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Author: Steven Vincent Dunaway
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451862218
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12
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Book Description
The number of studies attempting to estimate the "equilibrium" real value of China's currency has proliferated in recent years as the country's presence in world markets has grown. These studies have sought to establish whether or not a significant part of China's competitive prowess can be attributed to the foreign exchange value of the renminbi. Unfortunately, no consensus has emerged because the studies yield a very wide range of estimates. The paper looks at a sample of these studies, with estimates of undervaluation ranging from zero to nearly 50 percent. It attributes the wide variation in these estimates to the influence of such factors as the different methodologies used, explanatory variables included, subjective judgments of the various researchers in deriving their results, and instability in underlying economic relationships, especially in a rapidly developing economy like China.
Author: Steven Vincent Dunaway
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451862218
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 12
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Book Description
The number of studies attempting to estimate the "equilibrium" real value of China's currency has proliferated in recent years as the country's presence in world markets has grown. These studies have sought to establish whether or not a significant part of China's competitive prowess can be attributed to the foreign exchange value of the renminbi. Unfortunately, no consensus has emerged because the studies yield a very wide range of estimates. The paper looks at a sample of these studies, with estimates of undervaluation ranging from zero to nearly 50 percent. It attributes the wide variation in these estimates to the influence of such factors as the different methodologies used, explanatory variables included, subjective judgments of the various researchers in deriving their results, and instability in underlying economic relationships, especially in a rapidly developing economy like China.
Author: Mr.Steven Vincent Dunaway
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN: 9781451864809
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
Increased attention is being paid to assessments of the actual values of countries' real exchange rates relative to their "equilibrium" values as suggested by "fundamental" determining factors. This paper assesses the robustness of alternative approaches and models commonly used to derive equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Using China's currency to illustrate this analysis, the variance in estimates raises serious questions regarding how robust the results are. The basic conclusion from the tests used here is that, at least for China, small changes in model specifications, explanatory variable definitions, and time periods used in estimation can lead to very substantial differences in equilibrium real exchange rate estimates. Thus, such estimates should be treated with great caution.
Author: Robert C. Feenstra
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226239721
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 603
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Book Description
In less than three decades, China has grown from playing a negligible role in international trade to being one of the world's largest exporters, a substantial importer of raw materials, intermediate outputs, and other goods, and both a recipient and source of foreign investment. Not surprisingly, China's economic dynamism has generated considerable attention and concern in the United States and beyond. While some analysts have warned of the potential pitfalls of China's rise—the loss of jobs, for example—others have highlighted the benefits of new market and investment opportunities for US firms. Bringing together an expert group of contributors, China's Growing Role in World Trade undertakes an empirical investigation of the effects of China's new status. The essays collected here provide detailed analyses of the microstructure of trade, the macroeconomic implications, sector-level issues, and foreign direct investment. This volume's careful examination of micro data in light of established economic theories clarifies a number of misconceptions, disproves some conventional wisdom, and documents data patterns that enhance our understanding of China's trade and what it may mean to the rest of the world.
Author: Tao Sun
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: Zhichao Zhang
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Based on the theory of equilibrium real exchange rate, this paper estimates the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate and the resulting misalignment in China. Evidence shows chronic overvaluation in China's central planning period, but economic reforms have brought the real exchange rate closer to equilibrium. The cumulative effect of exchange rate reform led to a substantial real depreciation of the Chinese currency after 1981. Indications are that China now has a proactive exchange rate policy with the nominal exchange rate used as a policy tool to attain real targets.
Author: Elise Whalan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 302
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Book Description
Thesis (B.Comm.(Hons.)) -- Griffith University, 2011.
Author: Kiyotaka Sato
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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Book Description
We estimate the nominal equilibrium exchange rate (EER) of the Chinese renminbi (RMB) vis-à-vis the US dollar from 1995 to 2009. While most of the recent empirical studies on the EER employ a cross-country analysis, country-specific factors, especially supply-side real factors, are not fully taken into consideration in estimating the EER. To better reflect China's processing exports in the context of growing intra-regional trade in Asia, we incorporate in the empirical analysis the source-country breakdown data on import prices and input coefficients of intermediate inputs by constructing an annual new International input-output (IIO) table for the period from 1995 to 2009. The results show that the nominal EER of the RMB appreciates sharply from 2006 to 2009, suggesting that the current RMB exchange rate has been substantially undervalued and should be revalued by 74 per cent as of 2008 compared to the year 2004 level. Such sharp appreciation of the nominal EER corresponds to the dramatic increase in China's current account surplus from the mid-2000s, especially against the United States, which is ascribed to the significant improvement of China's intermediate input coefficients and, to a lesser extent, an increase in US import prices of intermediate inputs.
Author:
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437941885
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 37
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Book Description
Many Members of Congress charge that China's policy of accumulating foreign reserves (especially U.S. dollars) to influence the value of its currency constitutes a form of currency manipulation intended to make its exports cheaper and imports into China more expensive than they would be under free market conditions. They further contend that this policy has caused a surge in the U.S. trade deficit with China and has been a major factor in the loss of U.S. manufacturing jobs. Although China made modest reforms to its currency policy in 2005, resulting in a modest appreciation of its currency, many Members contend the reforms have not gone far enough and have warned of potential legislative action. This report summarizes the main findings in CRS Report RL32165, China's Currency: Economic Issues and Options for U.S. Trade Policy, by Wayne M. Morrison and Marc Labonte, and will be updated as events warrant.
Author: Ms.Isabelle Mejean
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1455218960
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 31
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Book Description
A reduction in the U.S. current account deficit vis-à-vis emerging Asia involves a shift in demand from U.S. to emerging Asia tradable goods and a change in international relative prices. This paper quantifies the required adjustment in the terms of trade and real exchange rates in a three-country open economy model of the U.S., China, and other emerging Asia. We compare scenarios where both Chinese and other emerging Asian export prices change by the same proportion to the case where export prices remain constant in one country and increase in the other. Our results are robust to different assumptions about elasticities of substitution and to introducing a high degree of vertical fragmentation in production in the model.
Author: Morris Goldstein
Publisher: Peterson Institute
ISBN: 0881325406
Category : China
Languages : en
Pages : 125
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Book Description
