Economic Modelling at the Bank of France

Economic Modelling at the Bank of France PDF Author: Michel Boutillier
Publisher: Chapman & Hall
ISBN: 9780412571206
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 250

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Book Description

Economic Modelling at the Bank of France

Economic Modelling at the Bank of France PDF Author: Michel Boutillier
Publisher: Chapman & Hall
ISBN: 9780412571206
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 250

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Book Description


Economic Modelling at the Banque de France

Economic Modelling at the Banque de France PDF Author: Michel Boutillier
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1134777469
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 269

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Book Description
Economists at the Bank of France analyse causes and consequences of French monetary policy and financial deregulation during the 1980s. Using the latest econometric techniques, they demonstrate a strategy that the UK is still hesitating to fully adopt. These essays, never published in English before, offer a comprehensive and authoritative analysis.

Economic Modelling at the Banque de France

Economic Modelling at the Banque de France PDF Author: Michel Boutillier
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780203288399
Category : Deregulation
Languages : en
Pages : 255

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Book Description


Econometric Models of the Euro-area Central Banks

Econometric Models of the Euro-area Central Banks PDF Author: Gabriel Fagan
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 184542803X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 336

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Book Description
This book provides a description of the main macroeconomic models used by the European Central Bank and the euro area national central banks (Eurosystem). These models are used to help prepare economic projections and scenario analysis for individual countries and the euro area as a whole. The volume takes stock of the current macroeconometric modelling infrastructure available within the Eurosystem, highlighting not only the structures and main features of the models used but also their purposes and underlying model-building philosophies. A bird s eye view of the key details of the design, structure and characteristics of the models is provided, along with information on the responses of these models to a series of standard economic and policy shocks. This is the first time that a comprehensive description and systematic comparison of the main macroeconomic models has been published. This book will be of great interest to Central Bank and government economists, as well as academics, economists and students with an interest in central banking, econometric modelling, forecasting and macroeconomic policy.

Monetary Policy Rule in Theory and Practice

Monetary Policy Rule in Theory and Practice PDF Author: Nicolas Barbaroux
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1135067937
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 280

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Book Description
This new volume sheds new light on current monetary issues, in particular the debate on monetary policy making, by blending theoretical economic analysis, history of economics, and historical case studies. A discretionary monetary policy refers to cases in which the central bank is free to change its policy actions or key instruments when the need arises, whilst a monetary policy rule can be defined as a commitment from (independent) central banks to reach one or several objective(s) by way of systematic policy actions. This book uses case studies from France and Sweden, and places them in the context of Keynes’ argument from his 1923 ‘Tract on Monetary Reforms’, to support the argument that the use of discretionary practices within a monetary policy rule (such as in the Gold Standard era) is the best approach. This book takes an innovative approach in combining a theoretical analysis (mainly the work of New Neoclassical Synthesis throughout Woodford's model) a history of economic thought analysis (based on the monetary works from Wicksell, Cassel and Keynes) and an historical study of central bank practices both in France (based on Bank of France archives materials) and in Sweden. The final section of the book explores the debate on monetary policy rule in light of the 2008 financial crisis. As such, the book provides a unique synthesis that will be of interest not only to scholars of history of economic thought and economic theory, but also to anyone with an interest in monetary economics and contemporary monetary policy.

Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France

Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France PDF Author: Ms.Piyabha Kongsamut
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 148433096X
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 36

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Book Description
How can information on financial conditions be used to better understand macroeconomic developments and improve macroeconomic projections? We investigate this question for France by constructing country-specific financial conditions indices (FCIs) that are tailored to movements in GDP, investment, private consumption and exports respectively. We rely on a VAR approach to estimate the weights of the financial components of each FCI, including equity market returns (which turn out having a relatively strong weight across all FCIs), private sector risk premiums, long-term interest rates, and banks’ credit standards. We find that the tailored FCIs are useful as leading indicators of GDP, investment, and exports, and as a contemporaneous indicator of private consumption. Credit volumes turn out to be lagging indicators of growth. The indices inform us on macro-financial linkages in France and are used to improve the accuracy of quarterly forecasting models and high-frequency “nowcast” models. We show that FCI-augmented models could have significantly improved forecasts during and after the global financial crisis.

Housing Markets in Europe

Housing Markets in Europe PDF Author: Olivier de Bandt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3642153402
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 416

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Book Description
During the recession in the years 2008-2009, the most severe for mature economies in the post-war period, housing markets were often mentioned as having a special responsibility. The objective of this book is to shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the housing markets, its fundamental determinants in terms of supply and demand characteristics, and its relationship with the overall business cycle. The co-movements of house prices across countries are also considered, as well as the channel of transmission of house price changes to the rest of the economy. Particular attention is paid to the effects on private consumption, through possible wealth effects. The book is a compilation of original papers produced by economists and researchers from the four main national central banks in the euro area, also with the participation of leading academics.

An Economic Model of the French Economy

An Economic Model of the French Economy PDF Author: Michael K. Evans
Publisher:
ISBN:
Category : France
Languages : en
Pages : 103

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Book Description


Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks

Designing a Simple Loss Function for Central Banks PDF Author: Davide Debortoli
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1484311752
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 56

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Book Description
Yes, it makes a lot of sense. This paper studies how to design simple loss functions for central banks, as parsimonious approximations to social welfare. We show, both analytically and quantitatively, that simple loss functions should feature a high weight on measures of economic activity, sometimes even larger than the weight on inflation. Two main factors drive our result. First, stabilizing economic activity also stabilizes other welfare relevant variables. Second, the estimated model features mitigated inflation distortions due to a low elasticity of substitution between monopolistic goods and a low interest rate sensitivity of demand. The result holds up in the presence of measurement errors, with large shocks that generate a trade-off between stabilizing inflation and resource utilization, and also when ensuring a low probability of hitting the zero lower bound on interest rates.

France and the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System

France and the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods International Monetary System PDF Author: Ms.Dominique Simard
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451935366
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 58

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Book Description
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.