Exchange Rate "Fundamentals" versus Speculation

Exchange Rate Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451945973
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
The exchange rate for the Lebanese pound experienced a protracted period of depreciation from end-1982 to November 1987, followed by a marked appreciation over the following six months. This paper investigates the competing hypotheses that the exchange rate over these two periods was driven by a speculative bubble versus “fundamental” economic variables. Reduced-form and time series models for the exchange rate are estimated and tested for nonstationarity. The results of these test suggest that the pound’s volatility in recent years was consistent with an excessive growth in domestic versus foreign currency denominated liquidity rather than speculation.

Exchange Rate "Fundamentals" versus Speculation

Exchange Rate Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451945973
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

Get Book Here

Book Description
The exchange rate for the Lebanese pound experienced a protracted period of depreciation from end-1982 to November 1987, followed by a marked appreciation over the following six months. This paper investigates the competing hypotheses that the exchange rate over these two periods was driven by a speculative bubble versus “fundamental” economic variables. Reduced-form and time series models for the exchange rate are estimated and tested for nonstationarity. The results of these test suggest that the pound’s volatility in recent years was consistent with an excessive growth in domestic versus foreign currency denominated liquidity rather than speculation.

Exchange Rate Economics

Exchange Rate Economics PDF Author: Ronald MacDonald
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134838220
Category : Foreign exchange
Languages : en
Pages : 334

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Book Description
''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

The Economics of Exchange Rates

The Economics of Exchange Rates PDF Author: Lucio Sarno
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 344

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Book Description
Table of contents

Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics

Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics PDF Author: National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher: Chicago : University of Chicago Press
ISBN:
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 402

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Book Description
This volume, presenting some of the finest new research on exchange rates and international macroeconomics, contains papers and critical commentary by thirty-two leading economists. Taken together, these papers provide sound evidence about the effects of real and monetary factors on exchange rates and extend the analyses of exchange rates and international macroeconomics by outlining the kinds of behavior and institutional arrangements that can be incorporated into such analyses. Both empirical and theoretical research are represented, and the contributors analyze such issues as the performance of various models of exchange rate determination, the role of risk and speculation in the forward market for foreign exchange, the rational expectations hypothesis in such markets, the performance of monetary policy in ten industrial countries, the role that labor market contracts play in exchange rate policies, the effect of he oil shocks on the evolution of exchange rates, and the output cost of bringing down inflation in the open economy.

The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments

The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments PDF Author: Jacob Frenkel
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135043493
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 389

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Book Description
This book collects together the basic documents of an approach to the theory and policy of the balance of payments developed in the 1970s. The approach marked a return to the historical traditions of international monetary theory after some thirty years of departure from them – a departure occasioned by the international collapse of the 1930s, the Keynesian Revolution and a long period of war and post-war reconstruction in which the international monetary system was fragmented by exchange controls, currency inconvertibility and controls over international trade and capital movements.

The Art Of Speculation

The Art Of Speculation PDF Author: Philip L. Carret
Publisher: Pickle Partners Publishing
ISBN: 1786256746
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 401

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Book Description
Philip L. Carret (1896-1998) was a famed investor and founder of The Pioneer Fund (Fidelity Mutual Trust), one of the first Mutual Funds in the United States. A former Barron’s reporter and WWI aviator, Carret launched the Mutual Trust in 1928 after managing money for his friends and family. The initial effort evolved into Pioneer Investments. He ran the fund for 55 years, during which an investment of $10,000 became $8 million. Warren Buffett said of him that he had “the best long term investment record of anyone I know” He is most famous for the long successful track record he achieved investing in Common Stocks and for being one of Warren Buffett’s role models. This book comprises a series of articles written for Barron’s and published in book form in 1930.—Print Ed.

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market PDF Author: International Monetary Fund
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451975007
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 32

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Book Description
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical literature in acting as if all market participants share the same expectation. The second half then addresses the possibility of heterogeneous expectations, particularly the distinction between “chartists” and “fundamentalists,” and the implications for trading in the foreign exchange market and for the formation of speculative bubbles.

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets PDF Author: Michael P. Dooley
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226155420
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 456

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Book Description
The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

Foreign Balances

Foreign Balances PDF Author: Paul Einzig
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Bank for international settlements
Languages : en
Pages : 212

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Book Description


Endowment Asset Management

Endowment Asset Management PDF Author: Shanta Acharya
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN: 0199210918
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 385

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Book Description
This unique study focuses on how the endowment assets of Oxford and Cambridge colleges are invested. Despite their shared missions, each interprets its investment objective differently, often resulting in remarkably dissimilar strategies. This thought provoking study provides new insights for all investors with a long-term investment horizon.