
Pages : 56
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Book Description
Author: Felix Geiger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642215750
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Book Description
The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.
Author: Jagjit S. Chadha
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1107044553
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 571
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Book Description
State-of-the-art research from academics and policymakers on the role of and challenges to monetary policy during the ongoing financial crisis.
Author: Gueorgui S Konstantinov
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9811272581
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 421
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Book Description
Quantitative Global Bond Portfolio Management offers a comprehensive discussion of quantitative modelling approaches to managing global bond and currency portfolios. Drawing on practitioner and academic research, as well as the extensive market experience of the authors, the book provides a timely overview of cutting-edge tools applied to the management of global bond portfolios, including in-depth discussions of factor models and optimization techniques. In addition to providing a solid theoretical foundation for global bond portfolio management, the authors focus on the practical implementation of yield curve and currency-driven approaches that can be successfully implemented in actual portfolios. As such, the book will be an indispensable resource to both new and seasoned investors looking to enhance their understanding of global bond markets and strategies.
Author: Michel van der Wel.
Publisher: Rozenberg Publishers
ISBN: 905170769X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 155
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Book Description
