Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory

Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory PDF Author: Mohsen Pourahmadi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471394341
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 446

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Book Description
Foundations of time series for researchers and students This volume provides a mathematical foundation for time seriesanalysis and prediction theory using the idea of regression and thegeometry of Hilbert spaces. It presents an overview of the tools oftime series data analysis, a detailed structural analysis ofstationary processes through various reparameterizations employingtechniques from prediction theory, digital signal processing, andlinear algebra. The author emphasizes the foundation and structureof time series and backs up this coverage with theory andapplication. End-of-chapter exercises provide reinforcement for self-study andappendices covering multivariate distributions and Bayesianforecasting add useful reference material. Further coveragefeatures: * Similarities between time series analysis and longitudinal dataanalysis * Parsimonious modeling of covariance matrices through ARMA-likemodels * Fundamental roles of the Wold decomposition andorthogonalization * Applications in digital signal processing and Kalmanfiltering * Review of functional and harmonic analysis and predictiontheory Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory guidesreaders from the very applied principles of time series analysisthrough the most theoretical underpinnings of prediction theory. Itprovides a firm foundation for a widely applicable subject forstudents, researchers, and professionals in diverse scientificfields.

Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory

Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory PDF Author: Mohsen Pourahmadi
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471394341
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 446

Get Book Here

Book Description
Foundations of time series for researchers and students This volume provides a mathematical foundation for time seriesanalysis and prediction theory using the idea of regression and thegeometry of Hilbert spaces. It presents an overview of the tools oftime series data analysis, a detailed structural analysis ofstationary processes through various reparameterizations employingtechniques from prediction theory, digital signal processing, andlinear algebra. The author emphasizes the foundation and structureof time series and backs up this coverage with theory andapplication. End-of-chapter exercises provide reinforcement for self-study andappendices covering multivariate distributions and Bayesianforecasting add useful reference material. Further coveragefeatures: * Similarities between time series analysis and longitudinal dataanalysis * Parsimonious modeling of covariance matrices through ARMA-likemodels * Fundamental roles of the Wold decomposition andorthogonalization * Applications in digital signal processing and Kalmanfiltering * Review of functional and harmonic analysis and predictiontheory Foundations of Time Series Analysis and Prediction Theory guidesreaders from the very applied principles of time series analysisthrough the most theoretical underpinnings of prediction theory. Itprovides a firm foundation for a widely applicable subject forstudents, researchers, and professionals in diverse scientificfields.

Mathematical Foundations of Time Series Analysis

Mathematical Foundations of Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Jan Beran
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319743805
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 309

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Book Description
This book provides a concise introduction to the mathematical foundations of time series analysis, with an emphasis on mathematical clarity. The text is reduced to the essential logical core, mostly using the symbolic language of mathematics, thus enabling readers to very quickly grasp the essential reasoning behind time series analysis. It appeals to anybody wanting to understand time series in a precise, mathematical manner. It is suitable for graduate courses in time series analysis but is equally useful as a reference work for students and researchers alike.

Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis

Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Olga Valenzuela
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030562190
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 452

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Book Description
This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed contributions on the latest advances in time series analysis, presented at the International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (ITISE 2019), held in Granada, Spain, on September 25-27, 2019. The first two parts of the book present theoretical contributions on statistical and advanced mathematical methods, and on econometric models, financial forecasting and risk analysis. The remaining four parts include practical contributions on time series analysis in energy; complex/big data time series and forecasting; time series analysis with computational intelligence; and time series analysis and prediction for other real-world problems. Given this mix of topics, readers will acquire a more comprehensive perspective on the field of time series analysis and forecasting. The ITISE conference series provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting PDF Author: Ignacio Rojas
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319969447
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 332

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Book Description
This book presents selected peer-reviewed contributions from the International Work-Conference on Time Series, ITISE 2017, held in Granada, Spain, September 18-20, 2017. It discusses topics in time series analysis and forecasting, including advanced mathematical methodology, computational intelligence methods for time series, dimensionality reduction and similarity measures, econometric models, energy time series forecasting, forecasting in real problems, online learning in time series as well as high-dimensional and complex/big data time series. The series of ITISE conferences provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest ideas and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications in the field of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.

Handbook of Time Series Analysis

Handbook of Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Björn Schelter
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 3527609512
Category : Science
Languages : en
Pages : 514

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Book Description
This handbook provides an up-to-date survey of current research topics and applications of time series analysis methods written by leading experts in their fields. It covers recent developments in univariate as well as bivariate and multivariate time series analysis techniques ranging from physics' to life sciences' applications. Each chapter comprises both methodological aspects and applications to real world complex systems, such as the human brain or Earth's climate. Covering an exceptionally broad spectrum of topics, beginners, experts and practitioners who seek to understand the latest developments will profit from this handbook.

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting

Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting PDF Author: Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1475725264
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 429

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Book Description
Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.

Time Series Analysis

Time Series Analysis PDF Author: Katsuto Tanaka
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119132096
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 903

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Book Description
Reflects the developments and new directions in the field since the publication of the first successful edition and contains a complete set of problems and solutions This revised and expanded edition reflects the developments and new directions in the field since the publication of the first edition. In particular, sections on nonstationary panel data analysis and a discussion on the distinction between deterministic and stochastic trends have been added. Three new chapters on long-memory discrete-time and continuous-time processes have also been created, whereas some chapters have been merged and some sections deleted. The first eleven chapters of the first edition have been compressed into ten chapters, with a chapter on nonstationary panel added and located under Part I: Analysis of Non-fractional Time Series. Chapters 12 to 14 have been newly written under Part II: Analysis of Fractional Time Series. Chapter 12 discusses the basic theory of long-memory processes by introducing ARFIMA models and the fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Chapter 13 is concerned with the computation of distributions of quadratic functionals of the fBm and its ratio. Next, Chapter 14 introduces the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, on which the statistical inference is discussed. Finally, Chapter 15 gives a complete set of solutions to problems posed at the end of most sections. This new edition features: • Sections to discuss nonstationary panel data analysis, the problem of differentiating between deterministic and stochastic trends, and nonstationary processes of local deviations from a unit root • Consideration of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter, as well as asymptotics as the sampling span increases • Discussions on not only nonstationary but also noninvertible time series from a theoretical viewpoint • New topics such as the computation of limiting local powers of panel unit root tests, the derivation of the fractional unit root distribution, and unit root tests under the fBm error Time Series Analysis: Nonstationary and Noninvertible Distribution Theory, Second Edition, is a reference for graduate students in econometrics or time series analysis. Katsuto Tanaka, PhD, is a professor in the Faculty of Economics at Gakushuin University and was previously a professor at Hitotsubashi University. He is a recipient of the Tjalling C. Koopmans Econometric Theory Prize (1996), the Japan Statistical Society Prize (1998), and the Econometric Theory Award (1999). Aside from the first edition of Time Series Analysis (Wiley, 1996), Dr. Tanaka had published five econometrics and statistics books in Japanese.

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example PDF Author: Søren Bisgaard
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118056957
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 346

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Book Description
An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics.

Time Series: Theory and Methods

Time Series: Theory and Methods PDF Author: Peter J. Brockwell
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441903208
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 591

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Book Description
This edition contains a large number of additions and corrections scattered throughout the text, including the incorporation of a new chapter on state-space models. The companion diskette for the IBM PC has expanded into the software package ITSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC, which includes a manual and can be ordered from Springer-Verlag. * We are indebted to many readers who have used the book and programs and made suggestions for improvements. Unfortunately there is not enough space to acknowledge all who have contributed in this way; however, special mention must be made of our prize-winning fault-finders, Sid Resnick and F. Pukelsheim. Special mention should also be made of Anthony Brockwell, whose advice and support on computing matters was invaluable in the preparation of the new diskettes. We have been fortunate to work on the new edition in the excellent environments provided by the University of Melbourne and Colorado State University. We thank Duane Boes particularly for his support and encouragement throughout, and the Australian Research Council and National Science Foundation for their support of research related to the new material. We are also indebted to Springer-Verlag for their constant support and assistance in preparing the second edition. Fort Collins, Colorado P. J. BROCKWELL November, 1990 R. A. DAVIS * /TSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC by P. J. Brockwell and R. A. Davis. ISBN: 0-387-97482-2; 1991.

The Spectral Analysis of Time Series

The Spectral Analysis of Time Series PDF Author: L. H. Koopmans
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 1483218546
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 383

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Book Description
The Spectral Analysis of Time Series describes the techniques and theory of the frequency domain analysis of time series. The book discusses the physical processes and the basic features of models of time series. The central feature of all models is the existence of a spectrum by which the time series is decomposed into a linear combination of sines and cosines. The investigator can used Fourier decompositions or other kinds of spectrals in time series analysis. The text explains the Wiener theory of spectral analysis, the spectral representation for weakly stationary stochastic processes, and the real spectral representation. The book also discusses sampling, aliasing, discrete-time models, linear filters that have general properties with applications to continuous-time processes, and the applications of multivariate spectral models. The text describes finite parameter models, the distribution theory of spectral estimates with applications to statistical inference, as well as sampling properties of spectral estimates, experimental design, and spectral computations. The book is intended either as a textbook or for individual reading for one-semester or two-quarter course for students of time series analysis users. It is also suitable for mathematicians or professors of calculus, statistics, and advanced mathematics.