Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport PDF Author: Lourdes Trujillo
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Demand (Economic theory)
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
This overview of issues that regulators should be aware of in demand forecasting discusses challenges that come with the decision to privatize transport, the perverse incentives introduced when privatization teams use strategic demand forecasts to evaluate assets, the most common problems with demand forecasting, the reasons that demand forecasting matters, and how to think about demand forecasting in the context of regulation.

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport PDF Author: Lourdes Trujillo
Publisher: World Bank Publications
ISBN:
Category : Demand (Economic theory)
Languages : en
Pages : 42

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Book Description
This overview of issues that regulators should be aware of in demand forecasting discusses challenges that come with the decision to privatize transport, the perverse incentives introduced when privatization teams use strategic demand forecasts to evaluate assets, the most common problems with demand forecasting, the reasons that demand forecasting matters, and how to think about demand forecasting in the context of regulation.

Public and Private Sector Interdependence in Freight Transportation Markets

Public and Private Sector Interdependence in Freight Transportation Markets PDF Author: IHS Global Insight (Firm)
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISBN: 0309117909
Category : Freight and freightage
Languages : en
Pages : 69

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Book Description
TRB's National Cooperative Freight Research Program (NCFRP) Report 1: Public and Private Sector Interdependence in Freight Transportation Markets is designed as a primer on relationships between public sector and private sector stakeholders in the freight transportation industry. The report explores the freight industry through the use of examples, case studies, and a broad-based examination of the mutually dependent issues facing public and private investment decision makers.

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport

Forecasting the Demand for Privatized Transport PDF Author: Lourdes Trujillo
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
This overview of issues that regulators should be aware of in demand forecasting discusses challenges that come with the decision to privatize transport, the perverse incentives introduced when privatization teams use strategic demand forecasts to evaluate assets, the most common problems with demand forecasting, the reasons that demand forecasting matters, and how to think about demand forecasting in the context of regulation. Forecasting has long been a challenge and will remain so for the foreseeable future. But the analytical instruments and data processing capabilities available through the latest technology and software should allow much better forecasting than transport ministries or regulatory agencies typically observe. Privatization brings new needs for demand forecasting. More attention is paid to risk under privatization than when investments are publicly financed. And regulators must be able to judge traffic studies done by operators and to learn what strategic behavior influenced these studies. Many governments and regulators avoid good demand modeling out of lack of conviction that theory and models can do better than the "old hands" of the sector. This is dangerous when privatization changes the nature of business. For projects amounting to investments of $100-200 million, a cost of $100,000-200,000 is not a reason to reject a reasonable modeling effort. And some private forecasting firms are willing to sell guarantees or insurance with their forecasts to cover significant gaps between forecasts and reality. This paper - a product of the Governance, Regulation, and Finance Division, World Bank Institute - is part of a larger effort in the institute to increase understanding of infrastructure regulation.

Handbook on Public Private Partnerships in Transportation, Vol I

Handbook on Public Private Partnerships in Transportation, Vol I PDF Author: Simon Hakim
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030834840
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 350

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Book Description
This book discusses the role of public-private partnerships (PPPs) in global transportation infrastructure. Seen as a way to provide vital services in an era of shrinking government budgets, public-private partnerships have become an increasingly important part of travel infrastructure worldwide. This book describes and analyzes the structure of various models of PPPs in various countries, evaluating their effectiveness, and drawing policy implications for future use. Written by leading international researchers and practitioners in the transportation field, each chapter is a case study on the adoption, implementation, and outcome of transportation services in different municipalities. Taken together, these diverse case studies provide an integrated framework for evaluating and using PPPs. Providing rigorous empirical analysis of PPPs in transportation, this volume will be of interest to researchers in public administration, political science, and economics as well as practitioners and policymakers involved in establishing and monitoring PPPs in transportation.

Modeling of Transport Demand

Modeling of Transport Demand PDF Author: V.A Profillidis
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0128115149
Category : Social Science
Languages : en
Pages : 500

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Book Description
Modeling of Transport Demand explains the mechanisms of transport demand, from analysis to calculation and forecasting. Packed with strategies for forecasting future demand for all transport modes, the book helps readers assess the validity and accuracy of demand forecasts. Forecasting and evaluating transport demand is an essential task of transport professionals and researchers that affects the design, extension, operation, and maintenance of all transport infrastructures. Accurate demand forecasts are necessary for companies and government entities when planning future fleet size, human resource needs, revenues, expenses, and budgets. The operational and planning skills provided in Modeling of Transport Demand help readers solve the problems they face on a daily basis. Modeling of Transport Demand is written for researchers, professionals, undergraduate and graduate students at every stage in their careers, from novice to expert. The book assists those tasked with constructing qualitative models (based on executive judgment, Delphi, scenario writing, survey methods) or quantitative ones (based on statistical, time series, econometric, gravity, artificial neural network, and fuzzy methods) in choosing the most suitable solution for all types of transport applications. - Presents the most recent and relevant findings and research - both at theoretical and practical levels - of transport demand - Provides a theoretical analysis and formulations that are clearly presented for ease of understanding - Covers analysis for all modes of transportation - Includes case studies that present the most appropriate formulas and methods for finding solutions and evaluating results

Public Private Partnerships Renegotiations in Transportation

Public Private Partnerships Renegotiations in Transportation PDF Author: Carlos Oliveira Cruz
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISBN: 3030985113
Category : Law
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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Book Description
There is a growing interest in Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs), particularly in infrastructure and public services. Under the scope of PPPs, renegotiations are becoming more relevant, as empirical evidence suggests that most PPP projects are inevitably renegotiated, i.e., the original contract needs to be adapted to new and unforeseen circumstances. Renegotiations have a substantial impact on the contract and performance of a PPP and usually represent significant costs for users and taxpayers. However, very little is known about the management and, mainly, the process of renegotiating that will, very likely, occur. This book provides a set of case-studies of PPP renegotiations in the transport sector. The authors illustrate the Portuguese experience, a country that has been using PPP extensively, particularly in transport. The case studies provide an extensive and detailed analysis on each aspect of the project and the renegotiation. What drives renegotiations? Why are some projects more renegotiated than others? What are the results? How can the performance of renegotiation processes be improved? These and other questions provide the basis for the discussions in this book. The novelty and value of the book come mainly from the extent of information available. Each case-study deals with these questions in much more detail than what is common in the case-studies approach.

Research on Transport Economics 1998

Research on Transport Economics 1998 PDF Author: European Conference of Ministers of Transport
Publisher: OECD Publishing
ISBN: 926406379X
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 446

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Book Description
This annual information bulletin presents a survey of research in hand on the social and economic aspects of transport in over 400 specialised agencies which are mainly European (West and East) but in some cases American, Canadian or Australian.

Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement

Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement PDF Author: Keith M. Chase
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISBN: 0309129427
Category : Transportation
Languages : en
Pages : 90

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Book Description
" TRB's second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) Report S2-C20-RR-1: Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement documents the state of the practice for freight demand modeling. The report also explores the fundamental changes in freight modeling, and data and data collection that could help public and private sector decision-makers make better and more informed decisions. SHRP 2 Capacity Project C20, which produced Report S2-C20-RR-1, also produced the following items: A Freight Demand Modeling and Data Improvement Strategic Plan, which outlines seven strategic objectives that are designed to serve as the basis for future innovation in freight travel demand forecasting and data, and to guide both near- and long-term implementation: A speaker's kit, which is intended to be a "starter" set of materials for use in presenting the freight modeling and data improvement strategic plan to a group of interested professionals; and; A 2010 Innovations in Freight Demand Modeling and Data Symposium " -- publisher's description

Introduction to Air Transport Economics

Introduction to Air Transport Economics PDF Author: Bijan Vasigh
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1315299062
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 521

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Book Description
Introduction to Air Transport Economics: From Theory to Applications uniquely merges the institutional and technical aspects of the aviation industry with their theoretical economic underpinnings. Its integrative approach offers a fresh point of view that will find favor with many students of aviation. This third edition has been extensively updated throughout. It features new material that stresses the dynamic aspects of demand and supply and the ongoing competitive aspects of the marketplace. It now features an introductory chapter, and specific examples, to more directly relate management decisions to the economic theory. Also, in addition to an expanded coverage of revenue management and pricing decisions, the third edition includes case studies that give real-world examples to reflect actual industry practice as well as a discussion of the more up-to-date computer applications that make the new techniques so effective. This book offers a self-contained theory and applications-oriented text for any individual intent on entering the aviation industry as a practicing professional in the management area. It will be of greatest relevance to undergraduate and graduate students interested in obtaining a more complete understanding of the economics of the aviation industry. It will also appeal to many professionals who seek an accessible and practical explanation of the underlying economic forces that shape the industry.

Overview of Public-private Partnerships in Highway and Transit Projects (113-57), March 5, 2014

Overview of Public-private Partnerships in Highway and Transit Projects (113-57), March 5, 2014 PDF Author: United States. Congress. House. Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure. Panel on Public-Private Partnerships
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Infrastructure (Economics)
Languages : en
Pages : 200

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Book Description