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Author: Serhiy Kozak
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781303228872
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 94
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Book Description
I use a general equilibrium model to jointly explain the time-variation in real bond and stock risk premia along with time-variation in the comovement of realized returns. The model features multiple investment technologies and produces stock and real bond return correlation which changes both in magnitude and sign. The model also delivers a time-varying real term premium that changes sign. I find that changes in investors' appetite for risk are an important source of variation in asset prices. In response to this shock, the term premium and the stock risk premium move in opposite directions. Real default-free bonds are good hedges against an increase in stock discount rates, especially when the level of stock discount rates is high. In those times the bond risk premium and bond-stock correlations are negative (and vice versa). An empirical ICAPM with shocks to discount rates as a factor jointly prices the cross-section of bonds (by maturity) and stock portfolios (value, size, momentum).
Author: Serhiy Kozak
Publisher:
ISBN: 9781303228872
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 94
Get Book Here
Book Description
I use a general equilibrium model to jointly explain the time-variation in real bond and stock risk premia along with time-variation in the comovement of realized returns. The model features multiple investment technologies and produces stock and real bond return correlation which changes both in magnitude and sign. The model also delivers a time-varying real term premium that changes sign. I find that changes in investors' appetite for risk are an important source of variation in asset prices. In response to this shock, the term premium and the stock risk premium move in opposite directions. Real default-free bonds are good hedges against an increase in stock discount rates, especially when the level of stock discount rates is high. In those times the bond risk premium and bond-stock correlations are negative (and vice versa). An empirical ICAPM with shocks to discount rates as a factor jointly prices the cross-section of bonds (by maturity) and stock portfolios (value, size, momentum).
Author: Tak-Yuen Wong
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
I study a continuous-time principal-agent model in which a multitasking agent engages in unobserved risk-taking. Risk-taking creates short-term profits but also increases the chance of large losses. The optimal contract incentivizes excessive risk-taking when the agent has insufficient skin in the game. Moreover, if the low effort is not too value-destroying and the private benefit of shirking is low enough, the principal can eliminate risk-taking by implementing the low effort. However, with variable project scale, addressing the risk-taking incentives by downsizing projects is not optimal. The implementation of the optimal contract shows that risk management should take agency problems into account. Complete hedging against downside risks provides incentives for the agent to gamble.
Author: Joseph G. Haubrich
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
ISBN: 0226921964
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 286
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Book Description
In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much debate about how this might be accomplished quantitatively and objectively—or whether this is even possible. A key issue is determining the appropriate trade-offs between risk and reward from a policy and social welfare perspective given the potential negative impact of crises. One of the first books to address the challenges of measuring statistical risk from a system-wide persepective, Quantifying Systemic Risk looks at the means of measuring systemic risk and explores alternative approaches. Among the topics discussed are the challenges of tying regulations to specific quantitative measures, the effects of learning and adaptation on the evolution of the market, and the distinction between the shocks that start a crisis and the mechanisms that enable it to grow.
Author: Tobias Adrian
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages :
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Book Description
Author: George-Marios Angeletos
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
ISBN: 1437980244
Category : Reference
Languages : en
Pages : 42
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Book Description
How does financial integration impact capital accumulation, current-account dynamics, and cross-country inequality? This paper investigates this question within a two-country, general-equilibrium, incomplete-markets model that focuses on the importance of idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk -- a risk that introduces, not only a precautionary motive for saving, but also a wedge between the interest rate and the marginal product of capital. This friction provides a simple resolution to the empirical puzzle that capital often fails to flow from the rich or slow-growing countries to the poor or fast-growing ones, and a distinct set of policy lessons regarding the intertemporal costs and benefits of capital-account liberalization. Illus. A print on demand report.
Author: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
ISBN: 1933019158
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 117
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Book Description
Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Author: Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484381130
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 41
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Book Description
We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Author: Rajat Acharyya
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 8132211510
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 220
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Book Description
This book was written in honour of Professor Kalyan K. Sanyal, who was an excellent educator and renowned scholar in the field of international economics. One of his research papers co-authored with Ronald Jones, entitled “The Theory of Trade in Middle Products” and published in American Economic Review in 1982, was a seminal work in the field of international trade theory. This paper would go on to inspire many subsequent significant works by researchers across the globe on trade in intermediate goods. The larger impact of any paper, beyond the number of citations, lies in terms of the passion it sparks among younger researchers to pursue new questions. Measured by this yardstick, Sanyal’s contribution in trade theory will undoubtedly be regarded as historic. After completing his Ph.D. at the University of Rochester he joined the Department of Economics at Calcutta University in the early 1980s and taught trade theory there for almost three decades. His insights, articulation and brilliance in teaching international economics have influenced and shaped the intellectual development of many of his students. After his sudden passing in February 2012, his students and colleagues organized a symposium in his honour at the Department of Economics, Jadavpur University from April 19 to 20, 2012. This book, a small tribute to his intellect and contribution, has been a follow-up on that endeavour, and a collective effort of many people including his teachers, friends, colleagues and students. In a nutshell it discusses intermediation of various kinds with significant implications for market integration through trade and finance. That trade can generate many non-trade-service sector links has recently emerged as a topic of growing concern and can trace its lineage back to the idea of the middle product, a recurring concept in Prof. Sanyal’s work.
Author: Hyun Song Shin
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191613835
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 205
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Book Description
This book presents the Clarendon Lectures in Finance by one of the leading exponents of financial booms and crises. Hyun Song Shin's work has shed light on the global financial crisis and he has been a central figure in the policy debates. The paradox of the global financial crisis is that it erupted in an era when risk management was at the core of the management of the most sophisticated financial institutions. This book explains why. The severity of the crisis is explained by financial development that put marketable assets at the heart of the financial system, and the increased sophistication of financial institutions that held and traded the assets. Step by step, the lectures build an analytical framework that take the reader through the economics behind the fluctuations in the price of risk and the boom-bust dynamics that follow. The book examines the role played by market-to-market accounting rules and securitisation in amplifying the crisis, and draws lessons for financial architecture, financial regulation and monetary policy. This book will be of interest to all serious students of economics and finance who want to delve beneath the outward manifestations to grasp the underlying dynamics of the boom-bust cycle in a modern financial system - a system where banking and capital market developments have become inseparable.
Author: Felix Geiger
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642215750
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 320
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Book Description
The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.
