Estudio del pronostico de la demanda de energia electrica utilizando series de tiempo PDF Download
Are you looking for read ebook online? Search for your book and save it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Download Estudio del pronostico de la demanda de energia electrica utilizando series de tiempo PDF full book. Access full book title Estudio del pronostico de la demanda de energia electrica utilizando series de tiempo by Jorge Andres Garces Bermudez. Download full books in PDF and EPUB format.
Author: Jorge Andres Garces Bermudez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Jorge Andres Garces Bermudez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages : 268
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Juan Manuel Holguin Quirama
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages : 0
Get Book Here
Book Description
Resumen: Este trabajo tiene como enfoque principal realizar un estudio del comportamiento del sistema eléctrico de potencia de Pereira, a medida que la demanda de potencia eléctrica aumenta con la expansión acelerada que está viviendo la ciudad. Toma como punto de partida las proyecciones de potencia eléctrica que la UPME ha desarrollado en el documento Proyecciones por Unidad de Control de Pronóstico (UCP) Energía y Potencia 2006-2209, debido a que el estudio es a largo plazo se utilizaron herramientas como el Crystal BallR Professional que permite realizar proyecciones con el CB ̈redictor usando los datos de las series de tiempo históricos para predecir las tendencias futuras. Se modeló la carga mediante perfiles de demanda anuales y se simularon casos de prueba en los diferentes escenarios de PIB (alto, medio, bajo), para observar los efectos de cragabilidad en el sistema, de esta forma se examinó hasta que punto el sistema en estudio podia soportar los aumentos progresivos de las cargas a medida que crece la demanda de potencia eléctrica en la región.
Author: Jhon Fredy Cuellar Fierro
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : es
Pages :
Get Book Here
Book Description
Resumen: La serie de demanda de energía eléctrica presenta fuertes patrones de periodicidad diaria, semanal, mensual y anual, la presencia de días festivos tiene fuertes efectos sobre el comportamiento de la demanda de energía, otro factor que incluye en el consumo de energía es el día de la semana; la curva diaria de energía muestra comportamientos especiales para los días, sábado, domingo y lunes, mientras que para los demás días la curva presenta regularidad. La proyección de la demanda de energía eléctrica cumple un papel importante en la operación del sistema de potencia, los agentes de mercado requieren de este estudio para desempeñar adecuadamente las funciones correspondientes a su actividad, ya sea de generación, distribución, transmisión, comercialización u operación del mercado de electricidad; esto justifica la necesidad de realizar estudios eficientes sobre el pronostico... de demanda de energía eléctrica. .
Author: John E. Hanke
Publisher: Pearson Educación
ISBN: 9789702607595
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 544
Get Book Here
Book Description
This top-selling book presents, in a straightforward, application-driven manner, the basic statistical techniques necessary for preparing individual business forecasts and long-range plans. The emphasis is on the application of techniques by management for decision-making. This essential book provides understandable coverage of several important topics, often omitted from other books, including econometrics; autocorrelation analysis and the use of Box-Jenkins techniques; judgmental forecasting techniques; and the means of selecting the correct forecasting technique and analyzing data. The book also reviews statistical concepts prior to introducing material that requires an understanding of those concepts. The sixth edition of Business Forecasting has been revised to include instructions on using Excel spreadsheets and the statistical package MINITAB in forecasting. An essential reference for every professional in a business of any size, from large corporations to small family-run firms.
Author: Zura Kakushadze
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3030027929
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 480
Get Book Here
Book Description
The book provides detailed descriptions, including more than 550 mathematical formulas, for more than 150 trading strategies across a host of asset classes and trading styles. These include stocks, options, fixed income, futures, ETFs, indexes, commodities, foreign exchange, convertibles, structured assets, volatility, real estate, distressed assets, cash, cryptocurrencies, weather, energy, inflation, global macro, infrastructure, and tax arbitrage. Some strategies are based on machine learning algorithms such as artificial neural networks, Bayes, and k-nearest neighbors. The book also includes source code for illustrating out-of-sample backtesting, around 2,000 bibliographic references, and more than 900 glossary, acronym and math definitions. The presentation is intended to be descriptive and pedagogical and of particular interest to finance practitioners, traders, researchers, academics, and business school and finance program students.
Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380
Get Book Here
Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Author: Commission for Environmental Cooperation (Montréal, Québec). Secretariat
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agriculture
Languages : en
Pages : 240
Get Book Here
Book Description
The North American Mosaic has four overarching features. First, it is, to the extent feasible, based on comparable information on the status and trends of major indicators of the state of the environment in Canada,Mexico, and the United States. Second, the report confirms that these three countries together make up an incredibly complex, dynamic, and interconnected ecosystem in which humans play a dominant and decisive role. Third, the report raises important and sometimes disquieting questions concerning the sustainability of some current trends. Finally, the report is a reminder that our economic, social, and physical well-being are utterly dependent on the life-sustaining services provided by nature. This report emphasizes the importance of developing mutually compatible economic, social, and environmental goals and policies across the three-country region.
Author: Pablo González Casanova
Publisher: New York : Oxford University Press
ISBN:
Category : Mexico
Languages : en
Pages : 272
Get Book Here
Book Description
Author: Timothy Masters
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 548
Get Book Here
Book Description
An authoritative guide to predicting the future using neural, novel, and hybrid algorithms Expert Timothy Masters provides you with carefully paced, step-by-step advice and guidance plus the proven tools and techniques you need to develop successful applications for business forecasting, stock market prediction, engineering process control, economic cycle tracking, marketing analysis, and more. Neural, Novel & Hybrid Algorithms for Time Series Prediction provides information on: * Robust confidence intervals for predictions made with neural, ARIMA, and other models * Wavelets for detecting features that presage important events * Multivariate ARMA models for simultaneous prediction of multiple series based on multiple inputs and shocks * Hybrid ARMA/neural models to improve the accuracy of predictions * Data reduction and orthogonalization using principal components and related operations * Digital filters for preprocessing to enhance useful information and suppress noise * Diagnostic tools such as the maximum entropy spectrum and Savitzky-Golay filters for suggesting and validating prediction models * Effective preprocessing techniques for prediction with neural networks CD-ROM INCLUDES: * PREDICT-both DOS and Windows NT versions-a powerful time series program that can be easily customized to make accurate predictions in any application area * Much useful source code, including the complex-general multivariate fast Fourier transform in both C++ and Pentium-optimized assembler
