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Author: Ander Perez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 290
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Author: Ander Perez
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 290
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Author: Jonathan Elliot Goldberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 164
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This thesis examines questions at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance. Chapter 1 studies the persistent effects of a decrease in firms' ability to borrow. I develop a tractable model of deleveraging that emphasizes (i) firms as suppliers of financial assets to consumers and (ii) the ability of firms and consumers to alleviate financial frictions by accumulating wealth. In the model, a permanent decrease in the ability of firms to borrow leads to: increased capital misallocation and decreased total factor productivity (TFP); an increased wedge between the average marginal product of capital and the interest rate; and increased riskiness of consumption. An endogenous decrease in the interest rate is shown to amplify these effects by discouraging wealth accumulation. In a calibration using U.S. firm-level data, I find these amplification effects are large. Chapter 2 studies how proprietary trading and advising are combined on Wall Street even though a firm that engages in both of these activities may be tempted to mislead its clients. Chapter 3 studies the effects of government purchases of long-term debt. According to one interpretation, the preferred-habitat model of Vayanos and Vila (2009) implies that Federal Reserve purchases of long-term bonds generate a reduction in long-term interest rates. In this paper, I clarify this interpretation. In particular, in a Vayanos and Vila (2009) preferred-habitat model, I show that maturity-lengthening open-market operations have no effect on long-term interest rates if agents in the economy ultimately receive the profits from the government's portfolio via lump-sum taxes or transfers. I then introduce limited participation - an assumption that some agents are restricted from trading bonds of certain or all maturities. I show that limited participation implies that open-market operations do reduce the long-term interest rate. What drives this result is limited participation, not preferred-habitat preferences. With this motivation, I develop a model, with a more reasonable form of limited participation and without preferred-habitat preferences, in which open-market operations are relevant. Finally, I use these models to discuss how arbitrageurs' wealth covaries with technology or endowment shocks, and how this covariance is affected by open-market operations.
Author: Andrew C. P. Hertzberg
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 118
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(Cont.) the release of information until the long-term results of the firm are realized. In equilibrium, when the belief about the aggregate state is high, managers will be given short-term incentives, delaying the release of information. When the belief about the aggregate state is low, long-term incentives will be prevalent and information will be released without delay. This produces asymmetric learning dynamics for the economy, with gradual booms and rapid recessions. In a boom the belief about the aggregate state increases, information is pushed off into the future, and learning is slow. In a recession the belief is falling, triggering a switch to long-term incentives, that brings forward the release of information and accelerates learning. Chapter 2 presents a model of corporate misreporting in an environment where investors have heterogeneous beliefs and short sale constraints. The disagreement between investors provides a motive for agents who start a firm to limit the amount of information which it releases to the public so as to sponsor speculation over its value. This incentive to limit information is stronger when the heterogeneity of beliefs among investors is stronger. Investors also learn about a firm's expected profitability from the information released by other firms in the industry. I show that this creates a strategic complementarily in the precision of information released by each firm. This can give rise to multiple equilibria: one in which all firms release precise reports and one in which their reports are inaccurate ...
Author: Nicolas Crouzet
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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This dissertation contains three essays in Macroeconomics and Corporate Finance. The first essay deals the implications of inventory investment for news-driven business cycles. The second essay looks at the connection between debt structure and investment at the firm level. The third essay proposes a macroeonomic model where firms choose simultaneously the composition and scale of their debt.
Author: Arvind Krishnamurthy
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Corporations
Languages : en
Pages : 117
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Author: Yi Huang
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Author: April Meehl
Publisher:
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Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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In the first chapter, I study how big banks' expectations of bailouts and bail-ins affect their individual decisions and the consequences for the aggregate banking industry. Unlike bailouts, bail-ins use internal bank funds instead of government money to stabilize distressed banks. The expectation of bail-in influences the pricing of bank debt and equity, prompting banks to adjust their balance sheets accordingly. To assess the impact, I construct a quantitative model of heterogeneous bank dynamics and estimate it to match aggregate and distributional moments from the pre-GFC U.S. banking sector. In a scenario where bail-ins replace bailouts, uninsured debt prices rise, diminishing the advantages of being a large bank. Ex-ante riskier banks see the most significant changes in debt prices, resulting in fewer becoming large banks and a substantial decrease in the failure rate of large banks by 77%. Increased entry to meet firm demand for loans limits the drop in aggregate lending to only 3.3%. Ex-ante safer banks increase their share of lending, enhancing overall banking sector efficiency. In the second chapter (joint with Shannon Sledz), I study the impact of the Federal Reserve's Primary Market Corporate Credit Facilities (PMCCF) on acquisition activity. Following the announcement of the PMCCF, firms with credit ratings issued a record-breaking number of bonds. An acquisition wave soon followed. We construct a dataset of firm characteristics, bond issuances, acquisition activity, and stock returns to study the connection between these two events. Using a differences-in-differences approach, we find no significant difference in the acquisition likelihood of firms whose bonds were eligible for purchase by the Federal Reserve. By studying the stock returns surrounding the announcement of these acquisitions, we find suggestive evidence that acquisitions made by eligible firms after the PMCCF were perceived more favorably by the market than acquisitions by similar firms in the pre-period. The third chapter dives into the efficiency of the banking sector over two decades of regulatory and technological change. By adapting the allocative efficiency measure in Olley and Pakes (1996), I define default rate allocative efficiency as the covariance between a bank's default rate on its loans and its share of lending in the economy. Using Call Report data, I find that aggregate default rate allocative efficiency is positive for US banks from 1992-2021, suggesting that more loans are made by banks with higher defaults on their loans. However, C&I default rate allocative efficiency becomes negative following the GFC. In fact, the positive relationship between default rates and share of lending is weakened for large banks in the post-GFC period for all types of loans. In an illustrative model, I show that this finding is consistent with the reduction in bailout expectations for banks.
Author: Adam Hal Spencer
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0
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The first chapter develops and calibrates a dynamic equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms to study the impact of removing the U.S. corporate repatriation tax. I study the impact of the policy reform on firm investment, capital structure, payout policy and tax revenues. Firms in the model make both intensive and extensive margin choices regarding supplying foreign goods markets. I calibrate the model to U.S. data and then run a counterfactual where the repatriation tax is removed. The results show that aggregate U.S. firm productivity rises and more U.S. firms operate as multinationals. Domestic and overseas production by U.S. firms rise and firms borrow more and pay larger dividends to shareholders. These effects on firm variables are coupled with a rise in U.S. Government tax collections and a 0.79\% increase in U.S. welfare. The second chapter studies the transmission of U.S. fiscal policy changes to its major trading partners. In particular, I study the impact of removing the U.S. corporate repatriation tax on foreign tax policy. A two-country model with heterogeneous U.S. and foreign firms is developed and calibrated. The Foreign Government in the model solves a Ramsey taxation problem whereby it optimally chooses domestic corporate and personal tax rates. I run an experiment in the model whereby the repatriation tax is removed. The U.S. reform encourages more FDI by U.S. firms in the Foreign Country. I find that the Foreign Government chooses to decrease its domestic corporate tax rate so as to complement the U.S. policy change and further incentivise domestic investment. The recent U.S. tax bill removed the ``repatriation tax". However, policymakers are concerned that doing so may lead firms to shift more of their earnings to low tax haven nations, thereby putting downward pressure on Federal tax collections. The third chapter develops and solves a model of a multinational firm, who has the option to shift its earnings to a low-tax haven nation. Given the behaviour of the multinational firm, the haven nation solves a Ramsey optimal taxation problem, which involves choosing corporate and personal tax rates. I calibrate the model to a U.S. multinational that shifts its earnings to Bermuda: the classic example of a tax haven. Using the model, I find that if the U.S. moves to a territorial tax system, Bermuda will optimally respond by choosing a positive corporate tax rate, which will lead to a decrease in the earnings shifted by U.S. multinationals
Author: Steven M. Fazzari
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1317470575
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 209
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This collection of papers on financial instability and its impact on macroeconomic performance honours Hyman P. Minsky and his lifelong work. It is based on a conference at Washington University, St. Louis, in 1990 and includes among the authors Benjamin M. Friedman, Charles P. Kindleberger, Jan Kregel and Steven Fazzari. These papers consider Minsky's definitive analysis that yields such a clear and disturbing sequence of financial events: booms, government intervention to prevent debt contraction and new booms that cause a progressive buildup of new debt, eventually leaving the economy much more fragile financially.
Author: Congyan Tan
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 129
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For the past two decades, economists have focused intensive effort on building Macroeconomics on a firm Microeconomic foundation. As Macroeconomic research are more integrated with Microeconomics, more and better micro evidence has been examined to verify Macroeconomic theories. One recent development in this line of research uses detailed firm-level evidence to modify current Macroeconomic theories. In this dissertation extensive firm-level evidence are studied to shed light on important macro issues such as investment dynamics, financial frictions, regulations and productivity growth. In this study firm behaviors are studied and modeled by utilizing theories from a variety of fields in Corporate Finance, Public Finance, International Economics, Macroeconomic Dynamics etc. Implications of these evidence on the economic theory are carefully examined and subsequent extension of existing models are proposed. This dissertation consists of three chapters. All chapters study firm behaviors and their implications on macroeconomics, however, the focus of each is different. The first chapter studies issues of credit conditions, uncertainty and investment; the second chapter (co- authored with Zhiyong An) engages the issues of taxation and international corporate finance; the third chapter show how regulations are likely impact foreign investment. The first chapter explores the heterogeneity in firms' response to high economic uncertainty. I show that the effect of high economic uncertainty on firms' investment varies significantly with the degree of financial constraints. Firm decisions are studied in a model of non-convex adjustment costs and time-varying second moment shocks, with financial constraints. In my model, uncertainty makes financially-constrained firms cautious in capital spending and creates long periods of under-investment for these firms. Estimates from firm-level data show that publicly-traded companies' investment-to-capital ratio falls by an average of around 15% in response to a one standard deviation increase in uncertainty. Firms with easier access to credit are found to be much less responsive to uncertainty, consistent with the model's predictions. This implies that the effectiveness of stimulus policy may largely depend on firms' accessibility to credit in episodes of high uncertainty. The second chapter (co-authored with Zhiyong An) studies how firms respond to a quasi-experiment in China. China's new Corporate income Tax Law was passed in March 2007 and took effect on January 1, 2008. It increases the effective corporate income tax rate from about 15% to 25% for foreign investment enterprises (FIEs), while keeps that unchanged at 25% for domestic enterprises (DEs). This study uses a difference-in-differences approach to investigate FIEs' response to the law. Employing the Chinese Industrial Enterprises Database (2002-2008) to implement the analysis, we find evidence that FIEs are responding to the law by shifting their income out of China. Second, the magnitude of the estimated response is larger for enterprises larger in size, which suggests the greater capability of shifting income across countries for larger enterprises. In addition, the response is more acute for investment enterprises from Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan (HMT) than that for other FIEs, which is consistent with the tax haven status of Hong Kong and Macau. The third chapter studies productivity spillovers to domestic firms from foreign direct investment (FDI). Such productivity gain from FDI is considered to be the basis of policies that promote FDI in many countries. In this chapter, firm-level panel data from six European countries are examined to test a number of hypotheses regarding the impact of FDI on the productivity of domestic firms. I find evidence for the backward linkage channel of the FDI spillovers. Using a new dataset, Investing Across Borders 2010 that documents and scores regulations for FDI in 87 countries, this study goes further to explore how FDI-specific policies and institutions impact the spillovers from FDI inflows. Empirical evidence shows that good investment climate is associated with productivity gains, either by direct productivity contribution or by productivity increase in upstream industries. Higher ownership limit is shown to be significantly and positively correlated with productivity. However, productivity impact varies greatly across different investment climate measures.
