Effects of Futures Markets on Agricultural Commodities

Effects of Futures Markets on Agricultural Commodities PDF Author: Madhoo G. Pavaskar
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788190810913
Category : Agricultural prices
Languages : en
Pages : 223

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Book Description
In the wake of trade liberalization since the mid 1990s in India, commodity exchanges have been allowed to operate after a long ban of around three and half decades. In the new millennium, national level exchanges have been launched for futures trading, and they have witnessed initial successes in terms of volume and turnover. But, what has been the impact of futures trading on agricultural production and prices? Have futures markets been successful in playing their critical roles of price risk management and price discovery? Can futures markets help the various stakeholders in the agricultural value chain to hedge against the impending risks that will be posed with further agricultural trade liberalization, as India moves further towards WTO regime? Proper research to answer these critical questions has been lacking so far in the Indian context. Resultantly the literature on these aspects of futures trading has, so far, been conspicuous by its absence. The volume titled, Effects of FUTURES MARKETS on Agricultural Commodities , edited by eminent economist Dr. Madhoo Pavaskar, seeks to answer these critical questions, and attempts to bridge the gap existing in the literature. The volume is published by Takshashila Academia of Economic Research (TAER), an independent, non-partisan academic group for undertaking economic, environmental, and social research, set up by Financial Technologies (India) Limited (FTIL). The volume entails a collection of speeches and select papers presented at the seminar on Agro-Commodity Futures in India: Impact on Production and Prices, organized by erstwhile MCX Academia of Economic Research (now TAER). The contributors are leading economists, regulators, policy makers and stakeholders associated with futures markets. In its attempt to informing policy makers, stimulating research thinking, as well as to creating a general awareness of the various economic issues related to the agricultural futures markets, this book is the first of its type. It will be of interest to economists, scholars, academicians, regulators, policy makers, and various market functionaries alike.

Effects of Futures Markets on Agricultural Commodities

Effects of Futures Markets on Agricultural Commodities PDF Author: Madhoo G. Pavaskar
Publisher:
ISBN: 9788190810913
Category : Agricultural prices
Languages : en
Pages : 223

Get Book Here

Book Description
In the wake of trade liberalization since the mid 1990s in India, commodity exchanges have been allowed to operate after a long ban of around three and half decades. In the new millennium, national level exchanges have been launched for futures trading, and they have witnessed initial successes in terms of volume and turnover. But, what has been the impact of futures trading on agricultural production and prices? Have futures markets been successful in playing their critical roles of price risk management and price discovery? Can futures markets help the various stakeholders in the agricultural value chain to hedge against the impending risks that will be posed with further agricultural trade liberalization, as India moves further towards WTO regime? Proper research to answer these critical questions has been lacking so far in the Indian context. Resultantly the literature on these aspects of futures trading has, so far, been conspicuous by its absence. The volume titled, Effects of FUTURES MARKETS on Agricultural Commodities , edited by eminent economist Dr. Madhoo Pavaskar, seeks to answer these critical questions, and attempts to bridge the gap existing in the literature. The volume is published by Takshashila Academia of Economic Research (TAER), an independent, non-partisan academic group for undertaking economic, environmental, and social research, set up by Financial Technologies (India) Limited (FTIL). The volume entails a collection of speeches and select papers presented at the seminar on Agro-Commodity Futures in India: Impact on Production and Prices, organized by erstwhile MCX Academia of Economic Research (now TAER). The contributors are leading economists, regulators, policy makers and stakeholders associated with futures markets. In its attempt to informing policy makers, stimulating research thinking, as well as to creating a general awareness of the various economic issues related to the agricultural futures markets, this book is the first of its type. It will be of interest to economists, scholars, academicians, regulators, policy makers, and various market functionaries alike.

Does speculation with agricultural commodity futures cause price bubbles in the event of negative production shocks?

Does speculation with agricultural commodity futures cause price bubbles in the event of negative production shocks? PDF Author: Tobias Thürer
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN: 3832538763
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 222

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Book Description
Since the mid 2000s, an increasing financialization of commodity futures markets is taking place. This has fueled an ongoing discussion about the effect of financial investments on the development of commodity prices. Against this background, the trading activities of financial speculators also come to the fore. There is the concern that such speculators can cause irrational overshootings of agricultural commodity prices, e.g. in the event of global production shocks. In such an event the decrease of total supply induces a price surge menacing food security in developing countries. Yet, the question emerges whether speculation aggravates this price increase, eventually inducing a price bubble. The relevance of this concern is reinforced by the fact that due to climate change an increased frequency and severity of global agricultural production shortfalls is at stake. If speculation evokes an additional threat to food security in the event of a production shock, the political agenda should not be confined to focus solely on the adaptation to climate change. Instead, it is then also necessary to address speculative activities on agricultural commodity markets. This book scrutinises whether speculative bubbles can be identified in the event of severe global production shocks. For this, a framework for tracing the transmission of the futures price's development on the spot market is developed. Using annual data from 1979-2012 for maize it is analysed whether production shock related price bubbles occurred.

Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities

Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities PDF Author:
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Farm produce
Languages : en
Pages : 156

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Book Description


Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade

Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade PDF Author: Alexander Sarris
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 1781008027
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 456

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Book Description
This book argues that the viability of many observed market and non-market interventions in agricultural products worldwide depends considerably on the underlying behaviour of the relevant commodity markets. Many of these policies have had distortive impacts, resulting in much discussion and controversy in the context of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round of trade negotiations.

Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities

Futures Trading in Agricultural Commodities PDF Author: United States. Commodity Exchange Administration
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Produce trade
Languages : en
Pages : 90

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Book Description


Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility

Methods to Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility PDF Author: Isabelle Piot-Lepetit
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1441976345
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 238

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Book Description
This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.

Impact of Futures Trading on Agricultural Commodity Market in India

Impact of Futures Trading on Agricultural Commodity Market in India PDF Author: Mohammad Irshad VK
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 8

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Book Description
On agricultural commodity futures, there is always been a doubt, expressed by different bodies and experts on the usefulness and suitability of futures contract in developing in the underlying agricultural commodity market, especially in an agricultural based economy like India. Here an attempt is made to revalidate the impact of futures trading on the agricultural commodity market. The daily price information in spot and futures market for a period of seven years ranging from 2007 to 2014 for five major agricultural commodities are estimated using VAR (Vector Auto Regression) and GARCH (1,1) to test the dynamic interrelationship among the variables. The empirical findings significantly show that comparative advantage of the futures market in disseminating information, leading to a significant price discovery and risk management, that can help to successfully develop the underlying commodity market in India.

Does Speculation Drive Commodity Prices? Evidence from the Market for Corn

Does Speculation Drive Commodity Prices? Evidence from the Market for Corn PDF Author: Niklas Humann
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
ISBN: 3346496171
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 46

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Book Description
Seminar paper from the year 2020 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,0, University of Münster, language: English, abstract: This seminar paper reviews the literature on futures markets as well as the recent food crisis and presents an empirical investigation of the influence of (index) speculation on the corn price. My findings are in line with most of the other empirical conclusions that, rather than speculation, factors from the real and monetary economy played a role in the spike of commodity prices. For centuries, corn has been one of the most produced crops in the world, used to feed people, livestock and machines. During the last quarter of the twentieth-century, world food prices declined by more than 50 percent, thereby improving the nourishment of people all over the world. However, this extensive decline also raised calls for protectionist policies, aimed at defending the welfare of commodity producers. Starting in the early 2000s, all classes of commodities have experienced hefty price increases. The price for corn increased by more than 250 percent in roughly three years (2005-2008). The resulting food crisis devastated low-income communities around the globe, with the already large part of their income they spent on food becoming even more substantial, causing hunger and malnutrition. While a variety of explanations for this crisis have been offered, some were quick to blame excessive (index) speculation.

Speculation by Commodity Index Funds

Speculation by Commodity Index Funds PDF Author: Scott H. Irwin
Publisher: CABI
ISBN: 1800622082
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 279

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Book Description
Commodity futures prices exploded in 2007-2008 and concerns about a new type of speculative participant in commodity futures markets began to emerge. The main argument was that unprecedented buying pressure from new "commodity index" investors created massive bubbles that resulted in prices substantially exceeding fundamental value. At the time, it was not uncommon to link concerns about speculation and high prices to world hunger, food crises, and civil unrest. Naturally, this outcry resulted in numerous regulatory proposals to restrict speculation in commodity futures markets. This book presents important research on the impact of index investment on commodity futures prices that the authors conducted over the last fifteen years. The eleven articles presented in the book follow the timeline of our involvement in the world-wide debate about index funds as it evolved after 2007. We also include an introductory chapter, new author forewords for each article chapter, and a lessons learned chapter to round out the book. Policy-makers, researchers, and market participants will find the book not only functions as useful documentation of the debate; but, also as a natural starting point when high commodity prices inevitably create the next speculation backlash.

Dynamics of Price Changes

Dynamics of Price Changes PDF Author: William G. Tomek
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : Agricultural prices
Languages : en
Pages : 20

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Book Description