Essays in Decision Making Under Uncertainty and the Political Economy of Institutions

Essays in Decision Making Under Uncertainty and the Political Economy of Institutions PDF Author: Esteban Jose Mendez Chacon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description
This dissertation consists of two lines of research. The first line focuses on decision making under uncertainty. Specifically, I analyze the nature of risk preferences in life-insurance choices, and I examine adverse selection and moral hazard in private-healthcare markets in a context where the government provides universal healthcare. The second line focuses on the political economy of institutions, and I study the impact of a multinational company on the economic development of its host country during and after its tenure. In Chapter 1, I estimate a structural model of risk preferences from the choice of insured amount in life-insurance contracts. The literature investigating life-insurance purchases has mostly focused on survey data to estimate how demand for insurance depends on demographic and socioeconomic factors, leaving aside the task of estimating an underlying model of decision making that generates this demand. Using proprietary data on life-insurance choices, I estimate a model of risky choice to explain households' decisions. My results indicate that, in addition to standard risk aversion (decreasing marginal utility for wealth), including decision weights that might differ from the actual probabilities improves the fit of the model. These weights can be interpreted as a combination of state-dependent utility and probability distortions. Moreover, I find support for the existence of heterogeneity in preferences. Women are more risk averse than men, and the decision weights vary depending on gender and age. In Chapter 2, we investigate adverse selection and moral hazard in private healthcare in markets where the government provides universal healthcare. We use proprietary data on health-insurance choices and medical expenditures to examine asymmetric information in this institutional setting. We disentangle adverse selection and moral hazard by leveraging variation in copays and deductibles implemented by the insurance company, and the fact that, for a sample of customers, the insured amount was exogenously assigned, shutting down the adverse selection channel. We find evidence for the presence of asymmetric information, both in the form of adverse selection and moral hazard. Moreover, we develop a model that incorporates sources of heterogeneity that could potentially explain selection in this institutional setting, namely risk aversion, risk type, concern for health, and taste for convenience services offered in the private healthcare sector. In Chapter 3, we analyze the impact of large-scale FDI on economic development by studying the case of the United Fruit Company (UFCo) in Costa Rica from 1889 to 1984. We implement a geographic regression discontinuity design that exploits a quasi-random assignment of land, and census data geo-referenced at the census-block level for 1973, 1984, 2000 and 2011. These allow us to identify the company's effect during its tenure, and after it stopped production. We find that former "UFCo lands" have had higher living standards and better economic outcomes than counterfactual areas without the company's presence, and that convergence is slow. These findings are validated using nighttime lights data. Detailed historical data suggest that the mechanisms behind our results are.

Essays in Decision Making Under Uncertainty and the Political Economy of Institutions

Essays in Decision Making Under Uncertainty and the Political Economy of Institutions PDF Author: Esteban Jose Mendez Chacon
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 224

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Book Description
This dissertation consists of two lines of research. The first line focuses on decision making under uncertainty. Specifically, I analyze the nature of risk preferences in life-insurance choices, and I examine adverse selection and moral hazard in private-healthcare markets in a context where the government provides universal healthcare. The second line focuses on the political economy of institutions, and I study the impact of a multinational company on the economic development of its host country during and after its tenure. In Chapter 1, I estimate a structural model of risk preferences from the choice of insured amount in life-insurance contracts. The literature investigating life-insurance purchases has mostly focused on survey data to estimate how demand for insurance depends on demographic and socioeconomic factors, leaving aside the task of estimating an underlying model of decision making that generates this demand. Using proprietary data on life-insurance choices, I estimate a model of risky choice to explain households' decisions. My results indicate that, in addition to standard risk aversion (decreasing marginal utility for wealth), including decision weights that might differ from the actual probabilities improves the fit of the model. These weights can be interpreted as a combination of state-dependent utility and probability distortions. Moreover, I find support for the existence of heterogeneity in preferences. Women are more risk averse than men, and the decision weights vary depending on gender and age. In Chapter 2, we investigate adverse selection and moral hazard in private healthcare in markets where the government provides universal healthcare. We use proprietary data on health-insurance choices and medical expenditures to examine asymmetric information in this institutional setting. We disentangle adverse selection and moral hazard by leveraging variation in copays and deductibles implemented by the insurance company, and the fact that, for a sample of customers, the insured amount was exogenously assigned, shutting down the adverse selection channel. We find evidence for the presence of asymmetric information, both in the form of adverse selection and moral hazard. Moreover, we develop a model that incorporates sources of heterogeneity that could potentially explain selection in this institutional setting, namely risk aversion, risk type, concern for health, and taste for convenience services offered in the private healthcare sector. In Chapter 3, we analyze the impact of large-scale FDI on economic development by studying the case of the United Fruit Company (UFCo) in Costa Rica from 1889 to 1984. We implement a geographic regression discontinuity design that exploits a quasi-random assignment of land, and census data geo-referenced at the census-block level for 1973, 1984, 2000 and 2011. These allow us to identify the company's effect during its tenure, and after it stopped production. We find that former "UFCo lands" have had higher living standards and better economic outcomes than counterfactual areas without the company's presence, and that convergence is slow. These findings are validated using nighttime lights data. Detailed historical data suggest that the mechanisms behind our results are.

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Jacques H. Dreze
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description


Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty

Essays on Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Jacques H. Drèze
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 424

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Book Description


Institutions and Sustainability

Institutions and Sustainability PDF Author: Volker Beckmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1402096909
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 391

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Book Description
From the first vague idea to use Konrad Hagedorn’s 60th birthday as an inspi- tion for taking stock of his vibrant academic contributions, this joint book project has been a great pleasure for us in many ways. Pursuing Hagedorn’s intellectual development, we have tried to reflect on the core questions of humanity according to Ernst Bloch “Who are we?”, “Where do we come from?” and “Where are we heading?” In this way, and without knowing it, Konrad Hagedorn initiated a c- lective action process he would have very much enjoyed ... if he had been allowed to take part in it. But it was our aim and constant motivation to surprise him with this collection of essays in his honour. Konrad Hagedorn was reared as the youngest child of a peasant family on a small farm in the remote moorland of East Frisia, Germany. During his childhood in the poverty-ridden years after the Second World War, he faced a life where humans were heavily dependent on using nature around them for their livelihoods; meanwhile, he learned about the fragility of the environment. As a boy, he - tended a one-room schoolhouse, where his great intellectual talents were first r- ognised and used for co-teaching his schoolmates. These early teaching expe- ences might have laid the foundations for his later becoming a dedicated lecturer and mentor.

Economics as a Process

Economics as a Process PDF Author: Richard Langlois
Publisher: CUP Archive
ISBN: 9780521378598
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 292

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Book Description
Consists of original and rev. versions of papers presented at a conference at Airlie House in Virginia, Mar. 1983. Includes bibliographies and index.

Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance

Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance PDF Author: Douglass C. North
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521397346
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 164

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Book Description
An analytical framework for explaining the ways in which institutions and institutional change affect the performance of economies is developed in this analysis of economic structures.

Essays on Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Essays on Decision Making Under Uncertainty PDF Author: Masaki Miyashita
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
This dissertation studies several economic questions related to decision making under uncertainty. In the first chapter, I consider the question of to what extent an external observer can infer the underlying information structure by observing an equilibrium action distribution in an incomplete information game. I investigate this issue in a general linear-quadratic-Gaussian framework. A simple class of canonical information structures is offered and proves rich enough to rationalize any possible equilibrium action distribution that can arise under an arbitrary information structure. I show that the class is parsimonious in the sense that the relevant parameters can be uniquely pinned down by an observed equilibrium outcome, up to some qualifications. This implies, for example, that the accuracy of each agent's signal about the state is identified, as measured by how much observing the signal reduces the state variance. Moreover, I show that a canonical information structure characterizes the lower bound on the amount by which each agent's signal can reduce the state variance, across all observationally equivalent information structures. The lower bound is tight, for example, when the actual information structure is uni-dimensional, or when there are no strategic interactions among agents, but in general, there is a gap since agents' strategic motives confound their private information about fundamental and strategic uncertainty.The second chapter is based on my joint work with Federico Echenique, Yuta Nakamura, Luciano Pomatto, and Jamie Vinson. We propose a model of incomplete preferences, termed twofold multiprior preferences, in which an act f is ranked above an act g only when f provides higher utility in a worst-case scenario than what g provides in a best-case scenario. The model explains the experimental phenomenon, called failures of contingent reasoning, captured through a weakening of the state-by-state monotonicity (or dominance) axiom. Our model gives rise to rich comparative statics results, which demonstrate that the two important decision criteria in the literature--subjective expected utility representation and obvious dominance--can be encapsulated as the respective extreme cases of our model. We present an application to second-price auctions and illustrate that our model can explain a wide array of anomalistic bidding behaviors caused by failures of contingent reasoning, yet it can provide sharper predictions than obvious dominance.The third chapter, coauthored with Carlo Cusumano, extends the analysis of the second chapter by studying a general class of twofold preferences that compare different acts based on two possibly different utility functions. We find that the twofold preferences are useful for analyzing economic problems for at least two reasons. From a behavioral perspective, it enables theoretical models to account for the indecisiveness of a decision maker's choice in a way depending on the scale of odds. From a modeling perspective, the twofold approach can be a unified framework for modeling various incomplete preferences that differ in additional independence-type axioms to be imposed. Our series of axiomatization results provide the characterizations of the incomplete counterparts of existing complete preferences in the literature.

Method and Morals in Constitutional Economics

Method and Morals in Constitutional Economics PDF Author: Geoffrey Brennan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3662048108
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 576

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Book Description
This Festschrift was "presented" in electronic form to Buchanan on the occasion of his eightieth birthday on October 3, 1999, after dinner in Fairfax, Virginia. As one might have expected, the response to our call for papers was vo luminous. In looking over the many contributions, we felt that a "published" Festschrift was also possible and fitting for the eightieth birthday of so prodi gious and influential a scholar as Professor Buchanan. To that end we have assembled the following volume. In selecting the papers to be included here we have basically tried to choose those papers which in some way bear on Buchanan's contributions. Perfectly good papers about issues not related to Buchanan's research agenda or not referring directly to Buchanan's work were not included. Space constraints did not allow universal coverage, so choices had to be made. It should be stated clearly that these were our choices based on the criterion that the contribution be relevant to Buchanan's work. Buchanan had nothing whatsoever to do with the selection of papers for this volume. Once choices had been made, we arranged the papers by subject matter ranging from various aspects of Buchanan's work in economics, political science, philosophy, and related areas, to some more personal recollections of Jim as a professor, friend, and colleague. Including the latter material was also our decision, and this probably represents a choice with which Jim would not have agreed. We think, however, that the reader will find these pieces interesting and informative.

Essays in Development, Governance, and Decisions

Essays in Development, Governance, and Decisions PDF Author: Michael Joseph Callen
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781124946269
Category : Decision making
Languages : en
Pages : 128

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Book Description
In this dissertation I focus on the political economy of corruption in fraudulent elections and on the effects of trauma on economic decision making. In Chapter 1, I provide results from a Randomized Control Trial (RCT) impact evaluation of a novel anti-fraud technology Photo Quick Count, designed to reduce fraud involving transactions between corrupt officials and parliamentary candidates. In Chapter 2, I provide results from a novel field experiment which uses methods from lab experimental economics, psychology, and field experimental economics to link trauma to economic decision making. In Chapter 3, I theoretically develop the impact trauma should have on measured time preference and provide a preliminary non-experimental test using data from populations affected by the 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake.

Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty PDF Author: Mohammed Abdellaoui
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9783642088001
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 0

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Book Description
Whether we like it or not we all feel that the world is uncertain. From choosing a new technology to selecting a job, we rarely know in advance what outcome will result from our decisions. Unfortunately, the standard theory of choice under uncertainty developed in the early forties and fifties turns out to be too rigid to take many tricky issues of choice under uncertainty into account. The good news is that we have now moved away from the early descriptively inadequate modeling of behavior. This book brings the reader into contact with the accomplished progress in individual decision making through the most recent contributions to uncertainty modeling and behavioral decision making. It also introduces the reader into the many subtle issues to be resolved for rational choice under uncertainty.